PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY

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An explanation of conversion of cultivated land into forestland from the perspective of non-agricultural employment for rural labor force: A case study of Xintai City, Shandong Province

MA Huiwen, WANG Maojun, LIU Tao, CAO Guangzhong

PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2024, 43(4): 709-726. DOI: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2024.04.007

变量属性	变量	基准模型				迁移目的地的影响	住村非农就业目的地的影响	稳健性检验
变量属性	变量	模型 1	模型 2	模型 3	模型 4	模型 5	模型 6	模型 7
自变量	村庄全户外迁户数		0.186^***
	村庄部分外迁人数			0.288^***
	村庄住村从事非农就业人数				-0.086
	目的地：新泰市内					0.046	-0.045
	目的地：泰安市其他县					0.160	0.091
	目的地：泰安市外					0.193^***	-0.046
	村庄老年人数量							0.374^***
控制变量	村庄在市域范围内的地理位置	0.125^**	0.082^*	0.062	0.138^***	0.094^*	0.122^**	0.130^***
	村庄距所属乡镇中心距离	0.199^***	0.180^***	0.185^***	0.202^***	0.186^***	0.228^***	0.213^***
	是否在柴汶河2 km缓冲区内	-0.064^*	-0.054^*	-0.062^*	-0.078^*	-0.044^*	-0.075^*	-0.061^*
	村庄平均海拔	0.018	0.030	0.054	0.022	0.051	0.029	0.077
	村庄平均坡度	0.100^**	0.095^**	0.104^**	0.140^**	0.085^**	0.095^**	0.124^***
	造林耕地质量水平	0.126^***	0.122^**	0.102^**	0.127^***	0.126^**	0.133^**	0.129^***
	村庄耕地流转比重	-0.070^*	-0.067^*	-0.046^**	-0.078^**	-0.073^*	-0.077^*	-0.073^**
	村干部对粮食安全重要性的认知	-0.090^**	-0.086^**	-0.083^**	-0.089^**	-0.089^**	-0.097^**	-0.059^*
	村庄距木材加工厂的距离和	-0.162^***	-0.140^***	-0.162^***	-0.155^***	-0.145^***	-0.155^***	-0.163^***
	空间邻近度	0.175^***	0.211^***	0.225^***	0.185^***	0.249^***	0.176^***	0.278^***
	村庄农用地有无政府征用情况	0.102^***	0.140^***	0.129^***	0.091^**	0.121^***	0.109^***	0.073^**
样本数		617	559	531	617	559	577	617
R²		0.292	0.311	0.348	0.298	0.364	0.302	0.316
调整R²		0.277	0.294	0.330	0.276	0.345	0.282	0.303
F		24.993	22.446	25.183	23.348	23.994	18.738	23.303
Sig		<0.001	<0.001	<0.001	<0.001	<0.001	<0.001	<0.001

Tab.4 Model regression results of influencing factors of the conversion of cultivated land into forestland

Other figure/table from this article

Fig.1 A framework of analysis for the relationship between rural labor non-agricultural employment and conversion of cultivated land into forestland
Fig.2 Location and geographical conditions of Xintai City, Shandong Province of China
Tab.1 Village population migration and employment section of the questionnaire
Tab.2 The area of conversion of cultivated land into forestland and its proportion in cultivated land reduction in 14 villages of Xintai City
Fig.3 Spatial distribution of the scale of conversion of cultivated land into forestland in villages in Xintai City
Fig.4 Statistics of the area and the number of patches of converted cultivated land into forestland in villages of different towns of Xintai City
Fig.5 Spatial distribution of the scale of all-household emigration, partial emigration, and living in the village for non-farming employment types of households
Fig.6 Spatial distribution of population scale at different migration destinations and destinations of living in the village for non-farming employment
Tab.3 Descriptive statistics and expected effects of variables
Fig.7 Correlation coefficient matrix between variables
Fig.8 Comparison of cultivated land use patterns between villages in the Chaiwen River basin and villages far from the Chaiwen River Basin in Xintai City
Fig.9 Spatial distribution of cultivated land transfer and the relationship between the proportion of cultivated land transfer and the proportion of conversion of cultivated land into forestland in villages in Xintai City, China
Tab.5 Estimated results of the instrumental variables model

模态框（Modal）标题

Figure/Table detail