PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2018, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (12): 1653-1662.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2018.12.007
Special Issue: 人口与城市研究; 粤港澳大湾区
• Special Column: Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area • Previous Articles Next Articles
Jin LIU1,3(), Yinsheng TIAN1,2,*(
)
Received:
2017-10-16
Revised:
2018-02-25
Online:
2018-12-28
Published:
2018-12-28
Contact:
Yinsheng TIAN
E-mail:liujin1984yy@126.com;arystian@scut.edu.cn
Supported by:
Jin LIU, Yinsheng TIAN. Mutual influencing mechanism of industry-population-space in the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration in the context of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area development[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 37(12): 1653-1662.
Tab.1
Unit root test (ADF) results of variable sequence"
序列 | 检验形式(C, T, L) | ADF值 | 10% | 5% | 1% | P值 | 检验结果 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FNCY | (C, T, 0) | -0.8153 | -2.7133 | -3.0655 | -3.9203 | 0.7871 | 非平稳 |
CZRK | (C, T, 0) | -0.1444 | -2.7133 | -3.0655 | -3.9203 | 0.9281 | 非平稳 |
JCMJ | (C, T, 0) | -1.3951 | -2.7133 | -3.0655 | -3.9203 | 0.5581 | 非平稳 |
lnFNCY | (C, 0, 0) | -3.0448 | -2.7316 | -3.0810 | -3.9591 | 0.0533 | 平稳 |
lnCZRK | (C, 0, 0) | -2.7496 | -2.7316 | -3.0810 | -3.9591 | 0.0891 | 平稳 |
lnJCMJ | (C, 0, 0) | -3.8883 | -2.7316 | -3.0810 | -3.9591 | 0.0114 | 平稳 |
Tab.3
Results of Johanson co-integration relation test"
原假设 | 特征根 | Trace(特征根迹检验) | Max(最大特征值检验) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
统计量 | 5%临界值 | P值 | 统计量 | 5%临界值 | P值 | |||
无特征根* | 0.7152 | 45.9541 | 29.7970 | 0.0003 | 18.8427 | 21.1316 | 0.1015 | |
最多1个特征根* | 0.6243 | 27.1113 | 15.4947 | 0.0006 | 14.6865 | 14.2646 | 0.0429 | |
最多2个特征根 | 0.5632 | 12.4247 | 3.8414 | 0.0004 | 12.4247 | 3.8414 | 0.0004 |
Tab.5
Vector auto regression parameter estimates result"
变量序列 | lnCZRK | lnFNCY | lnJCMJ |
---|---|---|---|
lnCZRK(-1) | 0.952082 | 0.530069 | 0.210302 |
(0.23502) | (0.53042) | (0.15275) | |
lnCZRK(-2) | -0.608563 | -1.307026 | -0.190160 |
(0.23300) | (0.52587) | (0.15144) | |
lnFNCY(-1) | -0.127860 | 0.587268 | 0.122371 |
(0.11624) | (0.26235) | (0.07555) | |
lnFNCY(-2) | 0.242163 | -0.122154 | 0.044644 |
(0.10134) | (0.22871) | (0.06587) | |
lnJCMJ(-1) | 0.328441 | 1.150933 | 0.460311 |
(0.36196) | (0.81691) | (0.23526) | |
lnJCMJ(-2) | -0.306956 | 0.922405 | -0.042890 |
(0.38349) | (0.86551) | (0.24925) | |
常数项C | 4.279901 | -4.912637 | 2.973355 |
(1.74620) | (3.94102) | (1.13495) | |
R-squared | 0.990718 | 0.998204 | 0.998442 |
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