PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2016, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (10): 1218-1227.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2016.10.005
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Quanen GUO1,2(), Bindong SUN1,2,*(
)
Online:
2016-10-28
Published:
2016-10-26
Contact:
Bindong SUN
E-mail:guoqedili@126.com;bdsun@re.ecnu.edu.cn
Supported by:
Quanen GUO, Bindong SUN. Spatial distribution and influencing factors of high-tech industry innovation in China:Based on spatial econometric analysis of panel data[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2016, 35(10): 1218-1227.
Tab.1
Counts and annual growth rates of regional and provincial patent applications in high-tech industries, 2003-2012"
专利申请数/项 | 年增长率/% | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2003年 | 2008年 | 2012年 | 2003-2008年 | 2008-2012年 | 2003-2012年 | ||
中国 | 8270 | 39656 | 127806 | 36.82 | 33.99 | 35.56 | |
东部地区 | 7045 | 35615 | 105753 | 38.28 | 31.27 | 35.12 | |
辽宁 | 75 | 452 | 1772 | 43.22 | 40.71 | 42.10 | |
河北 | 31 | 265 | 627 | 53.60 | 24.02 | 39.67 | |
北京 | 896 | 2856 | 9972 | 26.09 | 36.70 | 30.70 | |
天津 | 461 | 1217 | 3441 | 21.43 | 29.67 | 25.03 | |
山东 | 589 | 2058 | 6970 | 28.43 | 35.66 | 31.59 | |
江苏 | 676 | 2776 | 16999 | 32.65 | 57.31 | 43.09 | |
上海 | 835 | 1639 | 6174 | 14.44 | 39.32 | 24.89 | |
浙江 | 353 | 2467 | 10237 | 47.53 | 42.73 | 45.38 | |
福建 | 243 | 604 | 3444 | 19.97 | 54.53 | 34.26 | |
广东 | 2831 | 21185 | 45449 | 49.56 | 21.03 | 36.13 | |
海南 | — | 8 | 329 | — | 153.24 | — | |
广西 | 55 | 88 | 339 | 9.86 | 40.10 | 22.39 | |
中部地区 | 442 | 2033 | 12484 | 35.69 | 57.42 | 44.95 | |
黑龙江 | 66 | 185 | 736 | 22.89 | 41.23 | 30.73 | |
吉林 | 79 | 147 | 542 | 13.22 | 38.57 | 23.86 | |
内蒙古 | 2 | — | 39 | — | — | 39.10 | |
山西 | 45 | 70 | 376 | 9.24 | 52.24 | 26.60 | |
河南 | 85 | 581 | 1812 | 46.88 | 32.89 | 40.49 | |
湖北 | 42 | 444 | 2626 | 60.26 | 55.945 | 58.33 | |
安徽 | 49 | 185 | 3182 | 30.44 | 103.65 | 59.00 | |
湖南 | 29 | 270 | 2306 | 56.24 | 70.95 | 62.62 | |
江西 | 45 | 151 | 865 | 27.40 | 54.71 | 38.88 | |
西部地区 | 783 | 2008 | 9569 | 20.73 | 47.75 | 32.07 | |
重庆 | 72 | 222 | 1153 | 25.26 | 50.96 | 36.09 | |
四川 | 260 | 854 | 5054 | 26.85 | 55.97 | 39.05 | |
贵州 | 55 | 298 | 966 | 40.21 | 34.18 | 37.50 | |
云南 | 140 | 79 | 409 | -10.81 | 50.84 | 12.65 | |
陕西 | 226 | 473 | 1606 | 15.92 | 35.74 | 24.34 | |
甘肃 | 10 | 38 | 249 | 30.60 | 59.99 | 42.93 | |
