中尼口岸贸易与跨境交通耦合协调研究

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2022.03.002

Abstract

Abstract:

As a window of the Economic Cooperation Belt around the Himalayas, the development of trade and transportation at the Chinese-Nepalese ports is an important support for China's construction of the Grand Opening Channel to South Asia. This study explored the coupling and coordination composite system of ports trade and cross-border transportation of China and Nepal, evaluated the ports trade sustainable development level and the accessibility of cross-border transportation of China and Nepal using an evaluation index and cross-border transportation accessibility model, and analyzed the coupling and coordination relationship between ports trade sustainability and cross-border accessibility from 2010 to 2019 using the coupling and coordination model. The results show that: 1) The composite system of ports trade and cross-border transportation is an organic whole with an interactive coupling relationship. The simultaneous high-level development of ports trade and cross-border transportation is the key to the coupling and coordination of ports trade and cross-border transportation. 2) The overall sustainable development level of China-Nepal ports trade is relatively low, and trade flow is the key for ports trade sustainability. The cross-border transportation accessibility of the Chinese-Nepalese ports has been slowly improved, and the Zhangmu Port has obvious advantages in cross-border transportation. 3) The coupling and coordination of ports trade and cross-border transportation of China and Nepal are moderately out of balance, trade lags behind transportation development, and transportation has a limited role in promoting trade. In order to promote the coupling and coordinated development of ports trade and cross-border transportation, it is necessary to give full play to the cargo transportation function of the Chinese-Nepalese ports, vigorously develop Nepal's re-export trade, and open up the South Asian market. Accelerating the construction of a cross-border economic cooperation zone at Jilong Port, building new channels in the long term to give full play to the cargo transportation function of Zhangmu Port, and using helicopters to develop the "Holy Mountains and Lakes" tourism economy at Pulan (Xie erwa) Port will promote the sustainable development of ports trade.

Key words: Chinese-Nepalese ports, ports trade sustainability, cross-border transportation accessibility, coupling and coordination

YE Li, GE Yuejing, HU Wei, HUANG Yu, LI Na. Coupling and coordination of ports trade and cross-border transportation of China and Nepal[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2022, 41(3): 371-384.

