黄河流域乡镇人口—经济增长与收缩格局及影响因素

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2022.06.005

Abstract

Abstract:

The growth and contraction of small towns have attracted great attention in the process of regional transformation. However, the criteria for distinguishing growth and contraction of small towns lack clarity, and the research on transformation mechanism is relatively limited. Therefore, this study proposed a criterion for identifying the types of growth and contraction for small towns based on statistical data and NPP/VIIRS series remote sensing data. It established a heuristic analytical framework to analyze the driving forces, results, and responses for demographic and economic transitions in 5268 small towns in the Yellow River Basin. The results show that growth and contraction of population and economy coexist for small towns. Small towns with population reduction are mainly concentrated in the "Jiziwan" areas, while small towns with economic contraction are mainly located in the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin. The Guanzhong, Zhongyuan, and Shandong Peninsula urban agglomerations are the core areas with population and economic growth. The small towns can be divided into four types according to their population and economic change: sustained growth (6.4%), transitional growth (5.8%), slow growth (42.4%), and sustained contraction (45.4%). The small towns in technology-intensive and labor-intensive cities showed obvious growth trend, while contracting small towns accounted for a large proportion of resource-oriented cities. Multiple thresholds of natural conditions indicate that small towns in both plain and high-altitude areas have growth advantages. Scale economies and location advantage can promote the growth of small towns as a whole, but trickle-down effect and externality will cause the contraction of some small towns. Hence, small towns with different growth and contraction types should explore various transformation paths according to the local conditions.

Key words: growth and contraction, NPP/VIIRS data, generalized additive model, Yellow River Basin

ZHANG Mengmeng, ZHANG Lijun, QIN Yaochen, YANG Xiaowan, TIAN Mengnan, LIU Xiufang. Spatial pattern and influencing factors of small town population and economic growth and contraction in the Yellow River Basin[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2022, 41(6): 999-1011.

Figures/Tables 8

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	响应变量	计算方法	文献来源
自然条件	坡度	ArcGIS软件：栅格表面/坡度/以表格显示分区统计	闫广华等^[43]
	水网密度	区域内水系总长度/乡镇单元行政区面积	刘清春等^[44]
	海拔高度	区域内平均高度	闫广华等^[43]
规模经济	人口密度	常住人口/乡镇单元行政区面积	Tong等^[11]
规模经济	工业企业	规模以上工业企业个数	Tong等^[11]
交通区位	路网密度	区域内路网总长度/乡镇单元行政区面积	Tong等^[11]
交通区位	距中心城市距离	乡镇距离中心城市直线距离	刘清春等^[44]

Spatial pattern and influencing factors of small town population and economic growth and contraction in the Yellow River Basin

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