PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2021, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (3): 410-421.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2021.03.005
• Articles • Previous Articles Next Articles
LIU Tingting1,3(), WANG Mingfeng1,2,3,*(
), ZHANG Yinghao1,3, WANG Fan1,3, WU Mingyu1,3
Received:
2020-05-29
Revised:
2020-10-26
Online:
2021-03-28
Published:
2021-05-28
Contact:
WANG Mingfeng
E-mail:liutingtinghh@126.com;mfwang@re.ecnu.edu.cn
Supported by:
LIU Tingting, WANG Mingfeng, ZHANG Yinghao, WANG Fan, WU Mingyu. Spatiotemporal pattern and determinants of Internet firm survival in China[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(3): 410-421.
Tab.1
Stages of Internet development in China"
划分依据 | 时间节点 | 阶段划分 | 主要特征 |
---|---|---|---|
重点产业方向[ | 1995—2000年 | 传播信息化 | 基础服务、通讯工具、资讯门户 |
2000—2008年 | 电子商务化 | 信息产品多元化、商务化 | |
2008—2014年 | 服务业平台化 | 移动互联网,O2O、B2C模式兴起 | |
社会联结程度[ | 1994—2008年 | PC互联网 | 门户(邮件、搜索、新闻) |
2008—2016年 | 移动互联网 | 博客、微博、微信 | |
2016年开始 | 智能物联网 | 云、短视频、VR、AI | |
商业、制度和文化创新[ | 至1994年 | 科研阶段 | 邮件 |
1994—2001年 | 互联网1.0 | 商业化阶段——门户、B2C | |
2002—2008年 | 互联网2.0 | 社会化阶段——博客、视频、SNS | |
2009—2014年 | 互联网3.0 | 即时化阶段——微博、微信 | |
2015—2024年 | 网络空间时代 | 网络空间阶段——变革各行各业 | |
“连接”的演进[ | — | 前Web时代 | 机器连接的终端网络 |
— | Web 1.0时代 | 超链接形成的内容网络 | |
— | Web 2.0时代 | 个体连接形成的关系网络 | |
— | Web 3.0时代 | 内容和终端连接质变的服务网络 |
Tab.4
Meaning and value assignment of variables"
指标 | 变量 | 变量符号 | 赋值 |
---|---|---|---|
企业特征 | 企业规模 | Siz | 职工数量(0:不明确;1:小于10人;2:10~50人;3:50~100人;4:100~500人;5:500人以上) |
生命周期 | Rou | 企业获投轮次(0:不明确;1:未获投;2:A轮之前;3:A/B轮;4:C轮到上市前;5:上市/退市/战略投资) | |
成立世代 | 世代一 | C1 | 成立于第一波浪潮(1994—2001年)的企业数量(个) |
世代二 | C2 | 成立于第二波浪潮(2002—2008年)的企业数量(个) | |
世代三 | C3 | 成立于第三波浪潮(2009—2014年)的企业数量(个) | |
世代四 | C4 | 成立于第四波浪潮(2015—2019年)的企业数量(个) | |
创业环境 | 孵化环境 | Inc | 城市国家级科技孵化器和众创空间数量(个) |
风险投资 | Inv | 城市风险投资机构数量(个) | |
基础设施 | Inf | 城市单位人口宽带接入数(户) | |
控制变量 | 地理区域 | Loc | 城市所处地区(1:北方地区;0:南方地区) |
企业进入 | Ent | 城市1994—2019年互联网企业进入数量(个) | |
经济水平 | Eco | 城市人均GDP(万元) | |
人力资本 | Stu | 城市大学生数量(万人) |
Tab.5
Results of the Cox regression models"
变量 | 模型1 | 模型2 | 模型3 | 模型4 | 模型5(C1) | 模型6(C2) | 模型7(C3) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siz | 0.616*** (0.006) | 0.637*** (0.006) | 0.545*** (0.054) | 0.634*** (0.023) | 0.646*** (0.008) | ||
Rou | 0.522*** (0.008) | 0.539*** (0.008) | 0.453*** (0.076) | 0.585*** (0.003) | 0.503*** (0.009) | ||
C1 | 0.910*** (0.024) | 0.914*** (0.024) | |||||
C2 | 0.966* (0.017) | 0.967* (0.017) | |||||
C3 | 1.218*** (0.016) | 1.219*** (0.016) | |||||
Inc | 1.001*** (<0.001) | 1.001*** (<0.001) | 0.996* (0.012) | 1.001 (0.004) | 1.003*** (0.001) | ||
Inv | 1.001*** (<0.001) | 1.001*** (<0.001) | 1.017 (0.013) | 1.005 (0.003) | 1.003*** (0.001) | ||
Inf | 0.910*** (0.027) | 0.909*** (0.027) | 0.101** (0.013) | 0.964 (0.842) | 0.746 (0.140) | ||
Loc | 1.309*** (0.035) | 1.320*** (0.035) | 0.920* (0.043) | 0.972 (0.043) | 0.064** (0.081) | 1.000 (0.313) | 0.904 (0.064) |
Eco | 1.019*** (0.004) | 1.018*** (0.004) | 0.987 (0.008) | 1.000 (0.008) | 1.355* (0.217) | 1.009 (0.059) | 0.981 (0.012) |
Stu | 1.001* (<0.001) | 1.001 (<0.001) | 1.002*** (0.001) | 1.000 (0.001) | 0.981* (0.010) | 1.003 (0.004) | 0.999 (0.001) |
Log likelihood | -66438.296 | -65888.250 | -66113.622 | -65564.708 | -228.570 | -2519.486 | -46525.564 |
LR chi2 | 7173.02 | 7302.72 | 7822.37 | 7951.81 | 108.04 | 480.97 | 4983.76 |
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