PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2018, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (12): 1653-1662.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2018.12.007

Special Issue: 人口与城市研究 粤港澳大湾区

• Special Column: Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Mutual influencing mechanism of industry-population-space in the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration in the context of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area development

Jin LIU1,3(), Yinsheng TIAN1,2,*()   

  1. 1. College of Architecture, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China
    2. State Key Laboratory of Subtropical Building Science, Guangzhou 510640, China
    3. Management School of Guangdong Peizheng College, Guangzhou 510830, China
  • Received:2017-10-16 Revised:2018-02-25 Online:2018-12-28 Published:2018-12-28
  • Contact: Yinsheng TIAN E-mail:liujin1984yy@126.com;arystian@scut.edu.cn
  • Supported by:
    National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.51678241;Independent Innovation Fund for State Key Laboratory of Subtropical Building Science, No.2017KB08

Abstract:

The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area with economic geographical advantages is deemed to be the growth point that captivated the world for its impetus to the global economy. This article focuses on the nine main cities of the Pearl River Delta, analyzing the mutual influences among industry-population-space during the rapid development process of this urban agglomeration by constructing a vector auto regressive model and impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis. The results show that: The absorption effect for population in the development of industry in the urban agglomeration of the Pearl River Delta faded in the late stage. The acceleration that industry benefitted from population aggregation weakened in the middle and late periods. The spatial expansion effects on population aggregation were limited and have become negative in the late period. It concludes that in general a short-term mutual promoting development mechanism between industry-population-space was formed, but a long-term mechanism is yet to be developed. In order to promote the development of the Greater Bay Area of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao, the urban agglomeration of the Pearl River Delta should attract highly-qualified workforce on the basis of industrial upgrading, plan spatial growth according to the population aggregation, and construct a multilevel synergistic industrial space with complementary products and services. With these measures, the overall aims are to strengthen the synergistic development among industry, population, and space and promote the development of the Greater Bay Area of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao.

Key words: urban agglomeration, industry-population-space, vector auto regressive (VAR) model, mutual influence, Pearl River Delta, Guangdong-HongKong-Macao Greater Bay Area