Figures/Tables 9

Fig.1

Tab.1

Fig.2

Tab.2

Fig.3

Fig.4

Fig.5

Fig.6

Fig.7

References 37

[1]	吴良, 秦奇, 张丹, 等. 印度洋通道及其对中国地缘环境影响[J]. 地理科学进展, 2018,37(11):1510-1520.
	[ Wu Liang, Qin Qi, Zhang Dan, et al. Indian ocean passages and their geopolitical impacts on China. Progress in Geography, 2018,37(11):1510-1520. ]
[2]	李钦. 提升霍尔果斯口岸贸易发展水平策略研究[J]. 价格月刊, 2012(6):88-91.
	[ Li Qin. Strategy research on promoting the development level of Korgas' port trading. Prices Monthly, 2012(6):88-91. ]
[3]	扎西, 普布次仁. 西藏边境贸易的历史演进与现实情况分析[J]. 西藏大学学报(社会科学版), 2014,29(3):1-7.
	[ Tashi, Pubu Tsering. An analysis of the history and current state of Tibet's border trade. Journal of Tibet University (Social Sciences), 2014,29(3):1-7. ]
[4]	党夏宁, 王云龙, 师泾. “一带一路”背景下西藏与尼泊尔边境贸易发展研究[J]. 阿坝师范学院学报, 2020,37(1):52-58.
	[ Dang Xianing, Wang Yunlong, Shi Jing. A study on the development of border trade between Tibet and Nepal in the context of the "Belt and Road initiative". Journal of Aba Teachers University, 2020,37(1):52-58. ]
[5]	狄方耀. “一带一路”视域下中国西藏与南亚国家发展贸易问题初探[J]. 西藏民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2015, 36(5): 37-43,63,154.
	[ Di Fangyao. The "Belt and Road" initiative and trade between Tibet and south Asia. Journal of Xizang Minzu University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition), 2015, 36(5): 37-43, 63, 154. ]
[6]	赵纪东, 裴惠娟, 郑军卫. 尼泊尔地震后喜马拉雅地区地震风险浅析[J]. 国际地震动态, 2015,45(5):11-14.
	[ Zhao Jidong, Pei Huijuan, Zheng Junwei. Seismic risk of Himalayan region after Nepal earthquake. Recent Developments in World Seismology, 2015,45(5):11-14. ]
[7]	刘玉皑, 赵鹏, 马宁, 等. 西藏樟木口岸边境贸易发展情况调查[J]. 西藏民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2016,37(2):76-82, 155.
	[ Liu Yu'ai, Zhao Peng, Ma Ning, et al. Investigation on the development of border trade of Zhangmu Port in Tibet. Journal of Xizang Minzu University (Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition), 2016,37(2):76-82, 155. ]
[8]	苏加. 中国与尼泊尔双边贸易及投资前景分析[J]. 经济论坛, 2011,25(1):94-96.
	[ Su Jia. Analysis of the prospects of bilateral trade and investment between China and Nepal. Economic Forum , 2011,25(1):94-96. ]
[9]	Kalyan Raj Sharma. 中国—尼泊尔贸易现状、影响及发展路径研究[J]. 生产力研究, 2009,23(21):129-130, 263.
	[ Sharma K R. On current situation, influence and development path of Sino-Nepal trade. Productivity Research, 2009,23(21):129-130, 263. ]
[10]	Sharma K R, Sharma K R. Trade costs[J]. Journal of Economic Literature, 2004,42(3):691-751.
[11]	徐俊, 李金叶. 东道国交通基础设施质量对双边贸易合作的影响: 基于“一带一路”沿线国家的实证分析[J]. 国际商务研究, 2020,41(5):5-14.
	[ Xu Jun, Li Jinye. The impact of national transportation infrastructure quality on bilateral trade cooperation: An empirical analysis of the countries along "the Belt and Road". International Business Research, 2020,41(5):5-14. ]
[12]	Fujimura M, Edmonds C. Impact of cross-border transport infrastructure on trade and investment in the GMS[R]. Tokyo, Japan: ADBI Working Paper, 2006: 12-14.
[13]	亢梅玲, 马丹. 高速公路对中国出口贸易发展的影响研究[J]. 国际商务, 2017,31(4):38-48.
	[ Kang Meiling, Ma Dan. A study of highway effects on the development of China export. International Business, 2017,31(4):38-48. ]
[14]	Behrens K. International integration and regional inequalities: How important is national infrastructure?[J]. The Manchester School, 2011,79(5):952-971.
[15]	李彦, 屠年松. 交通可达性、边界效应与中国跨境贸易发展: 基于沿边地区的空间计量分析[J]. 财贸经济, 2020,41(4):144-161.
	[ Li Yan, Tu Niansong. Transportation accessibility, boundary effect and cross-border trade development in China: Based on the spatial econometric analysis in border areas. Finance & Trade Economics, 2020,41(4):144-161. ]
[16]	张艳艳, 于津平. 交通基础设施、相邻效应与双边贸易: 基于中国与“一带一路”国家贸易数据的实证研究[J]. 当代财经, 2018,39(3):98-109.
	[ Zhang Yanyan, Yu Jinping. Transportation infrastructure, adjacent effects and bilateral trade: An empirical analysis based on the trade data of China and "The Belt and Road" countries. Contemporary Finance & Economics, 2018,39(3):98-109. ]
[17]	Martínez-Zarzoso I, Suárez-Burguet C. Transport costs and trade: Empirical evidence for Latin American imports from the European Union[J]. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2005,14(3):353-371.
[18]	Fontes M J, Ribeiro A, Silva J. Accessibility and local development: Interaction between cross-border accessibility and local development in Portugal and Spain[J]. Procedia: Social and Behavioral Sciences, 2014,111:927-936.
[19]	孙东琪, 张京祥, 张明斗, 等. 长江三角洲城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合关系[J]. 地理科学进展, 2013,32(7):1060-1071.
