长三角地区城镇化协调发展的空间特征及形成机理

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2021.01.012

Abstract

Abstract:

Based on the national strategy of Yangtze River Delta economic integration and regional coordinated development and after measuring the urbanization coordination level of 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta from 2001 to 2016, this study analyzed the spatial characteristics and formation mechanism of the coordinated development of urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta by using the methods of Theil Index, center of gravity track, hotspot analysis, and spatial econometric model. The results show that: 1) the overall difference of urbanization coordination level in the Yangtze River Delta is fluctuating and decreasing, and intra-provincial differences are shrinking while the difference between the provinces is expanding; the spatial distribution of the coordination level of urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta is generally higher in the east and lower in the west. The pattern of coordinated development of urbanization has experienced little change in the northwest-southeast direction and the center of gravity is relatively stable over the years, but the spatial correlation scope and dispersion degree are expanding. 2) According to the characteristics of spatial agglomeration, there is a significant positive spatial autocorrelation in the coordination level of urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta. The hotspots are gradually converging to the economically developed areas such as Shanghai, Southern Jiangsu, and Northern Zhejiang. The cold spots are stably distributed in Northern Anhui, Southern Anhui, and southern Zhejiang. 3) All factors that affect the spatial characteristics of coordinated development of urbanization are significantly positive. The level of economic development still dominates coordinated regional development of urbanization. Population agglomeration is more obvious for the improvement of the level of coordinated development of urbanization of neighboring cities. Giving full play to the driving role of the highly coordinated area of urbanization will realize the balanced development of the Yangtze River Delta.

Key words: urbanization, coordinated development, spatial characteristics, spillover effect, Yangtze River Delta region

FAN Qingyu, YANG Shan. Spatial characteristics and formation mechanism of coordinated development of urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 124-134.

