Original Articles

Progr ess on Assessment and Regionalization of Flood Risk

Expand
  • 1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Bejing 100101, China|
    2. Graduate School of CAS, Beijing 100039, China|
    3. Huaihe River Commission, Ministry of Water Resources, Bengbu 233001, China

Received date: 2007-04-01

  Revised date: 2007-05-01

  Online published: 2007-07-25

Abstract

Flood risk assessment is the first step in the flood risk management. Flood risk regionalization, which can help understand the distribution patterns and internal rules of flood risk clearly, is developed based on the flood risk assessment. Firstly, the authors explain concepts of flood risk concerned in order to clarify and standardize them. Secondly, this paper reviews the methods of flood risk assessment and flood risk regionalization. The primary methods of flood risk assessment are geomorphological method, hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling method, system emulation modeling method, historical flood disaster data based method, palaeoflood and historical data method, remote sensing and geographical information system method, system analysis method based on the mechanism of flood, and etc. After a brief summary of the researches on flood risk assessment and flood risk regionalization, some perspectives on flood risk assessment and flood risk regionalization are put forward, such as the data base of flood risk research, temporal- spatial scale of assessment, theories and methods of regionalization, technical measures.

Cite this article

HUANG Dapeng,LIU Chuang,PENG Shunfeng . Progr ess on Assessment and Regionalization of Flood Risk[J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2007 , 26(4) : 11 -22 . DOI: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2007.04.004

References


[1] EM- DAT. The OFDA/CRDA international disaster database. www.em- dat.net.

[2] D. Guha- Sapir, D.Hargitt, P.Hoyois. Thirty years of natural disasters 1974~2003: the numbers. Belgium: presses universitaires de Louvain, 2004.

[3] Richards B D. 洪水的估算与控制. 北京:水利电力出版社,1958.

[4] Bowers N L. 风险理论. 上海:上海科学技术出版社,1995.

[5] 孙桂华. 洪水风险分析制图实用指南. 北京:水利电力出版社,1992.

[6] 刘树坤,周魁一,富曾慈等. 全民防洪减灾手册. 沈阳:辽宁人民出版社,1993.

[7] 周毅. 编制城镇洪水风险图减轻洪水灾害损失. 防汛与抗旱,1996, 2:3~10.

[8] 张硕辅,薛光达,曾务书. 湖南省洪水风险分析防洪风险图编制及其应用.湖南水利水电,2001,1:22~24.

[9] 赵咸榕. 黄河流域洪水风险图的分析与制作. 人民黄河,1998,20(7):4~6.

[10] 周魁一,谭徐明.洪水灾害的双重属性及其实践意义. 成都水利,1998,1:34~39.

[11] 李娜,向立云,程晓陶. 国外洪水风险图制作比较及对中国洪水风险图制作的建议. 水利发展研究,2005, 6:28~32.

[12] 万庆等著. 洪水灾害系统分析与评估. 科学出版社,1999.

[13] Islam M M, Sado K. Development of flood hazard maps of Bangladesh using NOAA- AVHRR images with GIS, Hydrological Sciences Journal. 2000,45(3):337~355.

[14] 魏一鸣,金菊良,杨存建等.洪水灾害风险管理理论. 北京:科学出版社,2002.

[15] 魏一鸣,范英,金菊良. 洪水灾害风险分析的系统理论. 管理科学学报,2001,4(2):8~41.

[16] Crichton D, Mounsey C. How the Insurance Industry will use its flood research. In: Proceedings of the Third MAFF Conference of Coastal and River Engineers,1997, 131~134.

[17] 张会, 张继权, 韩俊山. 基于GIS 技术的洪涝灾害风险评估与区划研究—以辽河中下游地区为例. 自然灾害学报, 2005,14(6):141~146.

[18] 王栋,潘少明,吴吉春等. 洪水风险分析的研究进展与展望. 自然灾害学报,2006,15(1):103~109.

[19] Haruyama,Shigeko,Ohokura et al. Geomorphological zoning for flood inundation using satellite data. GeoJourna1,1996,38 (3):73~278.

[20] 黄诗峰. 洪水灾害风险分析的理论与方法研究. 中国科学院地理研究所博士论文,1999.

[21] 黄诗峰,徐美,陈德清. GIS 支持下的河网密度提取及其在洪水危险性分析中的应用. 自然灾害学报, 2001,10(4):129~ 132.

