华北平原农业适应气候变化技术集成创新体系

doi:10.11820/dlkxjz.2012.11.015

Abstract

Abstract: Integrated technology innovation is a necessary approach to climate change adaptation. This paper, taking the North China Plain (NCP), one of the most important commodity grain producing regions, as a case, analyzes the impacts of climate change on the region’s agriculture, and puts forward several integrated innovation systems for climate change adaptation technologies for the agriculture in NCP, including: (1) single-objective system, (2) multi-objective system, (3) multi-agency system, (4) area-specific system. In examining the different scenarios for implementation of climate change adaptation, this paper discusses the uncertainty of climate change adaptation, differences in the need for the adaptation, and integrated innovation capability of the adaptation technologies. This paper also points out that climate change adaptation in China requires the study of integrated technology innovation in different fields, and requires the formation of integrated innovation system in different agencies, so that many a single and independent technical achievement can be integrated into the system, which leads to the establishment of an integrated innovation mechanism for climate adaptation technologies.

Key words: adaptation technology to climate change, agriculture, integrated innovation system, North China Plain

HAN Rongqing, PAN Tao, LIU Yujie, ZHANG Jiutian, WANG Wentao. Integrated Innovation Systems for Climate Change Adaptation Technologies in North China Plain[J].PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2012, 31(11): 1537-1545.

References

[1] 陈宜瑜, 丁永建, 佘之祥, 等. 中国气候与环境演变评估(Ⅱ): 气候与环境变化的影响与适应、减缓对策. 气候变化研究进展, 2005, 1(2): 51-57.

[2] 居煇, 熊伟, 徐吟隆, 等. IPCC SRES A2 和B2 情景下中国小麦产量变化模拟. 作物学报, 2005, 31(8): 24-29.

[3] 熊伟, 林而达, 居煇, 等. 气候变化的影响阈值和中国的粮食安全. 气候变化研究进展, 2005, 1(2): 84-87.

[4] 张建平, 赵燕霞, 王春乙, 等. 未来气候变化情景下中国主要粮食作物产量变化模拟. 干旱地区农业研究,2007, 25(5): 209-213.

[5] IPCC. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation andVulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to theFourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panelon Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge UniversityPress, 2007: 1-976.

[6] 蔡运龙, Barry S. 全球气候变化下中国农业的脆弱性与适应对策. 地理学报, 1996, 51(3): 202-212.

[7] 肖风劲, 张海东, 王春乙, 等. 气候变化对我国农业的可能影响及适应性对策. 自然灾害学报, 2006, 15(6):327-331.

[8] 徐斌, 辛晓平, 唐华俊, 等. 气候变化对我国农业地理分布的影响及对策. 地理科学进展, 1999, 18(4): 316-321.

[9] 张宇. 气候变化对我国小麦发育及产量可能影响的模拟研究. 应用气象学报, 2000, 11(3): 264-270.

[10] 刘德祥, 董安祥, 陆登荣. 中国西北地区近43 年气候变化及其对农业生产的影响. 干旱地区农业研究, 2005, 23(2): 195-200.

[11] 单葆成, 徐永生, 张祖立. 辽宁省机械化保护性耕作技术发展现状与对策研究. 农机化研究, 2008(9): 234-236.

[12] 谢立勇, 郭明顺, 刘思才, 等. 农业适应气候变化的行动与展望. 农业经济, 2009(12): 35-36.

[13] 王雅琼, 马世铭. 中国区域农业适应气候变化技术选择. 中国农业气象, 2009, 30(增1): 51-56.

[14] 孟浩, 何建坤, 吕春燕. 创新集成与集成创新探析. 科学学研究, 2006, 24(增刊): 261-267.

[15] Yang X, Liu Z, Chen F. The possible effect of climatewarming on northern limits of cropping system and cropyield in China. Agricultural Sciences in China, 2011, 10(4): 585-594.

[16] 李爽, 王羊, 李双成. 中国近30 年气候要素时空变化特征. 地理研究, 2009, 28(6): 1593-1605.