Figures/Tables 10

Fig.1

Fig.2

Fig.3

Tab.1

Fig.4

Fig.5

Tab.2

Tab.3

Tab.4

Tab.5

References 41

[1]	中共中央国务院. 长江三角洲区域一体化发展规划纲要 [EB/OL]. 2019-12-01 [2020-08-25]. http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2019-12/01/c_1125295202.htm.
	[ CPC Central Committee. Outline of the Yangtze River Delta regional integration development plan. 2019-12-01 [2020-08-25]. http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2019-12/01/c_1125295202.htm.]
[2]	Friedmann J. Four theses in the study of China's urbanization[J]. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 2006,30(2):440-451.
[3]	Geyer H. Expanding the theoretical foundation of differential urbanization[J]. Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, 1996,87(1):44-59. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9663.1998.tb01536.x pmid: 12320199
[4]	Halfacree K. From dropping out to leading on? British counter-cultural back-to-the-land in a changing rurality[J]. Progress in Human Geography, 2006,30(3):309-336.
[5]	Geyer Jr H S, Geyer H S. Polarisation reversal in South Africa: How widespread is the trend[J]. South African Geographical Journal, 2016,98(2):289-307.
[6]	Mitchell C J A. The patterns and places of counter-urbanization: A 'macro' perspective from Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada[J]. Journal of Rural Studies, 2019,70:104-116.
[7]	Stockdale A, Findlay A, Short D. The repopulation of rural Scotland: Opportunity and threat[J]. Journal of Rural Studies, 2000,16(2):243-257.
[8]	Charney I, Palgi M. Interpreting the repopulation of rural communities: The case of private neighbourhoods in Kibbutzim[J]. Population Space and Place, 2014,20(7):664-676.
[9]	Seto K C, Sánchez-Rodríguez R, Fragkias M. The new geography of contemporary urbanization and the environment[J]. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 2010,35(1):167-194.
[10]	Halmy M W A, Gessler P E, Hicke J A, et al. Land use/land cover change detection and prediction in the northwestern coastal desert of Egypt using Markov-CA[J]. Applied Geography, 2015,63:101-112.
[11]	Parsons H, French K, Major R E. The influence of remnant bushland on the composition of suburban bird assemblages in Australia[J]. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2003,66(1):43-56.
[12]	Sandström U G, Angelstam P, Mikusiński G. Ecological diversity of birds in relation to the structure of urban green space[J]. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2006,77(1-2):39-53.
[13]	Solon J. Spatial context of urbanization: Landscape pattern and changes between 1950 and 1990 in the Warsaw metropolitan area, Poland[J]. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2009,93(3-4):250-261.
[14]	陈明星. 城市化领域的研究进展和科学问题[J]. 地理研究, 2015,34(4):614-630.
	[ Chen Mingxing. Research progress and scientific issues in the field of urbanization. Geographical Research, 2015,34(4):614-630. ]
[15]	陈明星, 叶超, 陆大道, 等. 中国特色新型城镇化理论内涵的认知与建构[J]. 地理学报, 2019,74(4):633-647.
	[ Chen Mingxing, Ye Chao, Lu Dadao, et al. Cognition and construction of the theoretical connotation for new-type urbanization with Chinese characteristics. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019,74(4):633-647. ]
[16]	陆大道, 姚士谋. 中国城镇化进程的科学思辨[J]. 人文地理, 2007,22(4):1-5, 26.
	[ Lu Dadao, Yao Shimou. A scientific thought about urbanization progress in China. Human Geography, 2007,22(4):1-5, 26. ]
[17]	方创琳, 王德利. 中国城市化发展质量的综合测度与提升路径[J]. 地理研究, 2011,30(11):1931-1946.
	[ Fang Chuanglin, Wang Deli. Comprehensive measures and improvement of Chinese urbanization development quality. Geographical Research, 2011,30(11):1931-1946. ]
[18]	李小建, 罗庆. 新型城镇化中的协调思想分析[J]. 中国人口∙资源与环境, 2014,24(2):47-53.
	[ Li Xiaojian, Luo Qing. The coordinating ideas of new-form urbanization. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2014,24(2):47-53. ]
[19]	王云, 马丽, 刘毅. 城镇化研究进展与趋势: 基于CiteSpace和HistCite的图谱量化分析[J]. 地理科学进展, 2018,37(2):239-254.
	[ Wang Yun, Ma Li, Liu Yi. Progress and trend analysis of urbanization research: Visualized quantitative study based on CiteSpace and HistCite. Progress in Geography, 2018,37(2):239-254. ]
[20]	边雪, 陈昊宇, 曹广忠. 基于人口、产业和用地结构关系的城镇化模式类型及演进特征: 以长三角地区为例[J]. 地理研究, 2013,32(12):2281-2291.
	[ Bian Xue, Chen Haoyu, Cao Guangzhong. Patterns of regional urbanization and its implications: An empirical study of the Yangtze River Delta region. Geographical Research, 2013,32(12):2281-2291. ]
[21]	曹广忠, 边雪, 刘涛. 基于人口、产业和用地结构的城镇化水平评估与解释: 以长三角地区为例[J]. 地理研究, 2011,30(12):2139-2149.
	[ Cao Guangzhong, Bian Xue, Liu Tao. Comprehensive evaluation of the urbanization level in Yangtze River Delta Region: An index framework based on the population, economic structure and land use. Geographical Research, 2011,30(12):2139-2149. ]
[22]	孙东琪, 张京祥, 张明斗, 等. 长江三角洲城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合关系[J]. 地理科学进展, 2013,32(7):1060-1071.
	[ Sun Dongqi, Zhang Jingxiang, Zhang Mingdou, et al. Coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level in the Yangtze River Delta. Progress in Geography, 2013,32(7):1060-1071. ]
