地理科学进展 ›› 2014, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (4): 517-530.doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2014.04.009
龙冬平, 李同昇, 苗园园, 刘超, 李晓越, 孟欢欢
收稿日期:
2013-09-01
修回日期:
2014-02-01
出版日期:
2014-04-25
发布日期:
2014-04-25
作者简介:
龙冬平(1985- ),男,湖南邵阳人,硕士生,主要研究方向为区域发展与城乡规划,E-mail:longdongping2012@163.com。
基金资助:
LONG Dongping, LI Tongsheng, MIAO Yuanyuan, LIU Chao, LI Xiaoyue, MENG Huanhuan
Received:
2013-09-01
Revised:
2014-02-01
Online:
2014-04-25
Published:
2014-04-25
Contact:
李同昇(1960- ),男,陕西岐山人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事经济地理学研究,E-mail:leetang@nwu.edu.cn。
E-mail:leetang@nwu.edu.cn
摘要: 基于交叉学科视角,结合改革开放以来的统计数据,综合运用探索性空间数据分析与偏最小二乘回归分析等方法,对中国农村人口非农化时空演变特征及影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明:① 中国农村人口非农化的时间维度具有明显的阶段性特征,自1978 以来,全国与“四大板块”先后经历了倒“U”型增长→波动增长→平稳增长3 个阶段的演替;② 中国农村人口非农化的空间维度具有明显的分异演化特征;③ 中国农村人口非农化增长的热点区域存在显著的空间极化现象,即增长热点先后历经了“两核集聚”→“一核极化”→“中心辐射递减”的时空演变;④ 中国农村人口非农化的时空差异主要受工业化水平、城镇化水平、服务业发展水平、受教育水平和农业现代化水平等5 个因子影响,并且各因子在不同时期的作用大小存在显著差异;⑤ 面对转型期中国农村人口非农化新形势与新挑战,地理学界在理论成果及应对措施方面应该作出更多贡献。
中图分类号:
龙冬平, 李同昇, 苗园园, 刘超, 李晓越, 孟欢欢. 中国农村人口非农化时空演变特征及影响因素[J]. 地理科学进展, 2014, 33(4): 517-530.
LONG Dongping, LI Tongsheng, MIAO Yuanyuan, LIU Chao, LI Xiaoyue, MENG Huanhuan. Spatio-temporal characteristics and impacting factors of non-agriculturalization of China’s rural population[J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2014, 33(4): 517-530.
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