PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2010, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (9): 1060-1066.doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2010.09.006

• Original Articles • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Land Use System Dynamic Modeling: Literature Review and Future Research Direction in China

PEI Bin1, PAN Tao2   

  1. 1. Pingliang Normal School, Pingliang 744000, Gansn, China;
    2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
  • Received:2010-03-01 Revised:2010-06-01 Online:2010-09-25 Published:2010-09-25


The dynamic inter-relationship of land use/cover change (LUCC) and its environment has been one of the major issues since the LUCC study started in the 1980x. To integrate both processes of land user’s decision making and environmental change to investigate land use system dynamics is one of the feasible approaches to couple physical system and social syetem into a more complicated land use system. Based on the complexity analysis of land use system, this paper summarizes the major research problems in LUCC modeling, including (1) how to analyze the influence of physical characteristics on decision making process, (2) how to quantify the interaction between different user, and (3) how to build regional land use dynamic models. Models are recongnized as one of the powerful methods to study the structure and function of land use system. Till now, few models can truly intergrate the physical subsystem and socio-economic subsystem into more comprehensive models to simulate more realistically the land use change processes. While the agent based modeling (ABM), which considers the spatial dimension and the decision making process of land use change, is more suitable for simulating land use change process on spatial, interactive and multi-scale dimensions. Based on the review of the researches on agent based modeling of land use change, this paper proposes some suggestions for such works in China.

Key words: agent based modelling, complexity, dynamic change, land use system