PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (7): 1106-1116.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2020.07.004
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ZHAO Qinglin1,2(), ZHANG Weina2, LI Xinyi1, LI Dianxin1, SONG Xiaoqing1,2,*(
)
Received:
2019-05-28
Revised:
2019-10-25
Online:
2020-07-28
Published:
2020-09-28
Contact:
SONG Xiaoqing
E-mail:zql0391@163.com;sonniasxq@163.com
Supported by:
ZHAO Qinglin, ZHANG Weina, LI Xinyi, LI Dianxin, SONG Xiaoqing. Spatiotemporal change of relative city shrinkage in Hubei Province, 2006-2015[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(7): 1106-1116.
Tab.2
Independent variables of the regression model of city relative shrinkage analysis"
变量 | 变量含义 | 变量解释 |
---|---|---|
xIIA | 产业用地面积 (km2) | 考虑到2012年后城市建设用地分类体系变化[ |
xGABA | 建成区绿化覆盖面积 (hm2) | 该指标反映城市人居环境质量。一般而言,人居环境改善理应吸引城市人口集聚,进而导致城市人口密度上升,反之亦然[ |
xPCLS | 人均居住用地面积 (m2/人) | 该指标反映城市居住水平。一般而言,人均居住用地面积增长理应有助于吸引城市人口集聚,进而导致城市人口密度上升,反之亦然[ |
xLMCI | 地均城市建设维护资金投入 (万元/km2) | 该指标反映城市维护建设管理水平。一般而言,指标值越大,城市维护建设管理水平越高,越有助于吸引城市人口集聚,进而导致城市人口密度上升[ |
Tab.3
Descriptive statistics of independent variables for Hubei Province, 2006-2015"
变量 | 最大值 | 最小值 | 平均值 | 中值 | 标准差 | 偏度 | 峰度 | 样本数 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
y | 670.50 | 23.11 | 159.33 | 87.98 | 145.90 | 1.46 | 4.34 | 360 |
xIIA | 261.25 | 1.63 | 14.82 | 7.60 | 28.23 | 5.94 | 42.69 | 360 |
xGABA | 334.36 | 0.67 | 18.47 | 9.53 | 36.67 | 6.07 | 43.26 | 360 |
xPCLS | 924.60 | 12.77 | 183.02 | 155.64 | 143.20 | 1.50 | 6.60 | 360 |
xLMCI | 165.14 | 0.26 | 9.05 | 6.20 | 12.12 | 7.11 | 81.26 | 360 |
Tab.4
Statistics of relative city shrinkage in Hubei Province, 2006-2015"
城市类型 | 150 km圈层区域 | 150~300 km圈层区域 | 300 km外圈层区域 | 总计 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
数量/个 | 占该区域城市比重/% | 数量/个 | 占该区域城市比重/% | 数量/个 | 占该区域城市比重/% | 数量/个 | 占全省城市比重/% | |
强相对扩张型 | 3 | 16.67 | 1 | 7.69 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11.11 |
弱相对扩张型 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7.69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.78 |
转型扩张型 | 2 | 11.11 | 2 | 15.38 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11.11 |
强相对收缩型 | 10 | 55.56 | 5 | 38.46 | 3 | 60.00 | 18 | 50.00 |
弱相对收缩型 | 3 | 16.67 | 4 | 30.77 | 2 | 40.00 | 9 | 25.00 |
转型收缩型 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tab.5
Identification results of city relative shrinkage, 2006-2010"
城市类型 | 150 km圈层区域 | 150~300 km圈层区域 | 300 km外圈层区域 | 总计 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
数量/个 | 占该区域城市比重/% | 数量/个 | 占该区域城市比重/% | 数量/个 | 占该区域城市比重/% | 数量/个 | 占全省城市比重/% | |
强相对扩张型 | 3 | 16.67 | 2 | 15.38 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13.89 |
弱相对扩张型 | 4 | 22.22 | 4 | 30.77 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 22.22 |
转型扩张型 | 1 | 5.56 | 1 | 7.69 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.56 |
强相对收缩型 | 8 | 44.44 | 1 | 7.69 | 1 | 20.00 | 10 | 27.78 |
弱相对收缩型 | 2 | 11.11 | 5 | 38.46 | 4 | 80.00 | 11 | 30.56 |
转型收缩型 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tab.6
Identification results of city relative shrinkage, 2011-2015"
城市类型 | 150 km圈层区域 | 150~300 km圈层区域 | 300 km外圈层区域 | 总计 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
数量/个 | 占该区域城市比重/% | 数量/个 | 占该区域城市比重/% | 数量/个 | 占该区域城市比重/% | 数量/个 | 占全省城市比重/% | |
强相对扩张型 | 3 | 16.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8.33 |
弱相对扩张型 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15.38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.56 |
转型扩张型 | 2 | 11.11 | 2 | 15.38 | 1 | 20.00 | 5 | 13.89 |
强相对收缩型 | 4 | 22.22 | 3 | 23.08 | 1 | 20.00 | 8 | 22.22 |
弱相对收缩型 | 9 | 50.00 | 5 | 38.46 | 2 | 40.00 | 16 | 44.44 |
转型收缩型 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7.69 | 1 | 20.00 | 2 | 5.56 |
Tab.8
Result of cross-section random effects test"
变量 | 系数 | 标准误 | t值 | P值 |
---|---|---|---|---|
xIIA | 0.7915 | 0.3368 | 2.3502 | 0.0194 |
xGABA | -0.7797 | 0.2107 | -3.7011 | 0.0003 |
xPCLS | -0.4328 | 0.0402 | -10.7747 | 0 |
xLMCI | 0.2534 | 0.1485 | 1.7072 | 0.0889 |
常数 | 216.9173 | 15.3457 | 14.1354 | 0 |
AR(1) | 0.6523 | 0.1259 | 5.1795 | 0 |
R2=0.9235; Durbin-Watson统计值=1.8237 |
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