全球-地方出口溢出效应对新企业进入出口市场的影响

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2019.05.010

Abstract

Abstract:

Export growth is a key driver for China's economic development. The entry of new export firms is an important indicator of export growth. The New Trade Theory believes that knowledge spillover brought about by agglomeration externalities is a crucial factor affecting the exporting decision making of firms. Global and local knowledge spillovers encourage firms to acquire necessary export knowledge and thus reduce their difficulty of entering export markets. Theories of evolutionary economic geography emphasize that cognitive proximity is the prerequisite for the validity of export spillovers. Global and local export experience and product proximity are the main contents of export spillovers. This study used China Customs Trade Data from 2002 to 2011 to analyze the impact of export spillovers on the entry of new firms into the export market. The results show that export spillovers can significantly increase the probability of new exporters entering the export market. Private firms are more likely to enter markets with stronger spillovers. Besides, export spillovers have a stronger role in promoting the entry of follower firms, especially domestic firms. State-owned collective enterprises emphasize the overflow of overall export experience, and private companies place more emphasis on product knowledge spillovers. Local spillovers are beneficial for the expansion of new exporting firms to new destination countries, while global spillovers are useful for new exporters expanding into new product areas. This study improved the research on the spatial dynamics of export firms, expanded the spatial dimension in which export spillovers affect export decisions, and helped deepen the understanding of China's trade market.

Key words: export spillovers, global-local interaction, entry of new export firms, China

Canfei HE, Xuqian HU, Qian LUO. Impact of export spillovers on the entry of new firms into the export market[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(5): 731-744.

Figures/Tables 11

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变量	模型5	模型6	模型7	模型8
变量	不区分所有制	国有集体	私营	外资
City_Exp	3.851^***	5.925^***	4.487^***	4.312^***
City_Den	11.320^***	16.240^***	19.150^***	11.440^***
Country_Exp	0.683^***	1.087^***	0.755^***	0.736^***
Country_Den	4.594^***	6.773^***	7.349^***	4.549^***
City_PGDP	17.010^***	13.610^***	33.950^***	12.150^***
Dis	-2.188^***	-5.015^***	-1.277^***	-3.127^***
Country_Pop	-0.018	0.465^***	0.502^***	-0.040
Country_Ins	2.896^***	5.199^***	5.370^***	2.750^***
常数	-6.201^***	-8.189^***	-8.308^***	-6.007^***
N	896222	75795	283355	617915

变量	模型1	模型2	模型3	模型4
变量	不区分所有制	国有集体	私营	外资
City_Exp	1.380^***	1.623^***	1.770^***	1.417^***
City_Den	1.925^***	3.080^***	4.619^***	1.278^***
Country_Exp	0.214^***	0.004	0.192^***	0.252^***
Country_Den	2.376^***	1.530^***	2.876^***	2.362^***
City_PGDP	-7.280^***	-16.240^***	-8.188^***	-6.881^***
Dis	-2.106^***	-5.287^***	-4.670^***	-0.803^***
Country_Pop	0.162^***	0.531^***	0.627^***	0.010
Country_Ins	0.514^***	0.798^***	3.916^***	-0.445^***
常数	-4.983^***	-7.105^***	-7.504^***	-5.523^***
N	15723765	15723765	15723765	15723765

变量	模型9	模型10	模型11	模型12
变量	不区分所有制	国有集体	私营	外资
City_Exp	7.554^***	4.686^***	0.232	9.621^***
City_Den	10.040^***	17.120^***	17.900^***	8.332^***
Country_Exp	-0.126^***	-0.172^***	-0.378^***	-0.0695^***
Country_Den	-1.230^***	-0.552^***	-1.488^***	-1.308^***
City_PGDP	7.371^***	2.145	36.570^***	5.109^***
Dis	4.981^***	6.895^***	6.230^***	4.126^***
Country_Pop	-0.277^***	0.010	-0.0429	-0.327^***
Country_Ins	-0.260^***	0.579^**	0.687^***	-0.369^***
常数	-0.084^***	-1.292^***	-0.865^***	0.116^***
N	322976	29827	65257	230837

变量	新定义新出口企业			剔除直辖市样本
	模型13	模型14	模型15	模型16	模型17	模型18
	基本回归	突破/跟随	新目的国	基本回归	突破/跟随	新目的国
City_Exp	0.814^***	2.679^***	11.360^***	1.044^***	4.981^***	6.038^***
City_Den	2.102^***	6.334^***	8.630^***	1.552^***	7.615^***	13.870^***
Country_Exp	0.273^***	1.457^***	-0.126^***	0.388^***	0.511^***	-0.176^***
Country_Den	3.589^***	5.099^***	-1.114^***	1.958^***	4.122^***	-1.701^***
City_PGDP	-9.281^***	24.000^***	26.800^**	-7.430^***	22.810^***	5.338^***
Dis	-0.782^***	-1.271	1.503	-1.882^***	-0.918^*	3.760^***
Country_Pop	0.463^***	-0.497	-11.211	0.256^***	0.102	-0.719^***
Country_Ins	0.964^***	3.984^***	-3.235^*	0.403^***	1.792^***	-0.468^***
N	6806828	366976	192080	13349970	746325	284409

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Impact of export spillovers on the entry of new firms into the export market

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