中国与“一带一路”沿线国家贸易格局及其经济贡献

doi:10.11820/dlkxjz.2015.05.008

Abstract

Abstract:

Policy coordination, facilities connectivity, unimpeded trade, financial integration, and people-to-people bond are the focus of international cooperation of the "Belt and Road Initiative". Exports of the provinces in China to the "Belt and Road Initiative" area is the main content of the "Unimpeded trade and Financial integration," but research on trade between China and countries in the "Belt and Road Initiative" area are relatively rare, and trade interdependence remains unclear. According to the latest data from the International Trade Center, Chinese customs statistics in 2014, and Multi-regional Input-Output Table of China's 30 provinces in 2010, we analyzed the trade interdependence between China and countries of the "Belt and Road Initiative" area, and the contribution of provincial export to the GDP of each province. The results show that: trade interdependence had deepen between China and countries of the "Belt and Road Initiative" area, but the interdependence was asymmetrical; at the provincial level, the relatively high GDP contribution of exports in coastal provinces shows that these provinces are more export-dependent. Xinjiang has the highest GDP contribution of export (to Central Asia)and is thus strongly export dependent.

Key words: the Belt and Road Initiative, export, trade interdependence, economic contribution, China

Jialing ZOU, Chunla LIU, Guoqing YIN, Zhipeng TANG. Spatial patterns and economic effects of China's trade with countries along the Belt and Road[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2015, 34(5): 598-605.

Figures/Tables 8

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板块	主要国别
中亚5国	哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、塔吉克斯坦、乌兹别克斯坦和土库曼斯坦
蒙俄	蒙古、俄罗斯
东南亚11国	越南、老挝、柬埔寨、泰国、马来西亚、新加坡、印度尼西亚、文莱、菲律宾、缅甸、东帝汶
南亚8国	印度、巴基斯坦、孟加拉国、阿富汗、尼泊尔、不丹、斯里兰卡、马尔代夫
中东欧19国	波兰、捷克、斯洛伐克、匈牙利、斯洛文尼亚、克罗地亚、罗马尼亚、保加利亚、塞尔维亚、黑山、马其顿、波黑、阿尔巴尼亚、爱沙尼亚、立陶宛、拉脱维亚、乌克兰、白俄罗斯、摩尔多瓦
西亚、中东19国	土耳其、伊朗、叙利亚、伊拉克、阿联酋、沙特阿拉伯、卡塔尔、巴林、科威特、黎巴嫩、阿曼、也门、约旦、以色列、巴勒斯坦、亚美尼亚、格鲁吉亚、阿塞拜疆、埃及

年份	蒙俄	中亚5国	东南亚11国	南亚8国	中东欧19国	西亚中东19国
2001	0.86	1.00	6.43	1.53	1.47	3.08
2002	0.91	1.13	6.61	1.61	1.57	3.37
2003	1.17	1.54	6.22	1.56	1.79	3.52
2004	1.31	1.72	6.32	1.78	1.74	3.33
2005	1.48	2.04	6.33	1.98	1.78	3.48
2006	1.45	2.12	6.37	2.30	2.59	3.76
2007	2.14	3.01	6.65	2.72	2.54	4.53
2008	2.15	3.51	6.99	2.93	2.82	4.79
2009	1.34	2.48	7.54	3.33	2.48	4.94
2010	1.72	2.50	7.34	3.46	2.56	4.61
2011	1.88	2.52	7.47	3.59	2.49	4.72
2012	1.93	2.63	8.38	3.31	2.25	4.62
2013	2.04	2.74	9.31	3.28	2.19	4.79

年份	蒙俄	中亚5国	东南亚11国	南亚8国	中东欧19国	西亚中东19国
2001	8.08	7.80	5.60	4.20	0.71	4.10
2002	7.99	7.94	7.14	4.69	0.87	4.05
2003	7.34	7.52	9.33	5.76	1.15	5.05
2004	6.78	6.96	10.24	7.94	0.90	5.61
2005	6.64	6.74	10.66	7.91	0.81	5.29
2006	6.04	6.02	10.67	7.06	0.77	6.55
2007	5.76	6.14	11.55	8.26	0.91	5.91
2008	5.26	5.45	10.87	9.75	0.93	7.03
2009	7.36	7.66	11.96	6.65	1.44	7.98
2010	7.01	8.19	13.25	8.12	1.67	8.60
2011	8.32	9.53	13.99	6.90	1.86	9.57
2012	8.93	10.44	13.85	6.18	1.96	10.20
2013	7.91	10.20	13.65	4.99	2.03	11.18

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Spatial patterns and economic effects of China's trade with countries along the Belt and Road

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