珠三角新晋跨境制造业企业地理集聚与区位选择

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2019.10.013

Abstract

Abstract:

The cross-border capital of the Pearl River Delta has received extensive attention from international economic geographers because of its cultural diversity and geopolitical specificity. The theoretical model of "hybrid capitalism" was proposed base on this. However, due to the limitations of data and methods, relevant research mostly stays at the level of theoretical and qualitative exploration. The research based on firm-level samples is deficient, especially quantitative models that incorporate the new economic factors such as firm heterogeneity. Based on the sample data of enterprises, this study synthetically considered the traditional economic factors and new economic factors such as institution, agglomeration, innovation, and firm heterogeneity. In order to explain the mechanism of foreign direct investment (FDI) location choice from the firm level, we also combined a spatial analysis method and spatial regression model. Kernel density spatial analysis and spatial lag modeling based on firm samples were conducted to uncover the geographical agglomeration characteristics and location factors of the new-born cross-border manufacturing firms (NCMF) in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) during 2005-2009 and 2009-2013. To explore the location choice mechanism of FDI in the transitional period, we also focused on the impact mechanism of location choice of NCMF in the PRD before and after the global financial crisis (2005-2009). The main results are as follow: 1) The spatial agglomeration of the NCMF in the PRD is lower than before. The NCMF in the two periods of 2005-2009 and 2009-2013 showed great differences in structure and distribution characteristics. The hotspot of firm distribution began to expand from the east coast of the PRD to the west side after 2005, and after 2009, firm agglomeration in the east coast was again obvious. 2) After the global financial crisis, the development momentum of the PRD has undergone fundamental changes. The advantages of low labor cost and preferential policies of development zones that attracted cross-border manufacturing firms have gradually weakened, while agglomeration factors, innovation factors, and firm heterogeneity have become the key factors that affect the spatial agglomeration and location choice of NCMF. 3) In the period of a dynamic transformation, the Pearl River Delta needs to regain its new advantages of development by building a sound institutional environment, establishing innovation networks, enhancing factor agglomeration, and formulating diversified investment policies according to firm preferences. This study examined the location choice of FDI within the economic region using the firm-level data, and may provide an empirical reference for understanding the dynamic transformation and spatial reconstruction of the export-oriented economic region represented by the Pearl River Delta in China during the transition period.

Key words: NCMF, labor cost, innovation, institution, firm heterogeneity

YE Yuyao,WU Kangmin,ZHANG Hongou,WU Qitao,CHEN Weilian. Geographical agglomeration and location factors of the new-born cross-border manufactural firms in the Pearl River Delta[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(10): 1583-1595.

Figures/Tables 9

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References 72

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项目	企业数/个	产值规模 /万元	企业平均从业人数/人	劳动生产率 /(万元/人)	集聚程度R
2005年既有跨境制造业企业	12841	19967.94	481	508.50	0.294
2005—2009年NCMF	3558	15121.26	327	530.25	0.350
2009—2013年NCMF	1554	238460.83	500.51	1112.98	0.3676

分类	影响因素	指标测算	数据来源	备注
一般经济因素	劳动力成本	测算劳动生产率,即单位劳动力产出的GDP,一般而言,劳动生产率越高,代表劳动力成本越低	工业企业数据库	连续变量纳入回归模型
	本地市场需求	地市社会消费品零售总额	统计年鉴
	基础设施水平	等级以上路网密度(格网尺度为10 km×10 km)	交通路网矢量数据
新经济因素	集聚因素	2005年已有跨境制造业企业核密度值(500 m×500 m)	工业企业数据库
	创新因素	2005年已有高新技术企业核密度值(500 m×500 m)	工业企业数据库
	企业异质性	企业规模差异,用企业工业总产值表示	工业企业数据库
		外资来源地差异,港澳资本VS非港澳外资	工业企业数据库	非连续变量设置对照组
		投资方式差异,外商独资VS合资、合作	工业企业数据库
		产业结构水平差异,劳动密集型VS资本密集型VS技术密集型	工业企业数据库
	制度因素	政策区划差异,企业样点位于省级开发区内VS位于省级开发区外	省级以上开发区边界数据

变量	系数	Std.	z	P
W	0.9173^***	0.0050	182.934	<0.0001
常数项	-0.0030^***	0.0011	-2.8012	0.0051
劳动生产率	1.31E-07	1.22E-07	1.0793	0.2805
本地市场需求	-1.33E-10^***	4.13E-11	-3.2145	0.0013
基础设施水平	0.0080^***	0.0015	5.3131	<0.0001
集聚因素	0.0178^***	0.0013	14.1087	<0.0001
创新因素	0.0058^***	0.0020	2.8397	0.0045
企业规模	-1.61E-10	2.54E-10	-0.6324	0.5271
	R²: 0.9916; AIC: -19971.90

