1979—2017年冬半年京津冀区域大风的变化及其环流背景分析

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2019.07.011

Abstract

Abstract:

In this study, the variability of the strong wind events in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region during the period 1979 to 2017 and its relationship with atmospheric circulation were analyzed, by employing the daily average wind speed records from the meteorological stations and the ERA-Interim reanalysis data. The analysis boreal winter months cover November to March of the following year. During 1979-2017, there were 556 strong wind events, and nearly 90% of them were dominated by northerly winds. The frequency of strong wind events has decreased significantly at a rate of -1.77 d·(10 a)^-1 (P<0.1), and the mean wind speed for these events has weakened with a trend of -0.07 m·s^-1·(10 a)^-1 (P<0.05). The regional and hemispheric atmospheric circulation anomalies were also analyzed. It was found that the East Asian westerly jet has a significant positive correlation with the frequency of strong wind events. The North Atlantic region has a negative-positive stratospheric circulation anomaly distribution in the north-south direction, and its correlation coefficients with both the frequency and mean wind speed of strong wind events are close to 0.30. These analyses suggest that the wind variability in northern China is related to the regional atmospheric circulation over East Asia, the large-scale circulation in the northern hemisphere, and the upstream circulation in the North Atlantic

Key words: regional strong wind events, East Asian westerly jet stream, atmospheric circulation in the northern hemisphere, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

Xiaoxue SHI, Daoyi GONG, Yihong HU. Regional strong winter wind events over Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the associated atmospheric circulation changes during 1979-2017[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(7): 1069-1079.

Figures/Tables 12

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References 36

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站点	最大风速/(m·s^-1)	平均风速/(m·s^-1)	偏北风所占比重(大于1.5 m·s^-1)/%	标准差/(m·s^-1)
北京站	10.3	2.4	66	1.3
霸州站	9.3	1.9	61	1.0
天津站	10.3	2.4	58	1.4
唐山站	9.3	2.3	49	1.1
保定站	8.3	1.8	59	0.9

项目	大风日频次	大风日平均风速	非大风日平均风速
年际方差	22.9 d² (54%)	0.03 m²·s^-2 (70%)	0.007 m²·s^-2 (41%)
年代际方差	17.9 d² (42%)	0.01 m²·s^-2 (13%)	0.011 m²·s^-2 (58%)
显著年际周期	3~4 a	2~3 a	2~3 a, 6 a
显著年代际周期	14~15 a	无	无

环流指数	大风日频次	大风日平均风速
WA(西大西洋遥相关)	0.30^*	0.29^*
NAO(北大西洋涛动)	-0.01	-0.05
东亚平均200 hPa纬向风^a	0.37^*	0.15

Regional strong winter wind events over Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the associated atmospheric circulation changes during 1979-2017

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