[22] 杨秀春, 朱晓华. 中国七大流域水系与洪涝的分维及其关系研究. 灾害学,2002,17(3):9~13.

[23] 马宗伟,许友鹏,李嘉峻. 河流形态的分维及与洪水关系的探讨———以长江中下游为例. 水科学进展,2005,16(4):530~ 534.

[24] 程晓陶,杨磊,陈喜军等. 分蓄洪区洪水演进数值模型.自然灾害学报,1996,5(1):34~40.

[25] K Solaimani, H Mohammadi, M Z Ahmadi, M Habibnejad. Flood occurrence hazard forecasting based on geographical information system. Int J Environ Sci Tech,2005,2(3):253~258.

[26] Yasir Ali Elawad,Regina,Saskatchewan.An integrated GIS- supported approach for flood risk assessment. University of Regina, 2004.

[27] Christopher M.Smemoe.Floodplain risk analysis using flood probability and annual exceedance probability maps. Brigham Young Univerisity,2004.

[28] 张超,万庆,张继权等. 基于格网数据的洪水灾害风险评估方法———以日本新川洪灾为例. 地球信息科学,2003,(4): 69~73.

[29] 苏布达,姜彤,郭业友等. 基于GIS 栅格数据的洪水风险动态模拟模型及其应用.河海大学学报,2005,33(4):370~374.

[30] 杨佩国,戴尔阜,吴绍洪等. 黄河下游大堤保护区内洪灾风险的空间格局.科学通报(增刊),2006,51:148~154.

[31] 魏一鸣,张林鹏,范英. 基于Swarm 的洪水灾害演化模拟研究. 管理科学学报,2002,5(6):39~46.

[32] 李伯年. 洪涝灾害评价的威布尔模型.自然灾害学报, 2005,14(6):32~36.

[33] 刘新立,史培军. 区域水灾风险评估模型研究的理论与实践.自然灾害学报,2001,10(2):66~72.

[34] 黄诗峰,陈德清,魏一鸣等.基于历史灾情数据的洪水灾害风险分析———以松花江流域为例.http://www.cwrsc.com/rsc/.

[35] 史培军. 中国自然灾害系统地图集. 北京:科学出版社,2003.

[36] 黄崇福著.自然灾害风险评价理论与实践. 北京:科学出版社,2005.

[37] 秦年秀,姜彤.基于GIS 的长江中下游地区洪灾风险分区及评价.自然灾害学报,2005,14(5):1~7.

[38] 马建明,周魁一,陆吉康. 水灾史料量化与区域洪水灾害风险分析. 中国水利水电科学研究院学报,1997,1(2).

[39] Benito G, Machado Ma J, Pérez- González et al, Palaeoflood hydrology of the Tagus river, Central Spain, In: G. Benito, V. R. Baker and K. G. Gregory (eds),Palaeohydrology and Environmental Change, John Wiley, Chichester, 1998, 317~333.

[40] Benito G, Sánchez-Moya Y, Sope"a A. Sedimentology of high- stage flood deposits of the Tagus River, Central Spain, Sediment. Geol, 2003,157:107~132.

[41] Gerardo Benito, Michel Lang, Mariano Barriendos et al. Use of Systematic, Palaeoflood and Historical Data for the Improvement of Flood Risk Estimation.Review of Scientific Methods. Natural Hazards, 2004,31: 623~643.

[42] Rahman NM, Ochi S, Murai S, Hashimoto T, Kakiuchi H. Flood risk mapping in Bangladesh flood disaster management using remote sensing and GIS. In Application of Remote Sensing in Asia and Oceania—Environmental Change Monitoring . Asian Association on Remote Sensing: Tokyo, Japan, 1991,263~268.

[43] Md. Monirul Islam, Kimiteru Sado. Development Priority Map for Flood Countermeasures by Remote Sensing Data with Geographic Information System. Journal of hydrologic engineering,2002,7:346~355.

[44] Joy Sanyal and X X Lu.Remote sensing and GIS- based flood vulnerability assessment of human settlements: a case study of Gangetic West Bengal,India. Hydrologial Process,2005,19:3699~3716.

[45] 唐川,师玉娥. 城市山洪灾害多目标评估方法探讨. 地理科学进展, 2006,25(4):13~21.

[46] Md. Monirul Islam, Kimiteru Sado. Flood hazard assessment in Bangladesh using NOAA AVHRR data with geographical information system. Hydrol. Process, 2000,14, 605~620.

