PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (1): 56-68.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2020.01.006
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ZHUO Rongrong1,2, YU Bin1,2,*(), ZENG Juxin1,2, GUO Xinwei1,2, WANG Mingjie1,3
Received:
2019-04-26
Revised:
2019-07-13
Online:
2020-01-28
Published:
2020-03-28
Contact:
YU Bin
E-mail:yupeize@126.com
Supported by:
ZHUO Rongrong, YU Bin, ZENG Juxin, GUO Xinwei, WANG Mingjie. Change and mechanism of influence of rural territorial functions in major agricultural areas of China: A case study of the Jianghan Plain[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(1): 56-68.
Tab.1
Index system for the assessment of rural territorial functions"
功能名称 | 显性形态 | 隐性形态 | 指标释义 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
指标 | 权重 | 指标 | 权重 | |||
生产功能 | 农业用地面积 | 0.074 | 第一产业增加值 | 0.078 | 农业用地面积占比=农业用地面积/乡村地域土地面积 | |
农业用地面积占比 | 0.045 | 第一产业增加值占比 | 0.047 | 第一产业增加值占比=第一产业增加值/县域GDP | ||
生活功能 | 乡村居民点面积 | 0.095 | 乡村常住人口数量 | 0.088 | 乡村居民点面积占比=乡村居民点面积/乡村地域土地面积 | |
乡村居民点面积占比 | 0.086 | 乡村居民生活价值 | 0.103 | 乡村居民生活价值=乡村常住人口数量×乡村居民人均可支配收入 | ||
生态功能 | 草地、森林、水域面积 | 0.123 | 草地、森林、水域生态总价值 | 0.102 | 草地、森林、水域面积占比=草地、森林、水域面积总和/乡村地域土地面积 | |
草地、森林、水域面积占比 | 0.089 | 地均草地、森林、水域价值 | 0.071 | 地均草地、森林、水域生态价值=草地、森林、水域生态价值总和/乡村地域土地面积 |
Tab.2
Influencing factors for the change of rural territorial functions"
一级指标 | 二级指标 | 计算方式 |
---|---|---|
外源驱动力 | 城镇人口占比(%) | 城镇人口占比=城镇人口数/县域常住人口总数 |
第二产业增加值占比(%) | 第二产业增加值占比=第二产业增加值/地区生产总值 | |
第三产业从业人员占比(%) | 第三产业从业人员占比=第三产从业人员数/年末全社会从业人员总数 | |
内生响应力 | 农村人均耕地面积(hm2/人) | 农村人均耕地面积=农村耕地面积/农村常住人口总数 |
地均农业机械动力(kW/hm2) | 地均农业机械动力=农业机械总动力/农村耕地面积 | |
农林牧渔服务业增加值占比(%) | 农林牧渔服务业增加值占比=农林牧渔服务业/第一产业增加值 |
Tab.3
Results of the spatial lag model (SLM)"
变量 | 综合功能指数 | 生产功能指数 | 生活功能指数 | 生态功能指数 |
---|---|---|---|---|
城镇化驱动 | -0.14*(-2.00) | -0.43***(-3.48) | -0.23**(-2.81) | 0.55(1.29) |
工业化驱动 | -0.06(-1.60) | -0.12(-1.23) | 0.03(0.38) | 0.01(0.03) |
市场化驱动 | -0.02(-1.87) | -0.06*(-2.03) | -0.02(-0.48) | -0.01(-0.35) |
城镇化响应 | 0.34***(4.20) | 0.82***(5.40) | -0.08(-0.65) | 0.03(0.13) |
工业化响应 | 0.07*(1.97) | 0.26**(2.95) | 0.20**(3.12) | 0.03(0.55) |
市场化响应 | 0.01(0.56) | 0.08*(2.35) | 0.05*(2.53) | 0(0) |
空间滞后回归系数ρ | 107.1***(4.12) | 67.32*(2.40) | 133.5***(5.41) | -30.95*(-2.49) |
R2 | 0.75 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.13 |
Log likelihood | 513.62 | 246.74 | 257.26 | -0.85 |
Tab.4
Results of the spatial error model (SEM)"
