PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2022, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (11): 1991-2003.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2022.11.001
• Articles • Next Articles
WANG Liangjian1(), ZHOU Jingjing1, CHEN Kunqiu2,*(
), YAN Lei3, TU Yingjie4
Received:
2022-01-09
Revised:
2022-07-29
Online:
2022-11-28
Published:
2023-01-28
Contact:
CHEN Kunqiu
E-mail:wangliangjian1234@126.com;chenkq@hnu.edu.cn
Supported by:
WANG Liangjian, ZHOU Jingjing, CHEN Kunqiu, YAN Lei, TU Yingjie. The impact of China’s inclusive finance on multidimensional poverty in rural areas[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2022, 41(11): 1991-2003.
Tab.1
Dimensions and indicators of rural inclusive finance index
维度 | 指标选取 | 指标定义 | 属性 |
---|---|---|---|
覆盖广度 | 农村金融服务网点数量 | 每万km2农村金融机构网点数量(个/万km2) | + |
每万人拥有农村金融机构网点数量(个/万人) | + | ||
农村金融服务 人员数量 | 每万km2农村金融机构从业人员数量(个/万km2) | + | |
每万人拥有农村金融机构从业人员数量(个/万人) | + | ||
使用深度 | 信贷业务 | 农户年人均贷款(万元/人) | + |
农户贷款余额与第一产业增加值比值 | + | ||
存款业务 | 农户年人均存款(万元/人) | + | |
农户存款余额与第一产业增加值比值 | + | ||
可存续性 | 坏账 | 分省农村金融机构不良贷款率(%) | - |
Tab.2
Dimensions and indicators of multidimensional poverty
维度 | 指标 | 指标定义 | 权重 |
---|---|---|---|
收入 | 人均收入 | 家庭人均年收入低于当年农村贫困标准①,赋值1;其余赋值为0 | 1/5 |
就业 | 工作状态 | 当前处于失业或退出劳动力市场且收入低于当年农村贫困标准,赋值1;其余赋值为0 | 1/5 |
教育 | 受教育程度 | 未完成小学阶段义务教育(受教育年限不满6年),赋值为1;其余赋值为0 | 1/5 |
健康 | 健康状况 | 自评健康状况为“不健康”,赋值为1;其余赋值为0 | 1/5 |
生活质量 | 饮用水源 | 做饭用水为雨水、江河湖水等非卫生安全水源,赋值1;其余赋值为0 | 1/10 |
做饭燃料 | 做饭主要燃料为柴草或煤炭类非清洁燃料,赋值1;其余赋值为0 | 1/10 |
Tab.3
Descriptive statistics of the main variables
变量 | 均值 | 标准差 | 最大值 | 最小值 |
---|---|---|---|---|
普惠金融指数 | 0.057 | 0.085 | 0.788 | 0.013 |
贫困状态 | 0.101 | 0.301 | 1 | 0 |
年龄 | 46.906 | 15.508 | 80 | 16 |
性别 | 0.507 | 0.500 | 1 | 0 |
婚姻状况 | 0.829 | 0.377 | 1 | 0 |
家庭规模 | 4.573 | 2.001 | 26 | 1 |
人均生产总值 | 40927 | 19412 | 134982 | 13119 |
第一产业增加值 | 2186 | 1274 | 4951 | 104 |
第二产业增加值 | 11562 | 8983 | 41249 | 1800 |
政府一般公共服务支出 | 4769414 | 2597627 | 15562920 | 980700 |
收入贫困 | 0.218 | 0.413 | 1 | 0 |
就业贫困 | 0.225 | 0.418 | 1 | 0 |
健康贫困 | 0.201 | 0.400 | 1 | 0 |
教育贫困 | 0.357 | 0.479 | 1 | 0 |
生活贫困 | 0.042 | 0.200 | 1 | 0 |
Tab.4
Fitting results of probit model of rural inclusive financial development on poverty
变量名 | 模型1 | 模型2 | 模型3 | 模型4 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
回归系数 | 边际效应 | 回归系数 | 边际效应 | 回归系数 | 边际效应 | 回归系数 | 边际效应 | ||||
农村普惠金融指数 | -3.475*** | -0.589*** | -3.736*** | -0.553*** | -3.742*** | -0.554*** | -4.570*** | -0.675*** | |||
(0.800) | (0.136) | (0.882) | (0.131) | (0.884) | (0.131) | (0.936) | (0.138) | ||||
农户特征变量 | NO | NO | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | |||
家庭特征变量 | NO | NO | NO | NO | YES | YES | YES | YES | |||
区域特征变量 | NO | NO | NO | NO | NO | NO | YES | YES | |||
时间、省份虚拟变量 | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | |||
观测值 | 70613 | 70613 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | |||
伪R2 | 0.045 | 0.045 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 0.171 | 0.171 | 0.172 | 0.172 |
Tab.5
Fitting results of the probit model after changing the k value
变量名 | k=1/5 | k=2/5 | k=4/5 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
回归系数 | 边际效应 | 回归系数 | 边际效应 | 回归系数 | 边际效应 | |||
农村普惠金融指数 | -0.998*** | -0.346*** | -2.247*** | -0.643*** | -4.414* | -0.197* | ||
(0.327) | (0.113) | (0.414) | (0.118) | (2.390) | (0.107) | |||
农户、家庭、省份特征变量 | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | ||
年份、省份虚拟变量 | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | ||
观测值 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | ||
伪R2 | 0.103 | 0.103 | 0.162 | 0.162 | 0.168 | 0.168 |
Tab.7
Fitting results of OProbit model of rural inclusive finance development on poverty degree
变量名 | 回归系数 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
k=1/5 | k=2/5 | k=3/5 | k=4/5 | |
农村普惠金融指数 | -0.792*** | -2.376*** | -4.562*** | -4.561* |
(0.281) | (0.401) | (0.927) | (2.404) | |
农户、家庭、省份特征变量 | YES | YES | YES | YES |
省份、年份虚拟变量 | YES | YES | YES | YES |
观测值 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 |
伪R2 | 0.110 | 0.126 | 0.148 | 0.162 |
Tab.9
Impact of rural inclusive finance development on different types of poverty
变量名 | 收入贫困 | 就业贫困 | 健康贫困 | 教育贫困 | 生活贫困 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
回归系数 | 边际效应 | 回归系数 | 边际效应 | 回归系数 | 边际效应 | 回归系数 | 边际效应 | 回归系数 | 边际效应 | |||||
RIFI | -3.155*** | -0.857*** | -2.106*** | -0.468*** | -0.669* | -0.164* | -0.506 | -0.142 | -5.803*** | -0.461*** | ||||
(0.828) | (0.225) | (0.660) | (0.147) | (0.375) | (0.092) | (0.349) | (0.098) | (1.267) | (0.101) | |||||
特征变量 | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | ||||
省份、年份虚拟变量 | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | ||||
观测值 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 70312 | 68396 | 68396 | ||||
伪R2 | 0.078 | 0. 078 | 0.259 | 0.259 | 0.121 | 0.121 | 0.235 | 0.235 | 0.144 | 0.144 |
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