[23]	周艳, 黄贤金, 徐国良, 等. 长三角城市土地扩张与人口增长耦合态势及其驱动机制[J]. 地理研究, 2016,35(2):313-324.
	[ Zhou Yan, Huang Xianjin, Xu Guoliang, et al. The coupling and driving forces between urban land expansion and population growth in Yangtze River Delta. Geographical Research, 2016,35(2):313-324. ]
[24]	王锋, 张芳, 林翔燕, 等. 长三角“人口—土地—经济—社会”城镇化的耦合协调性研究[J]. 工业技术经济, 2018,37(4):45-52.
	[ Wang Feng, Zhang Fang, Lin Xiangyan, et al. Study on coupling coordination degree among "population, land, economy and society" urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta Region. Journal of Industrial Technological Economics, 2018,37(4):45-52. ]
[25]	Xu D, Hou G L. The spatiotemporal coupling characteristics of regional urbanization and its influencing factors: Taking the Yangtze River Delta as an example[J]. Sustainability, 2019,11(3):822. doi: 10.3390/su11030822.
[26]	范擎宇, 杨山, 胡信. 耦合视角下长三角地区城镇化协调度的时空特征及交互机制[J]. 地理研究, 2020,39(2):289-302.
	[ Fan Qingyu, Yang Shan, Hu Xin. Temporal and spatial characteristics and interaction process of urbanization coordination in the Yangtze River Delta region from the perspective of coupling. Geographical Research, 2020,39(2):289-302. ]
[27]	Theil H. Economics and information theory [M]. Amsterdam, the Netherlands: North Holland Publishing Company, 1967: 185-188.
[28]	樊杰, 陶岸君, 吕晨. 中国经济与人口重心的耦合态势及其对区域发展的影响[J]. 地理科学进展, 2010,29(1):87-95.
	[ Fan Jie, Tao Anjun, Lv Chen. The coupling mechanism of the centroids of economic gravity and population gravity and its effect on the regional gap in China. Progress in Geography, 2010,29(1):87-95. ]
[29]	LeSage J, Pace R K. Introduction to spatial econometrics [M]. New York, USA: CRC Press, 2009.
[30]	Getis A, Ord J K. The analysis of spatial association by use of distance statistics[J]. Geographical Analysis, 1992,24(3):189-206.
[31]	Elhorst J P. Specification and estimation of spatial panel data models[J]. International Regional Science Review, 2003,26(3):244-268.
[32]	陈明星, 陆大道, 张华. 中国城市化水平的综合测度及其动力因子分析[J]. 地理学报, 2009,64(4):387-398.
	[ Chen Mingxing, Lu Dadao, Zhang Hua. Comprehensive evaluation and the driving factors of China's urbanization. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2009,64(4):387-398. ]
[33]	曹文莉, 张小林, 潘义勇, 等. 发达地区人口、土地与经济城镇化协调发展度研究[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2012,22(2):141-146.
	[ Cao Wenli, Zhang Xiaolin, Pan Yiyong, et al. Coordinate development among population, land and economy urbanization in developed area: The case of Jiangsu Province. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2012,22(2):141-146. ]
[34]	Liu Y Q, Xu J P, Luo H W. An integrated approach to modelling the economy-society-ecology system in urbanization process[J]. Sustainability, 2014,6(4):1946-1972.
[35]	朱江丽, 李子联. 长三角城市群产业—人口—空间耦合协调发展研究[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2015,25(2):75-82.
	[ Zhu Jiangli, Li Zilian. Coupling coordination development of Industry-population-space in city cluster of Yangtze River-Delta region. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2015,25(2):75-82. ]
[36]	张宇, 曹卫东, 梁双波, 等. 长江经济带城镇化协同演化时空格局研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016,25(5):715-724.
	[ Zhang Yu, Cao Weidong, Liang Shuangbo, et al. Research on the co-evolution temporal and spatial patterns of urbanization in Yangtze River economic belt. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2016,25(5):715-724. ]
[37]	范擎宇, 杨山. 协调视角下长三角城市群的空间结构演变与优化[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019,34(8):1581-1592.
	[ Fan Qingyu, Yang Shan, Evolution and optimization of spatial structure of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from the perspective of coordination. Journal of Natural Resources, 2019,34(8):1581-1592. ]
[38]	欧向军, 甄峰, 秦永东, 等. 区域城市化水平综合测度及其理想动力分析: 以江苏省为例[J]. 地理研究, 2008,27(5):993-1002.
	[ Ou Xiangjun, Zhen Feng, Qin Yongdong, et al. Study on compression level and ideal impetus of regional urbanization: The case of Jiangsu Province. Geographical Research, 2008,27(5):993-1002. ]
[39]	王亚华, 袁源, 王映力, 等. 人口城市化与土地城市化耦合发展关系及其机制研究: 以江苏省为例[J]. 地理研究, 2017,36(1):149-160.
	[ Wang Yahua, Yuan Yuan, Wang Yingli, et al. Relationship and mechanism of coupling development between population and land urbanization: A case study of Jiangsu Province. Geographical Research, 2017,36(1):149-160. ]
[40]	吴一凡, 刘彦随, 李裕瑞. 中国人口与土地城镇化时空耦合特征及驱动机制[J]. 地理学报, 2018,73(10):1865-1879.
	[ Wu Yifan, Liu Yansui, Li Yurui. Spatio-temporal coupling of demographic-landscape urbanization and its driving forces in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018,73(10):1865-1879. ]
[41]	刘帅宾, 杨山, 王钊. 基于人口流的中国省域城镇化空间关联特征及形成机制[J]. 地理学报, 2019,74(4):648-663.
	[ Liu Shuaibin, Yang Shan, Wang Zhao. Characteristics and formation mechanism of China's provincial urbanization spatial correlation based on population flow. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019,74(4):648-663. ]