青海 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -24.21 | 31.61 | -3.15 | |
宁夏 | 16 | 29 | 125 | 12.63 | 44.09 | 25.66 | |
新疆 | — | 14 | 4 | — | -26.89 | — |
Tab.2
Results of Moran's I"
年份 | Moran's I值 | P值 | Z值 |
---|---|---|---|
2003年 | 0.633*** | 0.001 | 5.396 |
2004年 | 0.205** | 0.030 | 2.196 |
2005年 | 0.250** | 0.025 | 2.415 |
2006年 | 0.178** | 0.047 | 2.113 |
2007年 | 0.160** | 0.036 | 2.015 |
2008年 | 0.409** | 0.012 | 3.556 |
2009年 | 0.408*** | 0.008 | 3.246 |
2010年 | 0.425*** | 0.007 | 3.521 |
2011年 | 0.494*** | 0.003 | 3.941 |
2012年 | 0.495*** | 0.004 | 4.116 |
Tab.3
Panel data models without spatial interaction effects"
变量 | 混合OLS模型 | 空间固定效应模型 | 时间固定效应模型 | 双向固定效应模型 |
---|---|---|---|---|
研发资金投入 | 0.696***(0.000) | 0.571***(0.000) | 0.656***(0.000) | 0.564***(0.000) |
研发人员投入 | 10.671***(0.000) | 8.049***(0.003) | 8.352***(0.000) | 7.091***(0.008) |
高校研发水平 | -0.440**(0.012) | 1.427***(0.002) | -0.302*(0.074) | 1.372***(0.004) |
企业规模 | -0.057(0.432) | 0.241**(0.031) | 0.057(0.441) | 0.268**(0.017) |
市场开放度 | 0.035(0.148) | 0.143***(0.000) | 0.004(0.870) | 0.127***(0.000) |
常数 | -0.031(0.285) | |||
σ2 | 0.128 | 0.064 | 0.080 | 0.059 |
R2 | 0.805 | 0.665 | 0.800 | 0.550 |
调整R2 | 0.802 | 0.66 | 0.797 | 0.544 |
自然对数似然函数值 | -61.020 | -10.560 | -44.328 | 1.234 |
拉格朗日乘数滞后检验 | 8.683***(0.003) | 8.830***(0.003) | 1.993(0.158) | 4.011**(0.045) |
拉格朗日乘数误差检验 | 16.210***(0.000) | 7.430***(0.006) | 10.914***(0.001) | 3.245*(0.072) |
稳健拉格朗日乘数滞后检验 | 1.494(0.222) | 2.927*(0.087) | 0.020(0.889) | 1.221(0.269) |
稳健拉格朗日乘数误差检验 | 9.021***(0.003) | 1.527(0.217) | 8.941***(0.003) | 0.455(0.500) |
Tab.5
Spatial Durbin model specifications with two-way effects"
变量 | 双固定效应模型 | 随机效应模型 |
---|---|---|
W×创新水平 | 0.357***(0.000) | 0.342***(0.000) |
研发资金投入 | 0.481***(0.000) | 0.512***(0.000) |
研发人员投入 | 6.183***(0.009) | 7.729***(0.000) |
高校研发水平 | 1.415***(0.001) | -0.239(0.288) |
企业规模 | 0.410***(0.000) | 0.173**(0.024) |
市场开放度 | 0.032(0.291) | 0.003(0.903) |
W×研发资金投入 | -0.494***(-0.009) | -0.402**(0.023) |
W×研发人员投入 | 8.858***(0.029) | 10.172***(0.007) |
W×高校研发水平 | 0.533(0.553) | -0.951*(0.062) |
W×企业规模 | -0.572***(0.000) | -0.663***(0.000) |
W×市场开放度 | 0.467***(0.000) | 0.379***(0.000) |
横截面元素的权重phi | 0.484***(0.000) | |
豪斯曼检验 | 34.472*** | |
σ2 | 0.046 | 0.049 |
R2 | 0.911 | 0.874 |
调整R2 | 0.656 | 0.810 |
自然对数似然函数值 | 52.068 | -0.735 |
空间滞后的怀特检验 | 122.849***(0.000) | 117.422***(0.000) |
空间误差的怀特检验 | 86.172***(0.000) | 73.139***(0.000) |
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