[17] 秦大河, 丁一汇, 苏纪兰, 等. 中国气候与环境演变评估(I): 中国气候与环境变化及未来趋势. 气候变化研究进展, 2005, 1(1): 4-9.

[18] 马洁华, 刘园, 杨晓光, 等. 全球气候变化背景下华北平原气候资源变化趋势. 生态学报, 2010, 30(14):3818-3827.

[19] 谭方颖, 王建林, 宋迎波. 华北平原近45 年气候变化特征分析. 气象, 2010, 36(5): 40-45.

[20] 丁一汇, 任国玉, 石广玉, 等. 气候变化国家评估报告(Ⅰ): 中国气候变化的历史和未来趋势. 气候变化研究进展, 2006, 2(1): 3-8.

[21] Chavas D R, Izaurralde R C, Thomson A M. Long-termclimate change impacts on agricultural productivity ineastern China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology,2009, 149(6/7): 1118-1128.

[22] 姜群鸥, 邓祥征, 战金艳, 等. 黄淮海平原气候变化及其对耕地生产潜力的影响. 地理与地理信息科学, 2007,23(5): 82-85.

[23 Chen C, Qian C, Deng A, et al. Progressive and active adaptationsof cropping system to climate change in NortheastChina. Eur. J. Agron., 2011, doi: 10.1016/j.eja.2011.07. 003.

[24] Wang F. Impacts of climate change on cropping systemand its implication for agriculture in China.Acta MeteorologicaSinica, 1997, 11(4): 407-415.

[25] 郑度, 杨勤业, 吴绍洪, 等. 中国生态地理区域系统研究. 北京: 商务印书馆, 2008.

[26] 夏军. 华北地区水循环与水资源安全: 问题与挑战. 地理科学进展, 2002, 21(6): 517-526.

[27] 林而达, 许吟隆, 蒋金荷, 等. 气候变化国家评估报告( Ⅱ): 气候变化的影响与适应. 气候变化研究进展,2006, 2(2): 51-56.

[28] 费宇红, 张兆吉, 张凤娥, 等. 气候变化和人类活动对华北平原水资源影响分析. 地球学报, 2007, 28(6): 567-571.

[29] 薛昌颖, 霍治国, 李世奎, 等. 灌溉降低华北冬小麦干旱减产的风险评估研究. 自然灾害学报, 2003, 12(3):131-136.

[30] 姚治君, 林耀明, 高迎春, 等. 华北平原分区适宜性农业节水技术与潜力. 自然资源学报, 2000, 15(3): 259-264.

[31] 张正斌, 崔玉亭, 陈兆波, 等. 华北平原水资源平衡和节水农业发展的若干问题探讨. 中国农业科技导报,2003, 5(4): 42-47.

[32] Saavedra C, Budd W W. Climate change and environmentalplanning: Working to build community resilienceand adaptive capacity in Washington State, USA. HabitatInternational, 2009, 33(3): 246-252.

[33] 谢高地, 章予舒, 齐文虎, 等. 农业资源高效利用评价模型与决策支持. 北京: 科学出版社, 2002.

[34] 安国民, 徐世艳, 赵化春. 国外设施农业现状与发展趋势. 现代化农业, 2004(12): 34-36.

[35] 华北农业大学农业气象组耕作组. 华北平原地区气候与种植制度的改革. 气象科技, 1976(S1): 5-10.

[36] 戴明宏, 陶洪斌, 廖树华, 等. 基于CERES-Maize 模型的华北平原玉米生产潜力的估算与分析. 农业工程学报,2008, 24(4): 30-36.

[37] 刘明, 陶洪斌, 王璞, 等. 播期对春玉米生长发育与产量形成的影响. 中国生态农业学报, 2009, 17(1): 18-23.

[38] 王春虎, 冯荣成, 陈士林, 等. 华北平原夏玉米高产的几项关键技术. 中国农村小康科技, 2008(8): 31-33.

[39] 刘巽浩, 韩湘玲, 赵明斋, 等. 华北平原地区麦田两熟的光能利用作物竞争与产量分析. 作物学报, 1981, 7(1):63-72.

[40] Miraglia M, Marvin H J P, Kleter G A. Climate changeand food safety: An emerging issue with special focus onEurope. Food and Chemical Toxicology, 2009, 47(5):1009-1021.

