全国资源环境承载能力预警(2016版)的基点和技术方法进展

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2017.03.001

Abstract

Abstract:

This article discusses the design basis of the early-warning system of resource and environmental carrying capacity, explains the basic concepts of resource and environmental carrying capacity and its evaluation and early-warning mechanism, and builds the theoretical model and develops key technical points of the early-warning of the national resource and environmental carrying capacity evaluation (2016 version), including technical process, evaluation system, integration methods, and classification approaches, which can provide an important technical reference for carrying out the early-warning of national resource and environmental carrying capacity overloading. This research shows that "the limits to growth" is the theoretical basis of the early-warning of resource and environmental carrying capacity. Based on the county-level administrative regions, this work carries out evaluation of terrestrial and marine resource and environmental carrying capacity respectively, both include basic and specific evaluations. The basic evaluation adopts unified basic indicators to conduct an overall regional evaluation; and the specific evaluation is conducted for different major functional zones, including optimized development zones, priority development zones, and restricted development zones, with corresponding characteristic indicators. Then the worst performing one of all indicators is used to classify the evaluated units, which separates the evaluated regions into resource and environmental overloading, critical overloading, and non-overloading areas. Combining with the evaluation results of resource and environmental consumption, five early-warning levels—red (extremely serious warning), orange (serious warning), yellow (medium-level warning), blue (slight warning), and green (no warning) are divided based on the classification results. Finally, the three carrying capacity types and five early-warning levels of resource and environmental are verified through the terrestrial-marine coordinated test.

Key words: resource and environmental carrying capacity, early-warning, technical process, evaluation system, major function oriented zone

Jie FAN, Kan ZHOU, Yafei WANG. Basic points and progress in technical methods of early-warning of the national resource and environmental carrying capacity (V 2016)[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2017, 36(3): 266-276.

Figures/Tables 6

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References 27

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评价体系		评价要素	评价内容
陆域评价	基础评价	土地资源	土地资源压力指数
		水资源	水资源开发利用量
		环境	污染物浓度超标指数
		生态	生态系统健康度
	专项评价	城市化地区	水气环境黑灰指数
		农产品主产区：种植业地区	耕地质量变化指数
		农产品主产区：牧业地区	草原草畜平衡指数
		重点生态功能区	生态系统功能指数

评价体系		评价要素	评价内容
海域评价	基础评价	海洋空间资源	岸线开发强度
		海洋空间资源	海域开发强度
		海洋渔业资源	渔业资源综合承载指数
		海洋生态环境	海洋环境承载状况
		海洋生态环境	海洋生态承载状况
		海岛资源环境	无居民海岛开发强度
		海岛资源环境	无居民海岛生态状况
	专项评价	重点开发用海区	围填海强度指数
		海洋渔业保障区	渔业资源密度指数
		重要海洋生态功能区	生态系统变化指数

Basic points and progress in technical methods of early-warning of the national resource and environmental carrying capacity (V 2016)

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