1961-2013年全球橡胶生产时空演变特征

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2016.10.006

Abstract

Abstract:

Natural rubber is one of the four main raw materials (steel, petroleum, coal, and rubber) of industry and a globally important strategic material. Using concentration index and two-way analysis of variance method and the rubber production data of 1961-2013 at provincial, national and global scales from the Food and Agriculture Organization Corporate Statistical Database (FAOSTAT), we quantified the spatial and temporal patterns and change of rubber production and investigated the main influencing factors of these changes. The results show that: (1) Since 1961, the global total rubber production has achieved great development, showing an overall increasing trend. The rubber production of the major rubber-producing countries of Asian (MRPCA) accounted for more than 90% of global output, with a clear multi-stage growth trend in 1961-2013. (2) Spatially, rubber production showed a concentrated pattern in the MRPCA, especially in Southeast Asia, including the most concentrated countries of Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia. The disparities of national rubber production were significant among the MRPCA and the gaps further expanded during this time period. (3) The main factor affecting rubber production was plantation area. But in a few countries such as China and Thailand, rubber production was mainly impacted by rubber yield. (4) Global rubber production changes from "big three (Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia)" to a "dual core (Thailand and Indonesia)" distribution. Rubber plantations of the MRPCA generally expanded northward from the countries of island Southeast Asia to the counterparts in mainland Southeast Asia. The latter has become an advantage region in major rubber producing area of the world that shows great potential.

Key words: rubber production, spatiotemporal pattern, regional difference, Southeast Asia

Chiwei XIAO, Zhiming FENG, Peng LI. Spatiotemporal changes of global rubber production during 1961-2013[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2016, 35(10): 1228-1236.

