中国区域产业演化路径——基于技术关联性与技术复杂性的研究

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2021.04.007

Abstract

Abstract:

Using export data of the China Customs Database from 2000 to 2016 and methods measuring path-dependent and path-creation new industries and technological complexity of industries, this study analyzed the regional industrial development paths of China. Four types of regional industrial development paths were identified based on technological relatedness and technological complexity dimensions. The results show that, first, Chinese exports have an increasing trend in spatial dispersion, moving from the core cities of the Pearl River Delta to the core cities of the Yangtze River Delta and Shandong Province, and then to the peripheral areas of the Yangtze River Delta, the provincial capital cities of the central and western regions, and Jiangxi Province. Second, regional industrial diversification shows a high level of path dependence. From 2000 to 2016, path-dependent new industries accounted for about 70% of the total, while the figure for path-creation new industries was about 30%. Developed areas in coastal regions and capital cities in the central and western regions showed more path-creation characteristics. Third, in terms of path-dependent new industries, a half of them have a higher technological complexity than their parent incumbent industries. Regarding path-creation new industries, roughly two thirds of them have a higher technological complexity than their corresponding city average. Fourth, coastal regions have more path-creation new industries with a higher technological complexity, while the central and western regions have more path-dependent new industries with lower technological complexity. The results indicate that the Chinese government should take measures to promote the development of path-creation new industries with a higher technological complexity in the central and western regions.

Key words: exports, path dependence, path creation, technological relatedness of industries, technological complexity of industries

LI Wei, HE Canfei. Regional industrial diversification of China: Based on technological relatedness and complexity[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(4): 620-634.

Figures/Tables 10

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References 47

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时段	(1)				(2)				(3)		(4)
时段	YL	SJ	TP	总数	CA	CB	DA	DB	DA	DB	DA	DB
2000—2004年	2892	38	1150	4080	732	418	696	2196	1369	1523	1397	1495
2001—2005年	2891	35	1201	4127	771	430	624	2267	1385	1506	1355	1536
2002—2006年	2735	37	1165	3937	748	417	697	2038	1266	1469	1303	1432
2003—2007年	2697	38	1147	3882	761	386	613	2084	1359	1338	1377	1320
2004—2008年	2774	40	1121	3935	739	382	675	2099	1466	1308	1506	1268
2005—2009年	2894	20	1083	3997	751	332	637	2257	1586	1308	1569	1325
2006—2010年	2614	27	1008	3649	713	295	521	2093	1428	1186	1427	1187
2007—2011年	2339	31	869	3239	623	246	492	1847	1290	1049	1258	1081
2008—2012年	2506	37	855	3398	681	174	526	1980	1386	1120	1418	1088
2009—2013年	2667	18	966	3651	795	171	599	2068	1442	1225	1446	1221
2010—2014年	2505	19	895	3419	682	213	570	1935	1146	1359	1309	1196
2011—2015年	2667	25	1065	3757	805	260	590	2077	1222	1445	1328	1339
2012—2016年	2641	26	887	3554	713	174	536	2105	1321	1320	1409	1232

Regional industrial diversification of China: Based on technological relatedness and complexity

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