长江三角洲城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合关系

doi:10.11820/dlkxjz.2013.07.009

地理科学进展 ›› 2013, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (7): 1060-1071.doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2013.07.009

长江三角洲城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合关系

孙东琪¹, 张京祥², 张明斗³, 于正松⁴, 胡毅⁵, 周亮¹

1. 南京大学地理与海洋科学学院, 南京210093;
2. 南京大学建筑与城市规划学院, 南京210093;
3. 东北财经大学公共管理学院, 大连116023;
4. 西北大学城市与环境学院, 西安710127;
5. 住房和城乡建设部城乡规划管理中心, 北京100835

收稿日期:2013-01-01 修回日期:2013-05-01 出版日期:2013-07-25 发布日期:2013-07-25
通讯作者: 张京祥(1973-),男,江苏盐城人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事城市地理、区域规划研究。E-mail:3593786@163.com
作者简介:孙东琪(1985-),男,山东单县人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为城市地理、区域规划。E-mail:aibidsk@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(41171134);2013 年度江苏省研究生培养创新工程项目(CXLX13_034);北京大学—林肯研究院城市发展与土地政策研究中心2013-14 年度论文奖学金项目。

Coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level in the Yangtze River Delta

SUN Dongqi¹, ZHANG Jingxiang², ZHANG Mingdou³, YU Zhengsong⁴, HU Yi⁵, ZHOU Liang¹

1. School of Geographic and Oceanographic Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;
2. School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;
3. School of Public Administration, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116023, China;
4. College of Urban and Environmental Science, Northwest University, Xi'an 710127, China;
5. Urban-Rural Planning Administration Center, Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, Beijing 100835, China

Received:2013-01-01 Revised:2013-05-01 Online:2013-07-25 Published:2013-07-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文利用DEA模型、层次分析法和耦合度模型分析了1980-2010 年长江三角洲16 个地级市的城市化效率、经济发展水平, 以及城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合度, 并对其耦合关系进行了理论初探, 提出了概念模型。结果表明:① 30 年间, 长三角城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合度总体经历了缓慢上升—急剧上升—缓慢下降—急剧下降的过程, 呈倒“U”型发展;② 不同发展阶段的经济发展水平和城市化效率耦合关系不同, 在一定时期, 提高城市化效率可以提升区域经济发展水平, 区域经济水平的发展也可提高城市化效率;但当城市化效率和经济发展达到一定的水平时, 城市化效率的提高不再成为提升区域经济发展水平的重要因素, 而区域经济发展水平的提升也不会过多地影响城市化效率;③ 城市化效率与经济发展水平存在动态耦合关系, 经济发展水平较高的城市会首先摆脱城市化效率带来的促进作用。

关键词: 长江三角洲, 城市化效率, 经济发展水平, 耦合关系, 投入产出

Abstract: This paper used the DEA model, analytic hierarchy process and a model for coupling degree to analyze urbanization efficiency, economic development level, and the coupling relationship between the two for the 16 cities in the Yangtze River Delta from 1980 to 2010. As a result, theoretical exploration was conducted and a conceptual model was proposed. The results showed that: (1) During the 30 years of evolution, the economic development level in the Yangtze River Delta has been in a upward trend; regional development reached a balanced stage, and the coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level exhibited an overall inverted "U": shaped pattern of "slow rise-sharp rise-slow decline-sharp decline". (2) In different developmental stages, economic development level had different relationship with urbanization efficiency. In a certain period of time, improvement of urbanization efficiency enhanced the regional economic development level, and vice versa. Once both reached a certain level, increase of urbanization efficiency is no longer an important factor to enhancement of the regional economic development level, and, again, vice versa. (3) There is a dynamic coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level. Those cities with higher economic development level are the first to be independent of the effect of urbanization efficiency.

Key words: coupling relationship, economic development level, input and output, the Yangtze River Delta, urbanization efficiency

孙东琪, 张京祥, 张明斗, 于正松, 胡毅, 周亮. 长江三角洲城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合关系[J]. 地理科学进展, 2013, 32(7): 1060-1071.

SUN Dongqi, ZHANG Jingxiang, ZHANG Mingdou, YU Zhengsong, HU Yi, ZHOU Liang. Coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level in the Yangtze River Delta[J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2013, 32(7): 1060-1071.

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长江三角洲城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合关系

Coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level in the Yangtze River Delta

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