青海湖地区生态系统服务价值变化分析

doi:10.11820/dlkxjz.2012.12.022

Abstract

Abstract: By calculating the value of ecosystem services for wetland, grassland, forestland and farmland in the Qinghai Lake area from 2000 to 2008, presents a quantitative analysis of the sensitivity and the correlation between the changes of ecosystem services value and climate as well as socio-economic factors impacting land use changes including NPP(E), GDP, personal savings and urbanization level, and, by doing so, identifies the main factors and provides a basis for regulations and management of the protection of the Qinghai Lake ecosystems in order to achieve ecological and economic sustainable development for the region. The methods used include: a model for valuation of ecosystem services values, a multiple linear regression model in Matlab7.0, and the coefficient of sensitivity analysis. The results indicate: (1) From 2000 to 2008, the average ecosystem services value is 119.226 × 10⁸ yuan, and the ecosystem services value decreases by 3.98%; (2) From 2000 to 2008, the changes of ecosystem services value in Qinghai Lake area have an obvious negative correlation with air temperature, GDP and the urbanization level from 2000 to 2008, with elastic coefficients of 0.896, 0.249 and 0.2988, respectively; (3) the changes of ecosystem services value in Qinghai Lake area are more sensitive to urbanization level and air temperature, and the coefficient of sensitivity are 4.979 and 1.712, respectively. These results demonstrate that warmer and drier climates are the major reasons for land use change in the Qinghai Lake region, and economic development and human activities in the region also affect land use change and cause the deterioration of the ecological environment and decrease of ecosystem services value. The authors suggest that attention needs to be directed to the livelihoods of the farmers and herdsmen in the Qinghai Lake area, and an ecological compensation system needs to be established, in order to achieve a strategy for sustainable economic growth and ecological protection.

Key words: climate change, ecosystem services, GDP, land use, Qinghai Lake area, sensitivity, urbanization

LI Huimei, ZHANG Anlu, GAO Zebing, ZHUO Macuo. Quantitative Analysis of the Impacts of Climate and Socio-economic Driving Factors of Land Use Change on the Ecosystem Services Value in the Qinghai Lake Area[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2012, 31(12): 1747-1754.

References

[1] 陈仲新, 张新时. 中国生态系统效益的价值. 科学通报,2000, 45(1): 17-22.

[4] UNEP. The Fourth Assessment Report of the IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change. Cambridge, U K: CambridgeUniversity Press, 2007.

[2] 孙慧兰, 李卫红, 陈亚鹏, 等. 新疆伊犁河流域生态服务价值对土地利用变化的响应. 生态学报, 2010, 30(4):887-894.

[3] 徐超平, 斌. 资源型城市土地利用变化及其对生态系统服务价值的影响. 生态环境学报, 2010, 9(12): 887-2891.

[4] Li T H, Li W K, Qian Z H. Variations in ecosystem servicevalue in response to land use changes in Shenzhen.Ecological Economics, 2010, 69(7): 1427- 1435.

[5] 张少伟, 朱青, 古杰. 区域生态系统服务价值对土地利用变化的响应: 以秦皇岛市为例. 山西师范大学学报: 自然科学版, 2010, 24(1): 110-116.

[6] 蔡邦成, 陆根法, 宋莉娟, 等. 土地利用变化对昆山生态系统服务价值的影响. 生态学报, 2006, 26(9):3005-3010.

[7] 刘耀彬, 李仁东, 宋学锋. 中国城市化与生态环境耦合度分析. 自然资源学报, 2005, 20(1): 105-112.

[8] 姚成胜, 朱鹤健, 吕晞, 等. 土地利用变化的社会经济驱动因子对福建生态系统服务价值的影响. 自然资源学报, 2009, 24(2): 225-233.

[9] Lewis D J. An economic framework for forecastingland-use and ecosystem change. Resource and EnergyEconomics, 2010, 32(2): 98-16.

[10] 崔步礼, 李小雁, 姜广辉, 等. 基于DEM的山地丘陵区土地利用/覆被研究: 以青海湖流域为例. 自然资源学报, 2011, 26(5): 871-880.

[11] 陈亮, 陈克龙, 刘宝康, 等. 近50a 青海湖流域气候变化特征分析. 干旱气象, 2011, 29(4): 483-487

[12] 孙永亮, 李小雁, 汤佳, 等. 青海湖流域气候变化及其水文效应. 资源科学, 2008, 30(3): 354-362.

[13] 于海英, 许建初. 气候变化对青藏高原植被影响研究综述. 生态学杂志, 2008, 28(4): 747 -753.

[14] 李凤霞, 伏洋, 杨琼, 等. 环青海湖地区气候变化及其环境效应. 资源科学, 2008, 30(3): 348-353.

[15] 李小雁, 许何也, 马育军, 等. 青海湖流域土地利用/覆被变化研究. 自然资源学报, 2008, 23(2): 285-296.

[16] 俞文政, 常庆瑞, 王锐, 等. 青海湖地区耕地演变过程与影响机制分析. 水土保持通报, 2006, 26(5): 19-22.

[17] 陈新海. 青海湖地区的人类活动与环境. 青海民族学院学报: 社会科学版, 2005, 31(1): 38-43.

[18] 谢高地, 甄霖, 鲁春霞, 等. 一个基于专家知识的生态系统服务价值化方法. 自然资源学报, 2008, 23(5): 911-919.

[19] Costanza R, d’Arge R, de Groot R, et al. The value of theworld’s ecosystem services and nature capital. Nature,1997, 387: 253-260.

