研究论文

地缘经济合作视角下中国向湄公河流域产业转移的时空异质性解析

  • 周绍聪 , 1 ,
  • 葛旭瑞 1 ,
  • 李灿松 , 1, 2, * ,
  • 黄宇 3 ,
  • 李松祥 1 ,
  • 王涛 1
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  • 1.云南师范大学地理学部,昆明 650500
  • 2.云南省西南联合研究生院,昆明 650092
  • 3.中国科学院青藏高原研究所,青藏高原地球系统与资源环境全国重点实验室,北京 100101
* 李灿松(1980―),男,白族,云南鹤庆人,教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向为民族地理、南亚东南亚地缘政治与地缘经济。E-mail:

周绍聪(1999—),女,云南腾冲人,硕士生,主要从事南亚东南亚区域国别研究。E-mail:

收稿日期: 2024-12-17

  修回日期: 2025-04-08

  网络出版日期: 2025-07-25

基金资助

云南省哲学社会科学创新团队项目(2023CX02)

国家自然科学基金项目(42101231)

Spatiotemporal heterogeneity of China’s industrial transfer to the Mekong River Basin from the perspective of geoeconomic cooperation

  • ZHOU Shaocong , 1 ,
  • GE Xurui 1 ,
  • LI Cansong , 1, 2, * ,
  • HUANG Yu 3 ,
  • LI Songxiang 1 ,
  • WANG Tao 1
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  • 1. Department of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500, China
  • 2. Southwest Joint Graduate School of Yunnan Province, Kunming 650500, China
  • 3. State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China

Received date: 2024-12-17

  Revised date: 2025-04-08

  Online published: 2025-07-25

Supported by

Yunnan Philosophy and Social Science Innovation Team(2023CX02)

National Natural Science Foundation of China(42101231)

摘要

从地缘经济合作视角出发,探究中国向湄公河流域产业转移,对于剖析双方地缘经济合作、深化投资、推动区域发展具有重要意义。基于2010—2023年中国企业迁移数据,论文采用社会网络分析、参数最优地理探测器、灰色关联分析等方法,进一步探究中国向湄公河流域产业转移的时空异质性及驱动机理。结果显示:① 产业转移时空异质性显著。产业转移经历了“增长—下降—回升”三阶段,转出数量呈现东部沿海向西部内陆递减趋势,转入地地理优势和沿海偏好显著,首都集聚效应尤为突出。② 转出地以东部沿海为核心呈放射状向湄公河流域转出;转入地泰国产业转入量最高,老挝转入量最低,与中国和湄公河流域国家间地缘关系、外交关系程度高度契合;湄公河流域国家间转移模式各异。③ 第二产业占产业转移总量的72%,以制造业中劳动密集型中小企业为主,第三产业占比27%,第一产业仅占1%。成本驱动是第二产业主要迁移动力,第三产业随第二产业配套转移,第一产业主要受自然条件限制,转移最少。④ 产业转移受多重因素综合影响,呈现“双核驱动—四维支撑—多因子交互”驱动机理。经济、资源、政治三大因素与产业转移数量关联度最高,其中经济发展与基础建设起关键作用。澜沧江—湄公河合作通过多领域协同,缓解产业转移各要素的不平衡性,优化区域产业链布局,助力经济高质量发展。

本文引用格式

周绍聪 , 葛旭瑞 , 李灿松 , 黄宇 , 李松祥 , 王涛 . 地缘经济合作视角下中国向湄公河流域产业转移的时空异质性解析[J]. 地理科学进展, 2025 , 44(7) : 1526 -1542 . DOI: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2025.07.015

Abstract

From the perspective of geo-economic cooperation, Exploring China's industrial transfer to the Mekong River Basin is of great significance for analyzing geoeconomic cooperation between the two countries, deepening investment, and promoting regional development. Based on the migration data of Chinese enterprises from 2010 to 2023, this study adopted social network analysis, parameter optimal geographical detector, and gray correlation analysis methods to further explore the spatiotemporal heterogeneity and driving mechanism of industrial transfer to the Mekong River Basin. The results show that: 1) The spatiotemporal heterogeneity of industrial transfer was significant. Industrial transfer has gone through three stages of growth-decline-rebound. The number of outgoing enterprises showed a decreasing trend from the eastern coast to the western inland. Geographical advantages and coastal preferences of the transfer destinations were significant, and the capital city clustering effect was particularly prominent. 2) The transfer-out places were concentrated in the eastern coast and radiating to the Mekong River Basin; Thailand had the highest number of industrial transfers, and Laos had the lowest number of transfers, which is highly consistent with the geopolitical and diplomatic relations between China and countries of the Mekong River Basin; and the transfer modes between countries of the Mekong River Basin were different. 3) The secondary industry accounted for 72% of the total industrial transfers, with mainly labor-intensive small and medium-sized enterprises in the manufacturing industry, the tertiary industry accounted for 27%, and the primary industry accounted for only 1%. Cost was the main migration driving force of the secondary industry. The tertiary industry was transferred together with the secondary industry. The primary industry was mainly limited by natural conditions and the transfer was the least. 4) Industrial transfer was influenced by multiple factors, presenting the pattern of "dual-core drive, four-dimensional support, multi-factor interaction". The three factors of economy, resources, and politics had the highest correlation with the quantity of industrial transfer, among which economic development and infrastructure construction played a key role. Through multi-field coordination, Lancang-Mekong River Basin cooperation alleviated the imbalance of various factors of industrial transfer, optimized the layout of regional industrial chains, and promoted high-quality economic development.

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