年份	重心坐标参数			标准差椭圆参数
年份	重心(经度, 纬度)	方向	偏移/km	转角/(°)	主轴半径/km	辅轴半径/km
2001	119°06′43″E, 31°32′28″N	—	—	141.357	277.469	166.897
2005	119°07′00″E, 31°29′54″N	东南	4.755	141.357	278.890	168.875
2009	119°09′20″E, 31°30′32″N	东北	3.919	142.809	278.599	169.160
2013	119°13′50″E, 31°31′39″N	东北	7.476	144.287	277.629	169.267
2016	119°08′01″E, 31°33′47″N	西北	10.110	142.648	278.774	168.932

原假设	F统计量	概率(P)	结论
Y不是Pgdp的Granger原因	0.064	0.938	接受原假设
Pgdp不是Y的Granger原因	5.560	0.004	拒绝原假设^***
Y不是Tra的Granger原因	10.126	<0.001	拒绝原假设^***
Tra不是Y的Granger原因	9.389	<0.001	拒绝原假设^***
Y不是Pop的Granger原因	0.501	0.524	接受原假设
Pop不是Y的Granger原因	6.358	<0.001	拒绝原假设^***
Y不是Tec的Granger原因	25.366	<0.001	拒绝原假设^***
Tec不是Y的Granger原因	0.566	<0.001	拒绝原假设^***
Y不是Gov的Granger原因	1.587	0.164	接受原假设
Gov不是Y的Granger原因	12.208	<0.001	拒绝原假设^***

检验方法	统计值	概率	检验方法	统计值	概率
LM-spatial lag	234.98	<0.01	Wald-spatial lag	256.56	<0.01
Robust LM-spatial lag	19.36	<0.01	LR-spatial lag	246.23	<0.01
LM-spatial error	276.38	<0.01	Wald-spatial error	298.28	<0.01
Robust LM-spatial error	75.16	<0.01	LR-spatial error	401.29	<0.01

变量	NF	TF	SF	STF	变量	NF	TF	SF	STF
Pgdp	0.441^*	0.555^*	0.601^**	0.542^**	W*Pgdp	0.302^**	0.289^*	0.311^**	0.262^**
Tra	0.207^*	0.362^*	0.378^**	0.241^**	W*Tra	0.406^*	0.241^**	0.305^*	0.157^*
Pop	0.102^**	0.147^*	0.301^*	0.158	W*Pop	0.204^*	0.204^*	0.196	0.457
Tec	0.268^*	0.458^**	0.324^**	0.314^*	W*Tec	0.356^*	0.225^**	0.241^**	0.238^*
Gov	0.254^*	0.347^**	0.365^***	0.401^**	W*Gov	0.044	0.124^**	0.187^*	0.224^**
Adj.R²	0.854	0.768	0.898	0.505	δ	0.350	0.247^**	0.275^**	0.089^*
Loglikelihood	-160.247	-145.260	-88.052	-89.222