	[ Sun Dongqi, Zhang Jingxiang, Zhang Mingdou, et al. Coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level in the Yangtze River Delta. Progress in Geography, 2013,32(7):1060-1071. ]
[20]	刘耀彬, 李仁东, 宋学锋. 中国城市化与生态环境耦合度分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2005,20(1):105-112.
	[ Liu Yaobin, Li Rendong, Song Xuefeng. Analysis of coupling degrees of urbanization and ecological environment in China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2005,20(1):105-112. ]
[21]	张英佳, 李雪铭, 夏春光. 中国地级市房地产开发与人居环境耦合发展空间格局[J]. 地理科学进展, 2014,33(2):232-240.
	[ Zhang Yingjia, Li Xueming, Xia Chunguang. Spatial pattern of coupling development between real estate development and housing condition at prefectural level in China. Progress in Geography, 2014,33(2):232-240. ]
[22]	杨士弘. 城市生态环境学 [M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 1996: 125-130.
	[ Yang Shihong. Urban ecology. Beijing, China: Science Press, 1996: 125-130. ]
[23]	余菲菲, 胡文海, 荣慧芳. 中小城市旅游经济与交通耦合协调发展研究: 以池州市为例[J]. 地理科学, 2015,35(9):1116-1122.
	[ Yu Feifei, Hu Wenhai, Rong Huifang. Coordinated development about tourism economy and transportation in medium and small cities: Chizhou as example. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2015,35(9):1116-1122. ]
[24]	杨忍. 中国县域城镇化的道路交通影响因素识别及空间协同性解析[J]. 地理科学进展, 2016,35(7):806-815.
	[ Yang Ren. Spatial coupling cooperative analysis of road transport superiority and urbanization at county level in China. Progress in Geography, 2016,35(7):806-815. ]
[25]	World Trade Organization. Marrakesh agreement establishing the world trade organization[R]. Geneva, Switzerland, 1994: 12.
[26]	欧阳强, 谢兮晨. 对外贸易可持续发展评价指标体系的构建及运用: 以湖南省为例[J]. 国际商务, 2012,26(1):15-25.
	[ Ouyang Qiang, Xie Xichen. Evaluation system of sustainable development of foreign trade in Hunan. International Business, 2012,26(1):15-25. ]
[27]	胡庆江, 王泽寰. 基于层次分析法的沿海五省对外贸易可持续发展评价研究[J]. 国际商务, 2011,25(4):37-45.
	[ Hu Qingjiang, Wang Zehuan. Evaluation on sustainable development of foreign trade of five coastal provinces of China based on AHP. International Business, 2011,25(4):37-45. ]
[28]	张丽君. “一带一路”背景下的中国陆路边境口岸 [M]. 北京: 中国经济出版社, 2017: 71-99.
	[ Zhang Lijun. China's land border ports under the background of "The Belt and Road". Beijing, China: China Economy Press, 2017: 71-99. ]
[29]	李明生, 何天祥. 区域对外贸易可持续发展综合评价[J]. 求索, 2005,25(2):8-11.
	[ Li Mingsheng, He Tianxiang. Comprehensive evaluation of sustainable development of regional foreign trade. Seeker, 2005,25(2):8-11. ]
[30]	孙治宇, 赵曙东. 对外贸易可持续发展评价指标体系研究: 以江苏省为案例[J]. 南京社会科学, 2010,21(6):6-13.
	[ Sun Zhiyu, Zhao Shudong. Research on the sustainable development evaluation index system of foreign trade: Example from Jiangsu Province. Nanjing Journal of Social Sciences, 2010,21(6):6-13. ]
[31]	孙瑾, 丁冉, 王杰镭. 关于可持续贸易的研究进展[J]. 经济学动态, 2020,61(8):131-145.
	[ Sun Jin, Ding Ran, Wang Jielei. Research progress on sustainable trade. Economic Perspectives, 2020,61(8):131-145. ]
[32]	郭建科, 杜小飞, 孙才志, 等. 环渤海地区港口与城市关系的动态测度及驱动模式研究[J]. 地理研究, 2015,34(4):740-750.
	[ Guo Jianke, Du Xiaofei, Sun Caizhi, et al. Research on dynamic measurement and driving mode of harbour-city relationship in the Bohai Rim in China. Geographical Research, 2015,34(4):740-750. ]
[33]	刘丹丽, 汪侠, 吴小根, 等. 全球贫困国家旅游竞争力与经济发展的耦合协调度及时空变化[J]. 地理科学进展, 2018,37(10):1381-1391.
	[ Liu Danli, Wang Xia, Wu Xiaogen, et al. Coupling coordination between tourism competitiveness and economic development in global poverty-stricken countries and spatiotemporal changes. Progress in Geography, 2018,37(10):1381-1391. ]
[34]	Hansen W G. How accessibility shapes land use[J]. Journal of the American Institute of Planners, 1959,25(2):73-76.
[35]	李杰梅, 吴浩, 刘陈, 等. 边境城市跨境可达性对口岸经济的影响机理[J]. 交通运输系统工程与信息, 2019,19(2):30-36, 59.
	[ Li Jiemei, Wu Hao, Liu Chen, et al. The impact mechanism of cross-border traffic accessibility on port economy of border cities. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2019,19(2):30-36, 59. ]
[36]	李杰梅, 刘陈, 杨扬, 等. “一带一路”影响下边疆城市跨境空间联系与外向型经济耦合协调发展研究:以云南为例[J]. 重庆理工大学学报(社会科学), 2020,34(12):34-44.
	[ Li Jiemei, Liu Chen, Yang Yang, et al. The coordinated development of cross-border spatial linkage and export-oriented economy: A case study of Yunnan Province. Journal of Chongqing University of Technology (Social Science), 2020,34(12):34-44. ]
[37]	中国口岸协会. 中国口岸年鉴(2019年版) [M]. 北京: 中国海关出版社, 2019: 603-612.
	[ China Association of Port-of-entry. China port yearbook(2019). Beijing, China: China Customs Press, 2019: 603-612. ]

