全球气候变化对旅游业发展影响研究综述

doi:10.11820/dlkxjz.2010.08.013

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

全球气候变化对旅游业的发展具有深远影响。近年来有关全球气候变化对旅游的影响研究在国际上日益受到重视,但遗憾的是我国的有关研究则远为滞后。为了为我国研究者开展有关研究提供有益参考,在广泛综合前人研究的基础上,系统总结了当前国际上气候变化对旅游影响研究在理论、观点、方法、实践、模型等方面取得的成就,指出目前在该研究领域中存在的薄弱环节：研究区域和研究内容不均衡,一些定量研究模型存在明显缺陷,对极端天气的影响欠思考,对主要影响因素的变化考虑不足等。今后的研究要特别注意克服学科间的障碍,提高相关学科的合作研究水平,研究方法上要注重定量与定性方法的有机结合,更全面考虑因气候转暖引起的环境演变对旅游产生的影响,未来的旅游规划应考虑气候变化影响因素。

关键词: 旅游业, 气候变化影响, 研究综述

Abstract:

Although climate is vitally important to tourism, only a few tourism studies link tourism with climate change. In fact, climate change has to be viewed as a catalyst that will reinforce and accelerate the pace of structural change in the tourism industry and more clearly highlight the risks and opportunities inherent in tourism development. In recent years, many researchers have recognized that global climate change has a profound effect on tourism and the research on impacts of global climate change on tourism has gained increasing concerns all over the world. Nevertheless, the relevant studies in China have lagged far behind. In order to present a useful reference for our Chinese investigators, this paper systematically summarized the achievements and weaknesses concerning the previous international studies and pointed out the problems to which particular attention should be paid in the future study. Many important scientific achievements have been obtained with respect to the studies on the impacts of climate change on international tourist flows, alpine tourism, waterfront tourism, tourism stakeholder perceptions, and mitigation and adaptation strategies by using a variety of research methods including tourism climate indicator and index, quantitative modeling, interviews and questionnaires. There exist inevitably a few shortcomings in the current researches, such as imbalance in study areas and contents, evident drawbacks in some quantitative models, lack of thinking about weather extreme events, scant consideration on future variation of some major affecting factors, and so on. For further studies, special attentions should be paid to overcoming the disciplinary barriers, increasing the collaboration between tourism and climate change experts, stressing integration of quantitative and qualitative researches, and carrying out more researches on the influence of climate change induced environmental evolutions on tourism. Future tourism management and planning should consider the factors related to climate change.

Key words: impacts of climate change, review, tourism industry

杨建明. 全球气候变化对旅游业发展影响研究综述[J]. 地理科学进展, 2010, 29(8): 997-1004.

YANG Jianming. A Review of the Researches on the Impacts of Global Climate Change on Tourism[J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2010, 29(8): 997-1004.

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