中国人类福祉地区差距演变及其影响因素——基于人类发展指数(HDI)的分析

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2018.08.014

Abstract

Abstract:

The problem of regional unbalanced development emerges while human well-being is improving. Using the Gini coefficient, Theil index, and regression analysis method, this study analyzed the regional difference in change and determinants of human well-being in China from 1995 to 2013. It revealed that: (1) The inter-provincial difference of human well-being shows a converging trend and is getting smaller in China from 1995 to 2013. In the 9th Five Year Plan period it kept narrowing and in the 10th Five Year Plan period it showed some fluctuations. In the 11th Five Year Plan period it decreased rapidly and in the 12th Five Year Plan period it had a development trend of convergence; (2) From 1995 to 2013, the difference between the four regions is the main difference of human well-being in China, but its contribution rate shows a decreasing trend as a whole. The contribution rate of inter-provincial difference of human well-being is increasing in the four regions. The west region had the biggest inter-provincial difference of human well-being but has decreased significantly. The inter-provincial difference of human well-being enlarged at first and then narrowed in the east region. The central and the Northeast region showed smaller inter-provincial differences of human well-being and had a narrowing trend; (3) Increasing economic development and educational expenditure can improve the provincial human well-being but also will expand the difference of human well-being. The growth of the ratio of health care expenditure in finance will decrease the human well-being, but can narrow the difference of human well-being. Social security expenditure and transfers per capita are effective ways to improve provincial human well-being, but also narrow the difference of human well-being.

Key words: human well-being, regional difference, determinants, Gini coefficient, Theil coefficient, China

Shengyun WANG, Yuting LUO, Yajie HAN, Jing LI. Regional difference and determinants of human well-being in China: Based on the analysis of human development index[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 37(8): 1150-1158.

Figures/Tables 9

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References 23

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指标	P值	检验结论
HDI	0.000	平稳
Med	0.084	不平稳
Dmed	0.000	平稳
Edu	0.098	不平稳
Dedu	0.000	平稳
lnsec	0.000	平稳
lntrs	0.050	平稳
Civ	0.080	平稳

	HDI(FEM)	T-value
Dmed(卫生经费占财政支出比重)	-0.1583	(-2.91)^***
Dedu(教育经费占财政支出比重)	0.0167	(0.43)
lnsec(人均社会保障支出)	0.0185	(11.25)^***
lntrs(人均财政转移支付)	0.0352	(18.68)^***
Civ(城镇化率)	0.0253	(3.75)^***
c(截距项)	0.3778	(52.96)^***
R²(within)	0.9543
R²(between)	0.1058
R²(overall)	0.3419
rho	0.9625
Hausman检验	V²(5)=-19.54 (P=0.0000)

模型		非标准化系数		标准系数	t	Sig.
模型		B	标准误差	标准系数	t	Sig.
	lnGDP	0.017	0.007	1.495	2.296	0.040
	Edu	0.062	0.055	0.080	1.124	0.283
	Med	-0.253	0.131	-0.334	-1.933	0.077
	lnsec	-0.005	0.002	-0.872	-2.252	0.044
	lntrs	-0.012	0.006	-1.657	-2.026	0.066
	Inc	0.006	0.004	0.239	1.487	0.163
	c	-0.037	0.043		-0.854	0.410

Regional difference and determinants of human well-being in China: Based on the analysis of human development index

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