空间效应	Pgdp	Gov	Tra	Tec	Pop
直接效应	0.302^***	0.214^***	0.207^**	0.202^*	0.127^**
间接效应	0.156^***	0.131^*	0.123^*	0.112^*	0.152^*
总效应	0.458^***	0.345^*	0.330^**	0.314^*	0.279^*

Spatial characteristics and formation mechanism of coordinated development of urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

Figures/Tables 10

References 41

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 0

[1]	LIU Zhou, ZHU Shengjun. External knowledge environments and new export market expansion of domestic enterprises [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(2): 194-206.
[2]	LIANG Xinyuan, JIN Xiaobin, HAN Bo, SUN Rui, ZHANG Xiaolin, ZHOU Yinkang. Landscape multifunctionality change in rapidly urbanized areas of the Yangtze River Delta:A case study of Suzhou City [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(2): 207-219.
[3]	YE Chao, YU Jie, ZHANG Qingyuan, ZHU Xiaodan. From governance to rural-urban co-governance: Research frontiers, trends, and the Chinese paths [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 15-27.
[4]	ZENG Guojun, XU Yuchen, WANG Longjie, ZHONG Shuru. From localization to de-localization and re-localization: Transformation of the human-land relationship in China’s urbanization process [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 28-39.
[5]	LI Bohua, LI Xue, CHEN Xinxin, DOU Yindi, LIU Peilin. Two-wheel driven construction of characteristic tourist towns under the background of new urbanization [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 40-49.
[6]	CHEN Mingxing, HUANG Xinrong, HUANG Gengzhi, YANG Yanshan. New urbanization and informal employment: Scale, pattern, and social integration [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 50-60.
[7]	CHEN Xiaoyan, XU Dong, HUANG Rui, HU Xiaohai, HUANG Zhenfang, ZHANG Chen. Spatial spillover effects of county-scale tourism economic growth in Zhejiang Province [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(9): 1512-1521.
[8]	AO Xue, ZHAI Qingfei, CUI Yan, ZHOU Xiaoyu, SHEN Lidu, ZHAO Chunyu, Ning Xilong. Detection of urbanization effect on the climate change in Liaoning Province based on empirical orthogonal function methods [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(9): 1532-1543.
[9]	XIAO Lei, PAN Jie. Re-examination of urbanization paths and mechanism in population outflow areas: A case study of counties in Sichuan Province [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(3): 402-409.
[10]	LIN Liyue, ZHU Yu, KE Wenqian. Changes in the form of population migration and mobility in China and corresponding policy responses at the late-intermediate stage of urbanization [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(12): 2054-2067.
[11]	WANG Yiru, WANG Chen, ZENG Jindi. Study on the trend and influencing factors of overweight and obesity in Chinese adults under interactions of individual and environment [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(1): 100-110.
[12]	YANG Kui,ZHANG Yu,ZHAO Xiaofeng,WEN Qi,ZHONG Taiyang. Temporal and spatial characteristics and influencing factors of structural efficiency of rural land use [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(9): 1393-1402.
[13]	XU Zening,GAO Xiaolu,WU Danxian,LIAO Liuwen. Change of rural human resources from 2000 to 2010 in China [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(8): 1259-1270.
[14]	Li WANG, Jianjun ZHANG. The process of place identity iteration from a life-course perspective: An analysis of individual-family mobility [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(6): 896-903.
[15]	Yanwen SHI, Erling LI, Xiaojian LI, Shixin REN. Innovation pathways and spillover effects of agricultural industrial clusters: A case of vegetable production industrial cluster in Shouguang City, Shandong Province [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(6): 861-871.