[20] 徐兴奎, 陈红. 气候变暖背景下青藏高原植被覆盖特征的时空变化及其成因分析. 科学通报, 2008, 53(4):456-462.

[21] Lewandrowski J, Darwin R F, Tsigas M, et al. Estimatingcosts of protecting global ecosystem diversity. EcologicalEconomics, 1999, 29(1): 111-125.

[22] 师庆三, 王智, 吴友均, 等. 新疆生态系统服务价值测算与NPP 的相关性分析. 干旱区地理, 2011, 33(3): 427-433.

[23] Liu J. China’s road to sustainability. Science, 2010, 328:50.

[24] 张丽萍, 张镱锂, 阎建忠, 等. 青藏高原东部山地农牧区生计与耕地利用模式. 地理学报, 2008, 63(4): 377-385

[25] 芦清水, 赵志平. 应对草地退化的生态移民政策及其牧户响应分析. 地理研究, 2009, 28(1): 143-152.

[26] 赵雪雁. 生计资本对农牧民生活满意度的影响. 地理研究, 2011, 30(4): 687-698.

[27] 廖玉静, 宋长春, 郭跃东, 等. 基于PRA方法的社区居民对湿地生态系统稳定性及退耕政策的认知分析. 自然资源学报, 2009, 24(6): 1041-1048.

[28] Fisher B, Polasky S, Sterner T. Conservation and humanwelfare: Economic analysis of ecosystem services. Environmentaland Resource Economics, 2011, 48(2):151-159.

[29] 姜宏瑶, 温亚利. 基于社会经济发展影响的湿地生态补偿研究. 林业经济, 2010, (8): 95-99.

[30] 曹世雄, 陈莉, 余新晓. 陕北农民对退耕还林的意愿评价. 应用生态学报, 2009, 20(2): 436-434.

[31] 戴其文, 赵雪雁. 生态补偿机制中若干关键科学问题:以甘南藏族自治州草地生态系统为例. 地理学报,2010, 65(4): 494-506.

[32] 俞文政, 常庆瑞, 寇建村. 青海湖流域草地类型变化及其生态服务价值研究. 草业科学, 2005, 22(9): 14-17.

Quantitative Analysis of the Impacts of Climate and Socio-economic Driving Factors of Land Use Change on the Ecosystem Services Value in the Qinghai Lake Area

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Cited

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 0

[1]	LIANG Xinyuan, JIN Xiaobin, HAN Bo, SUN Rui, ZHANG Xiaolin, ZHOU Yinkang. Landscape multifunctionality change in rapidly urbanized areas of the Yangtze River Delta:A case study of Suzhou City [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(2): 207-219.
[2]	DENG Guofu, LI Mingqi. Advances of study on the relationship between tree-ring density and climate and climate reconstruction [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(2): 343-356.
[3]	FAN Qingyu, YANG Shan. Spatial characteristics and formation mechanism of coordinated development of urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 124-134.
[4]	YE Chao, YU Jie, ZHANG Qingyuan, ZHU Xiaodan. From governance to rural-urban co-governance: Research frontiers, trends, and the Chinese paths [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 15-27.
[5]	ZENG Guojun, XU Yuchen, WANG Longjie, ZHONG Shuru. From localization to de-localization and re-localization: Transformation of the human-land relationship in China’s urbanization process [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 28-39.
[6]	LI Bohua, LI Xue, CHEN Xinxin, DOU Yindi, LIU Peilin. Two-wheel driven construction of characteristic tourist towns under the background of new urbanization [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 40-49.
[7]	CHEN Mingxing, HUANG Xinrong, HUANG Gengzhi, YANG Yanshan. New urbanization and informal employment: Scale, pattern, and social integration [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(1): 50-60.
[8]	QIAN Jiacheng, ZHANG Bailin, LIU Hongwu, GAO Yang, WANG Zhaoying, LIAN Xiaoyun. Development differentiation of rural areas with tourism characteristics in eastern mountainous areas and its driving forces: A case study of Pingyang County, Zhejiang Province [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(9): 1460-1472.
[9]	AO Xue, ZHAI Qingfei, CUI Yan, ZHOU Xiaoyu, SHEN Lidu, ZHAO Chunyu, Ning Xilong. Detection of urbanization effect on the climate change in Liaoning Province based on empirical orthogonal function methods [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(9): 1532-1543.
[10]	WANG Cheng, XIE Bo. Research progress on the driving mechanism of traffic accidents from the perspective of land use [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(9): 1597-1606.
[11]	GE Yujuan, ZHAO Yuluan, LI Xiubin. Farmland fragmentation and land use intensity in mountain areas: A case study of Yayu Village, Guizhou Province [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(7): 1095-1105.
[12]	WU Kongsen, RUI Yang, CHEN Jia, ZHANG Liqiong, YANG Xinjun, ZHANG Baigang. Micro-scale study on rural transformation and development driven by tourism:Taking Shangwang Village in Xi’an City as an example [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(6): 1047-1059.
[13]	LIU Yimeng, LI Weihong, WANG Xin. Spatiotemporal distribution of drug crimes at micro-scale: Taking NH and DM residential communities in SZ City as an example [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(5): 841-852.
[14]	HU Tian, WU Jiansheng, PENG Jian, LI Weifeng. Development and prospect of the land-sparing versus land-sharing framework [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(5): 880-888.
[15]	LIU Cai, ZHANG Haiyan, LI Qian. Spatiotemporal characteristics of human activity intensity and its driving mechanism in Hainan Island from 1980 to 2018 [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(4): 567-576.