变量 | 综合功能指数 | 生产功能指数 | 生活功能指数 | 生态功能指数 |
---|---|---|---|---|
城镇化驱动 | -0.10(-1.51) | -0.41***(-3.71) | -0.19*(-2.26) | 0.56(1.31) |
工业化驱动 | -0.06(-1.41) | -0.05(-0.49) | -0.004(-0.03) | -0.03(-0.32) |
市场化驱动 | -0.02(-1.25) | -0.07*(-2.37) | -0.001(-0.03) | -0.002(-0.07) |
城镇化响应 | 0.36***(3.55) | 1.00***(7.73) | -0.12(-0.67) | -0.03(-0.09) |
工业化响应 | 0.09*(2.32) | 0.30**(3.00) | 0.20**(2.86) | 0.06(1.12) |
市场化响应 | 0.001(0.09) | 0.07*(2.20) | 0.05(1.87) | 0.01(0.11) |
空间误差回归系数λ | 145.40***(4.97) | -17.44(-0.24) | 153.40***(5.31) | -74.46(-1.34) |
R2 | 0.73 | 0.78 | 0.34 | 0.13 |
Log likelihood | 501.38 | 235.34 | 246.36 | 1.37 |
Tab.5
Results of the spatial Durbin model (SDM)"
变量 | 综合功能指数 | 生产功能指数 | 生活功能指数 | 生态功能指数 |
---|---|---|---|---|
城镇化驱动 | -0.12*(-2.03) | -0.41***(-3.44) | -0.21*(-2.46) | 0.32(1.51) |
工业化驱动 | -0.07(-1.70) | -0.16(-1.50) | -0.01(-0.13) | -0.28(-0.16) |
市场化驱动 | -0.02(-1.77) | -0.05*(-2.13) | -0.003(-0.11) | -0.02(-0.69) |
城镇化响应 | 0.31***(4.25) | 0.80***(6.25) | -0.14(-0.96) | -0.20(-0.56) |
工业化响应 | 0.08*(2.31) | 0.26***(3.78) | 0.13**(2.85) | 0.01(0.09) |
市场化响应 | 0.01(1.19) | 0.09**(3.28) | 0.07**(2.94) | 0.02(0.31) |
空间滞后回归系数ρ | 78.80**(3.29) | -86.78(-1.58) | 55.60*(2.10) | -115.50*(-2.08) |
R2 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.62 | 0.16 |
Log likelihood | 532.45 | 265.04 | 280.20 | 12.85 |
Tab.6
Direct and indirect effect estimates of the spatial Durbin model (SDM)"
效应 | 变量 | 综合功能指数 | 生产功能指数 | 生活功能指数 | 生态功能指数 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
直接效应 | 城镇化驱动 | -0.14*(-2.17) | -0.39**(-3.11) | -0.22*(-2.55) | 0.34(1.49) |
工业化驱动 | -0.06(-1.59) | -0.17(-1.56) | -0.01(-0.06) | -0.0002(<-0.01) | |
市场化驱动 | -0.02*(-2.27) | -0.04(-1.86) | -0.004(-0.12) | -0.01(-0.41) | |
城镇化响应 | 0.31***(4.23) | 0.77***(5.95) | -0.125(-0.93) | -0.18(-0.49) | |
工业化响应 | 0.09*(2.40) | 0.26***(3.94) | 0.13**(2.77) | -0.03(-0.22) | |
市场化响应 | 0.02(1.95) | 0.09**(3.16) | 0.08**(3.15) | 0.004(0.08) | |
间接效应 | 城镇化驱动 | -0.43**(-2.97) | -0.41(-1.75) | -0.44(-1.43) | -0.18(-1.15) |
工业化驱动 | 0.23(1.58) | 0.29(1.82) | 0.35(1.82) | -0.24(-0.84) | |
市场化驱动 | -0.08(-1.43) | -0.07(-1.51) | -0.15(-1.41) | -0.09(-0.94) | |
城镇化响应 | -0.04(-0.12) | 0.38(1.70) | 0.81(1.31) | -0.44(-1.14) | |
工业化响应 | 0.08(0.64) | -0.01(-0.10) | -0.16(-0.67) | 0.49(1.58) | |
市场化响应 | 0.25**(3.10) | 0.14*(2.54) | 0.28***(4.23) | 0.17(1.25) |
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