经济途径对地缘政治格局的影响机制及其空间表现研究进展

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2016.03.001

Abstract

Abstract:

With the rise of China's economic and political power, many large countries in the world shift their strategic focus on Asia and try to influence China's regional political economic environment through various economic organizations and unions, which result in a complicated environment for China's development. China responds to the situation through the creation of the "Belt and Road Initiative", Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, and BRICS Development Bank. In this article, we discuss the mechanism of influence of international economic organizations, economic unions, and national economic interdependence on geopolitical structure and their spatial expression at the global, regional, and national levels. The results show that: asymmetric economic interdependence can influence national power and power distribution in world geopolitical structure, with the spatial expression of regional conflicts and change of spatial scope of influence of countries. International economic organizations and unions can influence global and regional geopolitical structure by rebalancing power, with a spatial expression of growth of influence, mosaic distribution, and spatial expansion. Within China there has been little research on how China can enhance its geopolitical influence and improve the geopolitical environment by economic approaches. In the future, research should focus on how to transform economic interdependence into effective geopolitical influence; how to expand geopolitical space by using international economic organizations and unions; the "Belt and Road" strategy, especially with regard to the spatial trends and country situations in areas that the initiative involves; and research on multi-scale economic approaches and application of quantitative models to provide theoretical support and empirical evidence for the development of China's geopolitical strategy.

Key words: economic approaches, geopolitical structure, economic interdependence, international economic organizations, economic unions

Yuan CAO, Yuejing GE, Shufang WANG, Zhiding HU. Progress of research on impacts of economic approaches on geopolitical structure and spatial expression[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2016, 35(3): 265-275.

Figures/Tables 2

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模型类型	文献	贸易往来对和平/冲突的作用
预期收益模型	Polachek, 1980	促进和平
	Copeland, 1996	既能促进和平又能引发冲突
	Polachek, 1997	促进和平
	Polachek et al, 1997	促进和平
	Polachek et al, 1999	促进和平
	Cai et al, 2013	促进和平
合作博弈模型	Grieco, 1990	引发冲突
	Snidal, 1991a, 1991b	促进和平
	Powell, 1991	促进和平
	Gowa, 1994	无影响
非合作博弈模型	Skaperdas et al, 1996	两国博弈时促进和平,多国博弈时引发冲突
	Morrow, 1997	促进和平
	Dorussen, 1997	既能促进和平又能引发冲突,视情况而定
	Dorussen, 1999	取决于参与国家的数量
实证主义	Gasiorowski, 1986	既能促进和平又能引发冲突
	Domke, 1988	既能促进和平又能引发冲突
	Polachek et al, 1992; Polachek, 1992, 1997	引发冲突
	Onealet al, 1996, 1997	引发冲突
	Barbieri, 1995, 1996, 1997	引发冲突
	Mansfield, 1994	贸易往来促进和平,全方位经济开放引发冲突
社会网络分析法	Maoz, 2009	促进和平
合成模型	Newman et al, 2011	视市场范围与管理范围匹配程度和博弈情况而定

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