Figures/Tables 5

Fig.1

Fig.2

Fig.3

Fig.4

Tab.1

References 24

[1]	封志明, 李香莲. 2000. 耕地与粮食安全战略: 藏粮于土, 提高中国土地资源的综合生产能力[J]. 地理学与国土研究, 16(3): 1-5. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-0504.2000.03.001
	[Feng Z M, Li X L.2000. The stratagem of cultivated land and food supplies security: Storing food in land-raising the comprehensive productivity of land resource of China[J]. Geography and Territorial Research, 16(3): 1-5.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-0504.2000.03.001
[2]	封志明, 刘晓娜, 姜鲁光, 等. 2013. 中老缅交界地区橡胶种植的时空格局及其地形因素分析[J]. 地理学报, 68(10): 1432-1446. doi: 10.11821/dlxb201310012
	[Feng Z M, Liu X N, Jiang L G, et al.2013. Spatial-temporal analysis of rubber plantation and its relationship with topographical factors in the border region of China, Laos and Myanmar[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 68(10): 1432-1446.] doi: 10.11821/dlxb201310012
[3]	封志明, 杨艳昭, 张晶, 等. 2007. 从栅格到县域: 中国粮食生产的资源潜力区域差异分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 22(5): 747-755. doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2007.05.009
	[Feng Z M, Yang Y Z, Zhang J, et al.2007. A GIS based study on the grain productivity and potential yield increase at multi-levels in China[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 22(5): 747-755.] doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2007.05.009
[4]	高天明, 沈镭, 刘立涛, 等. 2012. 橡胶种植对景洪市经济社会和生态环境的影响[J]. 资源科学, 34(7): 1200-1206.
	[Gao T M, Shen L, Liu L T, et al.2012. The impacts of rubber plantation on society, economy and eco-environment in Jinghong City[J]. Resources Science, 34(7): 1200-1206.]
[5]	郭又新. 2011. 20世纪90年代以来越南天然橡胶产业政策探析[J]. 东南亚研究,(3): 33-38, 78. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-6099.2011.03.006
	[Guo Y X.2011. The natural rubber policy of Vietnam since 1990s: A primary survey[J]. Southeast Asian Studies,(3): 33-38, 78.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-6099.2011.03.006
[6]	李鹏, 封志明. 2016. 地缘经济背景下的老挝橡胶林地扩张监测及其影响研究综述[J]. 地理科学进展, 35(3): 286-294. doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2016.03.003
	[Li P, Feng Z M.2016. Review of remote sensing monitoring and socioeconomic and environmental impacts of rubber plantation expansion in Laos in the geoeconomic context[J]. Progress in Geography, 35(3): 286-294.] doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2016.03.003
[7]	刘少军, 张京红, 蔡大鑫, 等. 2015. 海南岛天然橡胶产量灾损风险区划[J]. 自然灾害学报, 24(2): 235-241.
	[Liu S J, Zhang J H, Cai D X, et al.2015. Risk regionalization of rubber plant yield loss in Hainanisland[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 24(2): 235-241.]
[8]	刘少军, 周广胜, 房世波. 2016. 中国橡胶种植北界[J]. 生态学报, 36(5): 1272-1280. doi: 10.5846/stxb201408031544
	[Liu S J, Zhou G S, Fang S B.2016. Apreliminary study of the northern planting boundary of rubber tree cultivationin China[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 36(5): 1272-1280.] doi: 10.5846/stxb201408031544
[9]	王伟红, 曹新向, 苗长虹. 2009. 近10年来河南省入境和国内游客的空间聚集性分析[J]. 经济地理, 29(6): 1011-1017.
	[Wang W H, Cao X X, Miao C H.2009. A study of spatial centralization of domestic and inbound tourists in Henan Province in the nearly past decade[J]. Economic Geography, 29(6): 1011-1017.]
[10]	肖池伟, 刘影, 李鹏. 2015. 近20年江西省水稻生产优势与时空变化分析[J]. 农业现代化研究, 36(5): 727-735. doi: 10.13872/j.1000-0275.2015.0131
	[Xiao C W, Liu Y, Li P.2015. Comparative advantage and its spatiotemporal changes of rice production in Jiangxi Province in past 20 years[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 36(5): 727-735.] doi: 10.13872/j.1000-0275.2015.0131
[11]	张赛丽, 过建春, 柯佑鹏. 2011. 世界天然橡胶的贸易格局分析[J]. 农业研究与应用, (4): 43-48.
	[Zhang S L, Guo J C, Ke Y P.2011. Pattern of world trade in natural rubber[J]. Agricultural Research and Application, (4): 43-48.]
[12]	Baird I G.2010. Land, rubber and people: Rapid agrarian changes and responses in southern Laos[J]. The Journal of Lao Studies, 1(1): 1-47.
[13]	Dararath Y, Top N, Lic V.2011. Rubber plantation development in Cambodia: At what cost[R]. Penang, Malaysia: Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia: 53.
[14]	Dong J W, Xiao X M, Chen B Q, et al.2013. Mapping deciduous rubber plantations through integration of PALSAR and multi-temporal Landsat imagery[J]. Remote Sensing of Environment, 134: 392-402. doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2013.03.014
[15]	Evans T P, Phanvilay K, Fox J, et al.2011. An agent-based model of agricultural innovation, land-cover change and household inequality: The transition from swidden cultivation to rubber plantations in Laos PDR[J]. Journal of Land Use Science, 6(2-3): 151-173. doi: 10.1080/1747423X.2011.558602
[16]	Fox J, Castella J C.2013. Expansion of rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) in Mainland Southeast Asia: What are the prospects for smallholders[J]. The Journal of Peasant Studies, 40(1): 155-170. doi: 10.1080/03066150.2012.750605
[17]	Hicks C, Voladeth S, Shi W Y, et al.2009. Rubber investments and market linkages in Lao PDR: Approaches for sustainability[R]. Bangkok, Thailand: The Sustainable Mekong Research Network: 167.
[18]	Kitchen N.2012. Executive summary: The new geopolitics of Southeast Asia[R]. London, UK: London School of Economics and Political Science.
[19]	Laungaramsri P.2012. Frontier capitalism and the expansion of rubber plantations in southern Laos[J]. Journal of Southeast Asian Studies, 43(3): 463-477. doi: 10.1017/S0022463412000343
[20]	Li P, Zhang J H, Feng Z M.2015. Mapping rubber tree plantations using a Landsat-based phenological algorithm in Xishuangbanna, southwest China[J]. Remote Sensing Letters, 6(1): 49-58. doi: 10.1080/2150704X.2014.996678
[21]	Li Z, Fox J M.2011. Rubber tree distribution mapping in northeast Thailand[J]. International Journal of Geosciences, 2(4): 573-584. doi: 10.4236/ijg.2011.24060
[22]	Li Z, Fox J M.2012. Mapping rubber tree growth in mainland Southeast Asia using time-series MODIS 250 m NDVI and statistical data[J]. Applied Geography, 32(2): 420-432. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2011.06.018
[23]	Liu X N, Feng Z M, Jiang L G, et al.2013. Rubber plantation and its relationship with topographical factors in the border region of China, Laos and Myanmar[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 23(6): 1019-1040. doi: 10.1007/s11442-013-1060-4
[24]	Mann C C.2009. Addicted to rubber[J]. Science, 325: 564-566.