目标层	要素层	指标层	单位	指标含义
口岸贸易可持续	贸易规模	口岸贸易额(X₁)	万元	该口岸进出口货值和边民互市进出口额的总和
	贸易规模	口岸贸易比重(X₂)	%	该口岸贸易额占全西藏自治区所有口岸贸易额的比重
	贸易活力	口岸贸易额增长率(X₃)	%	该口岸当年贸易额较前一年的增长率
		口岸贸易比重增长率(X₄)	%	该口岸当年贸易额占全西藏自治区所有口岸贸易额的比重较前一年的增长率
		货运量增长率(X₅)	%	该口岸当年货运量较前一年的增长率
	贸易流量	人流量(X₆)	人	该口岸出入境人员数
		货运量(X₇)	t	该口岸进出口货运量
		车流量(X₈)	辆	该口岸出入境运输工具数
	贸易经济效益	口岸贸易对GDP的贡献率(X₉)	—	该口岸净出口增量与口岸所在县GDP增量的比值
	贸易经济效益	动态集中指数(DCI)(X₁₀)	—	口岸货运增长量比重与其所在县经济的增长量比重的比值×0.6+口岸货运量的增长率与口岸所在县GDP的增长率的比值×0.4
	贸易社会效益	对外贸易行业就业人数(X₁₁)	人	(口岸贸易出口额÷三产增加值)×三产就业人数

要素层	樟木口岸	吉隆口岸	普兰口岸	指标层	樟木口岸	吉隆口岸	普兰口岸
贸易规模	0.224	0.217	0.134	X₁	0.125	0.106	0.077
贸易规模	0.224	0.217	0.134	X₂	0.099	0.111	0.057
贸易活力	0.123	0.328	0.218	X₃	0.043	0.089	0.054
				X₄	0.040	0.126	0.129
				X₅	0.041	0.113	0.035
贸易流量	0.343	0.264	0.462	X₆	0.124	0.060	0.071
				X₇	0.108	0.111	0.121
				X₈	0.111	0.093	0.270
贸易经济效益	0.176	0.093	0.067	X₉	0.100	0.029	0.035
贸易经济效益	0.176	0.093	0.067	X₁₀	0.076	0.064	0.032
贸易社会效益	0.134	0.098	0.120	X₁₁	0.134	0.098	0.120

Coupling and coordination of ports trade and cross-border transportation of China and Nepal

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

Figures/Tables 9

References 37

Related Articles 1

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 0