PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2017, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (10): 1294-1303.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2017.10.011
• Special Issue: Health Geography and Human Settlement • Previous Articles Next Articles
Bindong SUN1,2(), Jieyuan HUA1,3, Wan LI1,2, Tinglin ZHANG1,2
Online:
2017-10-28
Published:
2017-10-28
Supported by:
Bindong SUN, Jieyuan HUA, Wan LI, Tinglin ZHANG. Spatial structure change and influencing factors of city clusters in China:From monocentric to polycentric based on population distribution[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2017, 36(10): 1294-1303.
Tab.1
The scope of China's city clusters"
城市群 | 地级及以上城市 |
---|---|
长三角 | 上海、苏州、无锡、常州、镇江、南京、扬州、泰州、南通、杭州、嘉兴、湖州、绍兴、宁波、舟山(88-82-68) |
珠三角 | 广州、深圳、佛山、江门、惠州、珠海、东莞、中山、肇庆(38-31-24) |
京津唐 | 北京、天津、廊坊、唐山、秦皇岛(40-36-30) |
辽中南 | 沈阳、鞍山、抚顺、本溪、辽阳、营口、大连(24-29-29) |
山东半岛 | 济南、青岛、淄博、潍坊、烟台、威海(40-38-37) |
闽东南 | 福州、莆田、泉州、厦门、漳州(32-31-30) |
成渝 | 成都、资阳、内江、自贡、重庆(32-30-27) |
中原 | 郑州、开封、洛阳、新乡、焦作、济源(40-42-42) |
关中 | 西安、咸阳、铜川、宝鸡(34-33-30) |
哈大齐 | 哈尔滨、大庆、齐齐哈尔(17-29-27) |
长吉 | 长春、吉林(12-11-11) |
武汉① | 武汉、鄂州、黄石(8-5-5) |
长株潭 | 长沙、株洲、湘潭(14-15-15) |
Tab.2
Descriptive statistics of variables"
变量 | 1990年 | 2000年 | 2010年 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
均值 | 标准差 | 均值 | 标准差 | 均值 | 标准差 | |
空间结构指数 | 1.226 | 0.204 | 1.065 | 0.266 | 1.056 | 0.266 |
经济发展水平(ln) | 8.374 | 0.326 | 8.841 | 0.187 | 8.857 | 0.248 |
人口规模(ln) | 6.758 | 0.608 | 7.141 | 0.659 | 7.480 | 0.717 |
行政区面积(ln) | 10.837 | 0.608 | 10.865 | 0.571 | 10.870 | 0.569 |
产业结构 | 1.878 | 0.455 | 1.182 | 0.277 | 1.238 | 0.247 |
政府干预 | 20.736 | 12.430 | 13.835 | 7.923 | 24.320 | 11.496 |
交通基础设施(ln) | -0.460 | 0.972 | 0.342 | 0.969 | 2.277 | 0.718 |
开放度 | 2.470 | 2.499 | 4.282 | 3.519 | 3.408 | 1.744 |
Tab.3
Influencing factors of spatial structure change of city clusters in China, 1990-2010"
变量 | (1) FE | (2) FE | (3) FE | (4) FE | (5) FE | (6) RE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
经济发展水平(ln) | -0.2670*** | -0.1704 | -0.2411** | -0.3163*** | -0.2789*** | -0.2844*** |
(0.087) | (0.097) | (0.088) | (0.074) | (0.086) | (0.066) | |
人口规模(ln) | -0.1398** | -0.1559* | -0.3439** | -0.3452** | 0.0058 | |
(0.060) | (0.074) | (0.133) | (0.131) | (0.114) | ||
行政区面积(ln) | 0.0019 | 0.0285 | 0.0121 | -0.0030 | 0.0325 | |
(0.061) | (0.062) | (0.083) | (0.082) | (0.055) | ||
产业结构 | -0.0725 | -0.0845 | -0.0827 | -0.0466 | ||
(0.063) | (0.070) | (0.066) | (0.045) | |||
政府干预 | 0.0006 | -0.0036 | -0.0031 | 0.0013 | ||
(0.002) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.003) | |||
交通基础设施(ln) | 0.0680* | 0.0652* | -0.0466 | |||
(0.037) | (0.036) | (0.048) | ||||
开放度 | -0.0080 | -0.0024 | ||||
(0.008) | (0.007) | |||||
常数项 | 3.4362*** | 3.5714*** | 4.1051*** | 6.3271*** | 6.1916*** | 3.2604*** |
(0.754) | (0.714) | (0.581) | (1.412) | (1.334) | (1.048) | |
调整R2 | 0.438 | 0.557 | 0.579 | 0.640 | 0.650 | 0.6033 |
样本量 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 |
截面个数 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Tab.4
Influencing factors of spatial structure change of city clusters in China, 1984-2012"
变量 | (1) FGLS | (2) FGLS | (3) FGLS |
---|---|---|---|
经济发展水平(ln) | -0.0106*** | ||
(0.000) | |||
经济发展水平滞后一期(ln) | -0.0134*** | ||
(0.000) | |||
经济发展水平滞后二期(ln) | -0.0172*** | ||
(0.001) | |||
人口规模(ln) | -0.2495*** | -0.2679*** | -0.2803*** |
(0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |
行政区面积(ln) | 0.0324*** | 0.0575*** | 0.0552*** |
(0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |
产业结构 | 0.0113*** | 0.0319*** | 0.0083*** |
(0.000) | (0.001) | (0.003) | |
政府干预 | -0.0909*** | -0.0550*** | -0.0963*** |
(0.004) | (0.001) | (0.002) | |
交通基础设施(ln) | 0.0028*** | -0.0023*** | -0.0101*** |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
开放度 | -0.0230*** | 0.1308*** | -0.1024*** |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.010) | |
时间效应 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
个体效应 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
常数项 | 2.7075*** | 2.6197*** | 2.6951*** |
(0.017) | (0.029) | (0.032) | |
样本量 | 195 | 182 | 169 |
截面个数 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
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