PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY

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An explanation of conversion of cultivated land into forestland from the perspective of non-agricultural employment for rural labor force: A case study of Xintai City, Shandong Province

MA Huiwen, WANG Maojun, LIU Tao, CAO Guangzhong

PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2024, 43(4): 709-726. DOI: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2024.04.007

变量类别	变量名称	样本数	均值	标准差	偏度	峰度	预期效应	VIF值
因变量	耕地林化面积/1000亩	621	0.34	0.35	2.41	11.47
自变量	村庄全户外迁户数/户	566	22.88	28.68	2.73	9.58	+	1.43
	村庄部分外迁人数/人	538	180.21	198.63	2.39	7.56	+	1.09
	外迁目的地：新泰市内/人	566	88.46	159.55	7.60	85.32	+	1.10
	外迁目的地：泰安市其他县/人	566	44.83	63.34	3.86	26.92	+	1.44
	外迁目的地：泰安市外/人	566	99.64	136.31	2.52	8.28	+	1.43
	村庄住村非农就业人数/人	621	127.16	185.92	3.08	12.04	+	1.91
	就业目的地：新泰市内/人	581	117.65	156.56	2.86	11.03	+	1.99
	就业目的地：泰安市其他县/人	581	19.39	33.92	3.57	17.40	+	1.73
	就业目的地：泰安市外/人	581	14.31	24.41	2.47	7.40	+	1.51
	村内老年人数量/人	621	251.87	174.20	1.80	5.66	+	1.21
控制变量	村庄在市域范围内的地理位置	621	分类变量，0=东部村庄(136)，1=西部村庄(485)				+	2.19
	村庄距乡镇中心距离/km	621	4.73	2.72	0.73	0.31	+	1.26
	村庄是否属于柴汶河流域	621	分类变量，0=不属于(516)，1=属于(105)				-	1.36
	村庄平均海拔	621	分类变量，0=200 m以下(435)，1=200 m以上(186)				+	1.72
	村庄平均坡度	621	分类变量，0=2°以下(101)，1=2°以上(520)				+	1.36
	村庄造林耕地的质量水平	621	分类变量，0=5~8等(137)，1=9~11等(484)				+	1.53
	村庄耕地流转占比	619	0.22	0.33	3.28	18.51	-	1.13
	村干部对粮食安全重要性的认知	621	分类变量，0=重要性一般或不重要(177)，1=重要(444)
	村庄距木材加工厂的距离和/km	621	267.19	52.39	1.02	1.14	-	1.76
	空间邻近性	621	0.39	0.24	1.34	2.53	+	1.22
	村庄农用地有无政府征用情况	621	分类变量，0=无(89)，1=有(532)				+	1.07

Tab.3 Descriptive statistics and expected effects of variables

Other figure/table from this article

Fig.1 A framework of analysis for the relationship between rural labor non-agricultural employment and conversion of cultivated land into forestland
Fig.2 Location and geographical conditions of Xintai City, Shandong Province of China
Tab.1 Village population migration and employment section of the questionnaire
Tab.2 The area of conversion of cultivated land into forestland and its proportion in cultivated land reduction in 14 villages of Xintai City
Fig.3 Spatial distribution of the scale of conversion of cultivated land into forestland in villages in Xintai City
Fig.4 Statistics of the area and the number of patches of converted cultivated land into forestland in villages of different towns of Xintai City
Fig.5 Spatial distribution of the scale of all-household emigration, partial emigration, and living in the village for non-farming employment types of households
Fig.6 Spatial distribution of population scale at different migration destinations and destinations of living in the village for non-farming employment
Fig.7 Correlation coefficient matrix between variables
Tab.4 Model regression results of influencing factors of the conversion of cultivated land into forestland
Fig.8 Comparison of cultivated land use patterns between villages in the Chaiwen River basin and villages far from the Chaiwen River Basin in Xintai City
Fig.9 Spatial distribution of cultivated land transfer and the relationship between the proportion of cultivated land transfer and the proportion of conversion of cultivated land into forestland in villages in Xintai City, China
Tab.5 Estimated results of the instrumental variables model

模态框（Modal）标题

Figure/Table detail