中国县域城镇化的道路交通影响因素识别及空间协同性解析

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2016.07.002

Abstract

Abstract:

With the fifth and sixth census and road network data, and using a spatial interoperability evaluation model and a spatial lag model, the spatial coupling relationship between China's road transport superiority degree and urbanization rate at the county level was analyzed. The result shows that: (1) Regional difference of China's urbanization rate is significant at the county level. Urbanization rate is low in traditional agricultural areas, poor contiguous mountainous counties (districts), and the spatial mismatch between economic development and labor resources was widespread, with urbanization taking place in areas away from residents’ place of origin in underdeveloped areas. (2) Regional difference of road transport superiority degree is clear between the eastern and western regions and between the transport hubs and peripheries, with a clear “point-axis” spatial structure at the regional level. Road transport superiority degree showed a partial normal distribution at the county level. (3) The overall coverage of highways, national highways, provincial highways, and county and township roads affects road accessibility for production flow, information flow, and non-agricultural market entrance of rural production factors, which affect urbanization development at the county level. Urbanization was obviously facilitated by the presence of highway exits and railway stations. (4) The spatial interoperability grade of road transport superiority degree and urbanization rate shows a partial normal distribution, with significantly mutual influence between urbanization and road transport development levels.

Key words: urbanization, road transport superiority degree, spatial interoperability, rural geography, China

Ren YANG. Spatial coupling cooperative analysis of road transport superiority and urbanization at county level in China[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2016, 35(7): 806-815.

Figures/Tables 10

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目标层	准则层	权重	指标层	权重
交通优势度	交通覆盖水平	0.3874	高速路密度(x₁)	0.0884
			铁路密度(x₂)	0.0963
			国道密度(x₃)	0.0706
			省道密度(x₄)	0.0448
			县道密度(x₅)	0.0267
			乡镇道密度(x₆)	0.0163
	交通邻近水平	0.4434	邻近高速平均距离(x₇)	0.0090
			邻近铁路平均距离(x₈)	0.0552
			邻近国道平均距离(x₉)	0.0667
			邻近省道平均距离(x₁₀)	0.0353
			邻近县道平均距离(x₁₁)	0.1641
			邻近村镇道平均距离(x₁₂)	0.0955
	交通中心通达水平	0.1692	离省会平均距离(x₁₃)	0.0667
			离地级市平均距离(x₁₄)	0.1097
			离高速出口平均距离(x₁₅)	0.0389

耦合协调度(D)	协调等级	耦合协调度(D)	协调等级
0.90~1.00	优质协调	0.40~0.49	濒临失调
0.80~0.89	良好协调	0.30~0.39	轻度失调
0.70~0.79	中级协调	0.20~0.29	中度失调
0.60~0.69	初级协调	0.10~0.19	严重失调
0.50~0.59	勉强协调	0.00~0.09	极度失调

变量	偏回归系数	标准误差	Z值	显著性概率
Wy	0.2711	0.0261	10.3723	0.0000
常数项	0.3571	0.0677	5.2773	0.0000
高速路密度(x₁)	0.2003	0.0781	2.5635	0.0104
铁路密度(x₂)	0.8214	0.1106	7.4265	0.0000
国道密度(x₃)	0.4480	0.1625	2.7568	0.0058
省道密度(x₄)	0.0857	0.0562	1.5258	0.0271
县道密度(x₅)	0.0383	0.0474	0.8085	0.0988
乡镇道密度(x₆)	0.1011	0.0131	7.7472	0.0000
邻近高速平均距离(x₇)	0.0119	0.0439	0.2702	0.7870
邻近铁路平均距离(x₈)	0.2795	0.0616	4.5334	0.0000
邻近国道平均距离(x₉)	-0.4137	0.0696	-5.9427	0.0000
邻近省道平均距离(x₁₀)	-0.0777	0.0694	-1.1191	0.0263
邻近县道平均距离(x₁₁)	-0.3663	0.1597	-2.2938	0.0218
邻近村镇道平均距离(x₁₂)	0.0016	0.1732	0.0091	0.9927
离省会平均距离(x₁₃)	-0.3265	0.0440	-7.4183	0.0000
离地级市平均距离(x₁₄)	-0.0423	0.0468	-0.9041	0.3660
离高速出口平均距离(x₁₅)	-0.8194	0.1674	-4.8963	0.0000
交通综合优势度(x₁₆)	1.2310	0.2633	4.6752	0.0000

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Spatial coupling cooperative analysis of road transport superiority and urbanization at county level in China

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