地区	国家	1961年	1970年	1980年	1990年	2000年	2013年
东南亚	泰国	9.63	10.56	13.31	29.39	35.95	35.30
	柬埔寨	2.07	0.47	0.17	0.66	0.67	0.39
	缅甸	0.69	0.48	0.45	0.31	0.41	1.35
	越南	4.04	1.21	1.17	1.20	4.59	8.67
	马来西亚	40.86	46.69	43.78	26.76	14.64	7.55
	印尼	35.87	29.50	29.19	26.43	23.69	28.40
	菲律宾	0.19	0.23	0.64	1.27	1.13	1.02
南亚	印度	1.40	3.31	4.25	6.16	9.94	8.22
	斯里兰卡	5.05	5.85	3.81	2.34	1.38	1.19
东亚	中国	0.20	1.70	3.23	5.48	7.60	7.91

Spatiotemporal changes of global rubber production during 1961-2013

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

Figures/Tables 5

References 24

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 0

[1]	SONG Zhouying, YU Yang. Development pattern of trade facilitation of the countries along the Belt and Road [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(3): 355-366.
[2]	HAN Wei, CAI Jianming. Spatiotemporal pattern of rural non-farm sector and its impact on rural residents’ income [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(2): 219-230.
[3]	SHI Lifeng,HUANG Xianjin. Spatiotemporal differences of urban expansion along China’s Grand Canal [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(8): 1206-1216.
[4]	WANG Guangyao, ZHAO Zhongqiu, ZHU Peitian, LI Yufeng, SU Zhijie, LIU Jian. Regional differences and types of rural functions in the Yangtze River Economic Belt [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(12): 1854-1864.
[5]	Shengyun WANG, Yuting LUO, Yajie HAN, Jing LI. Regional difference and determinants of human well-being in China: Based on the analysis of human development index [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 37(8): 1150-1158.
[6]	Guifang XIA, Yu ZHU, Liyue LIN, Wenqian KE. Migrants' multidimensional integration in cities and regional differences in the three major economic regions of China's eastern coastal area [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 37(3): 373-384.
[7]	Jie HUANG, Jiaoe WANG, Haitao JIN, Fengjun JIN. Investigating spatiotemporal patterns of passenger flows in the Beijing metro system from smart card data [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 37(3): 397-406.
[8]	Qi HUANG, Hongzhi WANG, Xinliang XU. An empirical study on regional differences of the external environment of rural residential land exit: An analysis on 84 rural residential land spots of Dongxihu District, Wuhan City [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 37(3): 407-417.
[9]	Jianke GUO, Yao HE, Yajie HOU. Spatial connection and regional difference of the coastal container port shipping network of China [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 37(11): 1499-1509.
[10]	Xueying MU, Kai LIU, Jianlan REN. Spatial differentiation and change of green production efficiency in China [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2017, 36(8): 1006-1014.
[11]	Xiaojun JIANG, Qingshan YANG, Jian LIU. Spatiotemporal patterns and influencing factors of the "Five Modernizations" coordinated development of prefecture level and above cities in China [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2017, 36(7): 806-819.
[12]	Daming LU, Yuzhong SHI, Wenlong LI, Xinjun YANG. Spatiotemporal change of vulnerability in counties of northwest China [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2017, 36(4): 404-415.
[13]	Kan ZHOU, Jie FAN, Hanchu LIU. Spatiotemporal patterns and driving forces of water pollutant discharge in the Bohai Rim Region [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2017, 36(2): 171-181.
[14]	Lucang WANG, Rongwei WU, Haimeng LIU, Peng ZHOU, Jiangjiang KANG. Spatial patterns and regional differences of population ageing in China based on the county scale [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2016, 35(8): 921-931.
[15]	Zhe CHENG, Rulin OUYANG, Zhenshan YANG, Jianming CAI. Spatiotemporal patterns and characteristics of urban infrastructure investment and financing during China’s urbanization [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2016, 35(4): 440-449.