[47] Michael Stephen Chubey, Salah Hathout. Integration of RADARSAT and GIS modelling for estimating future Red River flood risk. GeoJournal,2004,59: 237~246.

[48] Okoduwa, A. I. An Application of GIS to Flood Prediction: A Case Study of Benin City, Nigeria. Unpublished B. Sc. Dissertation. Department of Geography and Planning University of Benin, Nigeria,1999.

[49] Joy Sanyal, X.X. Lu. GIS- based flood hazard mapping at different administrative scales: A case study in Gangetic West Bengal, India. Singapore Journal of Tropical Geography, 2006, 27: 207~220.

[50] F Forte, R O Strobl, L Pennetta. A methodology using GIS, aerial photos and remote sensing for loss estimation and flood vulnerability analysis in the Supersano- Ruffano- Nociglia Graben, southern Italy. Environ. Geol,2006,50: 581~594.

[51] A C Demirkesen, F Evrendilek, S Berberoglu, et al. Coastal Flood Risk Analysis Using Landsat - 7 ETM+ Imagery and SRTMDEM: A Case Study of Izmir, Turkey. Environ Monit Assess, DOI 10.1007 /s10661- 006- 476~2.

[52] 周成虎,万庆,黄诗峰等. 基于GIS 的洪水灾害风险区划研究. 地理学报,2000,55(1):15~24.

[53] 唐川,朱静. 基于GIS 的山洪灾害风险区划. 地理学报, 2005, 60(1):87~94.

[54] 何报寅,张海林,张穗等. 基于GIS 的湖北省洪水灾害危险性评价. 自然灾害学报, 2002,14(4):84~89.

[55] 陈华丽,陈刚,丁国平. 基于GIS 的区域洪水灾害风险评价. 人民长江,2003,34(6): 49~51.

[56] 詹小国, 祝国瑞, 文余源. 平原地区洪灾风险评价的GIS 方法研究———以荆州6 县市为例. 长江流域资源与环境, 2003,12(4):388~392.

[57] 姜彤,许朋柱. 自然灾害研究中的社会易损性评价. 中国科学院院刊,1996,3:186~191.

[58] 姜彤,许朋柱,许刚等. 洪灾易损性概念模式. 中国减灾,1997,7(2):24~29.

[59] 金菊良,魏一鸣,付强等. 洪水灾害风险管理的理论框架探讨. 水利水电技术,2002,33(9):40~42.

[60] 李继清,张玉山,王丽萍等. 洪灾综合风险的结构特征分析. 长江流域资源与环境, 2005,14(6):805~809.

[61] 李继清,张玉山,王丽萍等. 洪灾综合风险结构与综合评价方法(I)—宏观方面.武汉大学学报(工学版),2005,38(5):19~ 23.

[62] 李纪人,丁志雄,黄诗峰等. 基于空间展布式社经数据库的洪涝灾害损失评估模型研究. 中国水利水电科学研究院学 报,2003,1(2):104~110.

[63] 樊云晓,罗云,陈庆寿. 区域承灾体脆弱性综合评价指标权重的确定. 灾害学,2001,16(1):85~87.

[64] 姜付仁,向立云.洪水风险区划方法与典型流域洪水风险区划实例. 水利发展研究,2002,7:27~30.

[65] 李吉顺, 冯强, 王昂生.我国暴雨洪涝灾害的危险性评估.见: 85.906.09 课题组编.台风、暴雨预报警报系统和减灾研 究. 北京:气象出版社,1996.

[66] 赵士鹏. 山洪灾情评估的系统集成方法研究. 中国科学院地理研究所博士论文,1995.

[67] 王劲峰等.中国自然灾害区划———灾害区划、影响评价、减灾对策. 北京:中国科学技术出版社,1995.

[68] Dennis S Milet.Disasters by Design. Joseph Henry Press,New York,1999.

[69] 张行南,罗健,陈雷等.中国洪水灾害危险程度区划. 水利学报,2000(3):1~7.

[70] 刘敏,杨宏青,向玉春. 湖北省雨涝灾害的风险评估与区划. 长江流域资源与环境, 2002, 11(5):476~781..

[71] 谭徐明, 张伟兵, 马建明等. 全国区域洪水风险评价与区划图绘制研究. 中国水利水电科学研究院学报, 2004, 2(1): 50~60.

[72] 黄崇福,张俊香,陈志芬等. 自然灾害风险区划图的一个潜在发展方向. 自然灾害学报, 2004,13(2):9~15.

Outlines

/