PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2021, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (3): 357-369.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2021.03.001
• Articles • Next Articles
LIU Zhen1(), QI Wei1, QI Honggang3, LIU Shenghe1,2,*(
)
Received:
2020-04-30
Revised:
2020-10-07
Online:
2021-03-28
Published:
2021-05-28
Contact:
LIU Shenghe
E-mail:lzhgeog@sina.cn;liush@igsnrr.ac.cn
Supported by:
LIU Zhen, QI Wei, QI Honggang, LIU Shenghe. Spatial distribution of population decline areas in China and underlying causes from a multi-periodical perspective[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2021, 40(3): 357-369.
Tab.1
The number of population decline areas from a multi-periodical perspective"
收缩区演变类型 | 全国 | 东部地区 | 中部地区 | 西部地区 | 东北地区 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
数量/个 | 占比/% | 数量/个 | 占比/% | 数量/个 | 占比/% | 数量/个 | 占比/% | 数量/个 | 占比/% | |||||
持续收缩型 | 278 | 13.0 | 47 | 9.0 | 51 | 9.5 | 112 | 12.4 | 68 | 39.5 | ||||
近期增长转收缩型 | 112 | 5.2 | 17 | 3.3 | 32 | 6.0 | 31 | 3.4 | 32 | 18.6 | ||||
波动收缩型 | 511 | 23.9 | 106 | 20.3 | 144 | 26.9 | 227 | 25.1 | 34 | 19.8 | ||||
波动增长型 | 205 | 9.6 | 56 | 10.7 | 64 | 12.0 | 71 | 7.9 | 14 | 8.1 | ||||
总计 | 1106 | 51.8 | 226 | 43.3 | 291 | 54.4 | 441 | 48.8 | 148 | 86.0 |
Tab.2
Driving factors of population decline and their indicators"
影响因素 | 变量 | 变量简称 | 说明 |
---|---|---|---|
经济发展水平 | 人均GDP | Pergdp | 1990年取人均工农业生产总值,其他年份为人均国内生产总值 |
非农就业占比 | Pjob | 二三产业从业人口占总人口的比例 | |
经济增长速度 | 人均GDP增长率 | Rgdp | 人均GDP期末值相比期初值的增长率 |
非农就业占比变化 | Rjob | 非农就业占比期末值与期初值的差值 | |
公共服务和基础设施 | 交通便捷度 | Traffic | 公路网总长度与总面积的比值 |
教育水平 | Pedu | 按照现行学制为受教育年数计算的6岁以上人口平均受教育年限 | |
人口自然增长 | 出生率 | Birth | 年出生人口与年平均人口的比值 |
老龄化率 | Aging | 65岁以上人口占总人口的比值 |
Tab.3
Correlation analysis of population change and influencing factors"
变量 | 1990—2000年 | 2000—2010年 | 2010—2015年 |
---|---|---|---|
Pergdp | 0.35** | 0.59** | 0.29** |
Pjob | 0.48** | 0.67** | 0.21** |
Rgdp | 0.29** | 0.52** | 0.21** |
Rjob | 0.27** | -0.01 | 0.03* |
Traffic | 0.16** | 0.39** | 0.26** |
Pedu | 0.29** | 0.41** | 0.17** |
Birth | 0.02 | 0.12* | 0.24** |
Aging | -0.25** | -0.17** | -0.22** |
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