变量	港澳台资本				非港澳台外资
变量	系数	Std.	z	P	系数	Std.	z	P
W	0.8601^***	0.0079	108.6790	<0.0001	0.7746^***	0.0127	61.0412	<0.0001
常数项	-0.0001	0.0017	-0.0838	0.9332	0.0174^***	0.0029	5.9675	<0.0001
劳动生产率	-1.99E-08	2.15E-07	-0.0926	0.9262	1.45E-07	2.53E-07	0.5734	0.5664
本地市场需求	-1.86E-10^***	6.65E-11	-2.7978	0.0052	-1.65E-10^*	9.64E-11	-1.7085	0.0876
基础设施水平	0.0087^***	0.0023	3.8543	0.0001	-0.0048	0.0038	-1.2509	0.2110
集聚因素	0.0299^***	0.0020	15.1362	<0.0001	0.0455^***	0.0030	15.1564	<0.0001
创新因素	0.0086^***	0.0032	2.6965	0.0070	0.0096^*	0.0049	1.9440	0.0519
企业规模	7.05E-10	6.05E-10	1.1654	0.2438	-9.37E-10^*	5.25E-10	-1.7858	0.0741
	R²: 0.9886; AIC: -11731.00				R²: 0.9786; AIC: -6097.26

变量	独资				合资、合作
变量	系数	Std.	z	P	系数	Std.	z	P
W	0.8933^***	0.0062	143.7600	<0.0001	0.3278^***	0.0182	18.0008	<0.0001
常数项	0.0004	0.0013	0.2719	0.7857	0.0359^***	0.0067	5.3521	<0.0001
劳动生产率	-5.38E-08	2.71E-07	-0.1989	0.8423	2.42E-07	3.63E-07	0.6660	0.5054
本地市场需求	-1.02E-10^**	5.15E-11	-1.9734	0.0485	-1.57E-09^***	2.33E-10	-6.7469	<0.0001
基础设施水平	0.0049^***	0.0018	2.6856	0.0072	0.0058	0.0094	0.6106	0.5414
集聚因素	0.0230^***	0.0015	14.8809	<0.0001	0.1711^***	0.0059	29.0275	<0.0001
创新因素	0.0058^**	0.0025	2.3392	0.0193	-0.0348^**	0.0139	-2.5002	0.0124
企业规模	-2.58E-10	3.37E-10	-0.7658	0.4438	-7.65E-11	2.59E-09	-0.0295	0.9765
	R²: 0.9904; AIC: -16063.90				R²: 0.9112; AIC: -2219.80

Geographical agglomeration and location factors of the new-born cross-border manufactural firms in the Pearl River Delta

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变量	技术密集				劳动密集				资本密集
变量	系数	Std.	z	P	系数	Std.	z	P	系数	Std.	z	P
W	0.4860^***	0.0232	20.9611	<0.0001	0.5853^***	0.0181	32.312	<0.0001	0.8677^***	0.0077	112.5980	<0.0001
常数项	0.0731^***	0.0077	9.5037	<0.0001	0.0264^***	0.0040	6.6161	<0.0001	0.0036^**	0.0017	2.1329	0.0329
劳动生产率	-1.29E-06	1.69E-06	-0.7632	0.4454	-4.33E-06	2.75E-06	-1.5733	0.1157	1.17E-07	1.43E-07	0.8153	0.4149
本地市场需求	3.17E-10	3.37E-10	0.9385	0.3480	-9.48E-10^***	1.56E-10	-6.0782	<0.0001	-1.19E-10^**	5.90E-11	-2.0171	0.0437
基础设施水平	-0.0593^***	0.0100	-5.9168	<0.0001	0.0032	0.0054	0.5894	0.5556	0.0030	0.0023	1.3010	0.1933
集聚因素	0.1298^***	0.0079	16.4987	<0.0001	0.0802^***	0.0043	18.6195	<0.0001	0.0277^***	0.0019	14.9117	<0.0001
创新因素	-0.0838^***	0.0172	-4.8688	<0.0001	0.0423^***	0.0076	5.5580	<0.0001	0.0083^***	0.0029	2.8332	0.0046
企业规模	4.47E-10	9.10E-10	0.4915	0.6231	3.36E-09	6.07E-09	0.5534	0.5800	2.53E-10	6.20E-10	0.4080	0.6833
	R²: 0.9451; AIC: -1873.70				R²: 0.9650; AIC: -4281.33				R²: 0.9903; AIC: -10693.00

变量	开发区内				开发区外
变量	系数	Std.	z	P	系数	Std.	z	P
W	0.8245^***	0.0198	41.7005	<0.0001	0.9118^***	0.0054	169.7390	<0.0001
常数项	0.011^***	0.0032	3.4877	0.0005	-0.0040^***	0.0012	-3.2735	0.0011
劳动生产率	-3.16E-07	4.46E-07	-0.7091	0.4783	1.64E-07	1.32E-07	1.2464	0.2126
本地市场需求	-1.81E-10^*	1.10E-10	-1.6536	0.0982	-1.82E-10^***	4.87E-11	-3.7486	0.0002
基础设施水平	0.0034	0.0054	0.6224	0.5337	0.0095^***	0.0017	5.7034	<0.0001
集聚因素	0.0440^***	0.0063	6.9284	<0.0001	0.0186^***	0.0013	13.9385	<0.0001
创新因素	-0.0300^***	0.0107	-2.7951	0.0052	0.0084^***	0.0022	3.8316	0.0001
企业规模	-5.30E-10	4.30E-10	-1.2345	0.2170	-1.02E-10	3.59E-10	-0.2832	0.7770
	R²: 0.9645; AIC: -2539.12				R²: 0.9917; AIC: -17120.30