PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (5): 766-778.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2020.05.006
• Articles • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:
2019-03-07
Revised:
2019-06-16
Online:
2020-05-28
Published:
2020-07-28
Contact:
WANG Maojun
E-mail:maojunw@yeah.net
Supported by:
SHAO Jing, WANG Maojun. Spatial relationship of country allocation of aid to Africa between China and OECD[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(5): 766-778.
Tab.1
Model variables, data sources, and descriptive statistics"
指标 | 操作层 | 数据来源 | 最小值 | 最大值 | 中值 | 均值 | 标准差 | 偏度 | 峰度 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
自然资源 | 非洲i国在t年的自然资源租金总额占GDP的百分比 | 世界银行 | 0 | 89.17 | 9.17 | 13.93 | 14.02 | 1.67 | 2.83 |
经济发展水平 | 非洲i国在t年的人均GDP | 世界银行 | 5.29 | 9.94 | 6.86 | 7.04 | 1.08 | 0.63 | -0.53 |
人道主义需求 | 非洲i国在t年的营养不良的发生率(占人口的百分比) | 世界银行 | 0 | 54.90 | 18.15 | 19.43 | 14.87 | 0.27 | -1.12 |
Tab.3
Synchronized times of rank-size change ofrecipient countries of Aid and ODA, 2000-2012"
同步次数/次 | 国家数量/个 | 国家名称 |
---|---|---|
12 | 1 | 加蓬 |
11 | 3 | 塞舌尔、几内亚比绍共和国、南非 |
10 | 7 | 苏丹、赞比亚、科特迪瓦、厄立特里亚、马里、坦桑尼亚、喀麦隆 |
9 | 7 | 纳米比亚、刚果(布)、塞内加尔、毛里塔尼亚、布隆迪、几内亚、埃塞俄比亚 |
8 | 14 | 博茨瓦纳、尼日利亚、马拉维、利比里亚、安哥拉、尼日尔、科摩罗、莫桑比克、阿拉伯埃及共和国、塞拉利昂、阿尔及利亚、中非共和国、刚果(金)、突尼斯 |
7 | 7 | 肯尼亚、赤道几内亚、马达加斯加、摩洛哥、吉布提、津巴布韦、加纳 |
6 | 4 | 卢旺达、多哥、乌干达、莱索托 |
5 | 1 | 毛里求斯 |
Tab.5
Robustness of aid to African countries, 2000-2012"
援助稳健性/% | Aid | ODA |
---|---|---|
>50 | 加纳(62%)、苏丹(62%)、尼日利亚(54%)、安哥拉(54%) | 坦桑尼亚(100%)、埃塞俄比亚(92%)、刚果(金)(77%) |
20~50 | 埃塞俄比亚(46%)、津巴布韦(38%)、刚果布(31%)、埃及(23%) | 苏丹(46%)、莫桑比克(46%)、埃及(38%)、尼日利亚(31%) |
<20 | 科特迪瓦(15%)、肯尼亚(15%)、赞比亚(15%)、南非(15%)、坦桑尼亚(15%)、刚果(金)(8%)、莫桑比克(8%)、乌干达(8%)、喀麦隆(8%)、毛里求斯(8%)、赤道几内亚(8%)、博茨瓦纳(8%) | 科特迪瓦(15%)、肯尼亚(15%)、乌干达(15%)、加纳(8%)、喀麦隆(8%)、乌干达(8%) |
Tab.6
Result of unit root test"
变量 | LLC | IPS | ADF | 结论 |
---|---|---|---|---|
ln(中国援助额+1) | -14.810*** | -7.761*** | 217.543*** | 平稳 |
ln(世界援助额+1) | -8.689*** | -2.873*** | 129.302*** | 平稳 |
自然资源租金占GDP比重 | -9.513*** | -2.868*** | 127.142*** | 平稳 |
ln(人均GDP) | -14.122*** | -2.063** | 111.847** | 平稳 |
政治权利指数 | -8.855*** | -1.977** | 96.757** | 平稳 |
营养不良发生率 | -8.750*** | -3.797*** | 163.841*** | 平稳 |
Tab.7
Results of static panel regression model"
变量 | Aid模型 | 变量 | ODA模型 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | ||
常量 | -18.650*** (-2.61) | -42.096*** (-4.48) | -42.207*** (-4.31) | -27.782*** (-2.62) | -27.719*** (-2.56) | -27.341*** (-2.64) | 常量 | 19.541*** (716.00) | 13.302*** (23.49) | 13.228*** (23.34) | 14.158*** (20.79) | 14.373*** (21.14) |
ln(ODA+1) | 1.592*** (4.39) | 1.127*** (2.89) | 1.130*** (2.81) | 0.841** (2.07) | 0.833** (2.04) | 0.833** (2.08) | ln(Aid+1) | 0.010*** (5.45) | 0.007*** (4.02) | 0.007*** (4.28) | 0.007*** (4.02) | 0.007*** (3.96) |
ln(人均GDP) | 4.619*** (3.93) | 4.612*** (3.85) | 3.882*** (3.09) | 3.904*** (3.10) | 3.847** (3.12) | ln(人均GDP) | 0.891*** (11.02) | 0.888*** (10.89) | 0.783*** (8.46) | 0.782*** (8.52) | ||
自然资源租金占GDP比重/% | 0.007 (0.18) | 0.004 (0.10) | 0.005 (0.11) | 自然资源租金占GDP比重/% | 0.006** (2.29) | 0.006** (2.23) | 0.005* (1.83) | |||||
营养不良发生率/% | -0.182*** (-4.16) | -0.183*** (-4.13) | -0.181*** (-4.15) | 营养不良发生率/% | -0.009*** (-2.82) | -0.010*** (-3.06) | ||||||
政治权利指数 | -0.014 (-0.05) | 政治权利指数 | -0.041** (-2.25) | |||||||||
N | 572 | 572 | 572 | 572 | 572 | 572 | N | 572 | 572 | 572 | 572 | 572 |
R2 | 0.438 | 0.450 | 0.445 | 0.456 | 0.456 | 0.461 | R2 | 0.922 | 0.938 | 0.939 | 0.939 | 0.941 |
校正R2 | 0.391 | 0.403 | 0.396 | 0.408 | 0.406 | 0.414 | 校正R2 | 0.916 | 0.933 | 0.933 | 0.933 | 0.935 |
Prob(Quasi-LR stat) | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | Prob(Quasi-LR stat) | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Hausman P值 | 0.147 | 0.042 | 0.110 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.002 | Hausman P值 | 0.004 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
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