[41] Lobell D B, Ortiz-Monasterio I, Asier G P, et al. Analysisof wheat yield and climatic trends in Mexico. Field CropsRes, 2005, 94(2-3): 250-256.

[42] Ortiz R, Sayre K D, Govaerts B. Climate change: Canwheat beat the heat? Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment,2008, 126(1/2): 46-58.

[43] Liu H, Li X B, Fischer G. Study on the impacts of climatechange on China’s agriculture. Climatic Change,2004, 65(1/2): 125-148.

[44] 罗其友. 节水型农业模式及其区域选择: 以华北平原为例. 农业现代化研究, 1997, 18(5): 283-286.

[45] 叶志华, 刘国栋, 钱永忠, 等. 农业资源高效利用新技术应用前景与技术对策. 北京: 科学出版社, 2002.

Integrated Innovation Systems for Climate Change Adaptation Technologies in North China Plain

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Cited

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 0

[1]	GONG Jianzhou, JIANG Chao, HU Yueming, YANG Hao. A review and prospect of research on the dike-pond system in the Pearl River Delta [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(7): 1236-1246.
[2]	GE Dazhuan,ZHOU Li,LONG Hualou,QIAO Weifeng,LI Yurui. Types of agricultural production transformation and implications for rural vitalization: A case of the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(9): 1329-1339.
[3]	FANG Yangang,LIU Bencheng,LIU Jianzhi. Territorial types and optimization strategies of agriculture multifunctions: A case study of Jilin Province [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 38(9): 1349-1360.
[4]	Ruiqiang YUAN, Xiting LONG, Peng WANG, Shiqin WANG, Xianfang SONG. Renewal rate of groundwater in the Baiyangdian Lake Basin [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2015, 34(3): 381-388.
[5]	Jing LUO, Qiong CHEN, Fenggui LIU, Yili ZHANG, Qiang ZHOU. Methods for reconstructing historical cropland spatial distribution of the Yellow River-Huangshui River valley in Tibetan Plateau [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2015, 34(2): 207-.
[6]	Yurui LI, Qianlong YANG, Zhi CAO. Current status and pattern transformation of agricultural development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2015, 34(11): 1458-1469.
[7]	LUO Kui, FANG Chuanglin, MA Haitao. Spatial pattern and relationship between China’s urbanization and non-agriculture employment growth [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2014, 33(4): 457-466.
[8]	DU Shanshan, CAI Jianming, GUO Hua, FAN Ziwen. Food Security-oriented Urban Agriculture Development Typologies: A Case Study of Vegetable Production in Peri-urban Beijing [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2012, 31(6): 783-791.
[9]	ZHANG Baohua, GU Yanfang, DING Shengyan, LIANG Guofu. Research Development on Driving Factors and Ecological Effects of Agriculture Landscape Pattern Change [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2007, 26(1): 114-122.
[10]	LV Yao, ZHANG Yushu. Identification, Evaluation and Internalization of Externalities of Agriculture [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2007, 26(1): 123-132.
[11]	CHEN Yinjun, WU Kai, LU Bu,YUAN Zhang, XU Yuexian. The Present Situation and the Agricultural Structure Adjustment of Agricultural Production in the Huanghe River Basin [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2005, 24(4): 106-113.
[12]	SHAO Xiaomei, YAN Changrong. Discussion on the Urgency and Ways of High-Efficient and Water Saving Agricultural Construction in the Yellow River Basin [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2005, 24(4): 97-105.
[13]	CHEN Yufu, LIU Yansui, YAN Jianping. Livestock Agriculture and Rural Development of the Grassland Pasturing Area of China [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2005, 24(3): 17-24.
[14]	LIU Dexiang, DONG Anxiang, ZHANG Pinglan, FEI Xiaoling. Impact of Climate Warming on Agriculture in Gansu Province [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2005, 24(2): 49-58.
[15]	ZHOU Xiaoping, CHEN Baiming. The Research of Agriculture Resources Sustainable Utilization Pattern and Case Analysis [J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2003, 22(4): 417-425.