地理科学进展 ›› 2018, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (7): 963-975.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2018.07.010
收稿日期:
2017-09-26
修回日期:
2018-01-18
出版日期:
2018-07-28
发布日期:
2018-07-28
通讯作者:
贺灿飞
作者简介:
作者简介:李振发(1993-),男,河北承德人,硕士研究生,研究方向为经济地理,E-mail:
基金资助:
Zhenfa LI1(), Canfei HE2,3,*(
), Bin LI2,3
Received:
2017-09-26
Revised:
2018-01-18
Online:
2018-07-28
Published:
2018-07-28
Contact:
Canfei HE
Supported by:
摘要:
研究出口产品地区专业化有助于深入理解产业地理格局和区域经济发展。本文基于演化经济地理学最新提出的产品地区相关专业化概念及其对应的评价指标AR(Average Technological Relatedness),分析了2000-2011年中国城市制造业出口产品地区专业化的时空特征及影响因素。结果表明:中国出口产品地区专业化程度较高的城市由东部沿海逐渐向内陆扩散,并形成多个连片地区,与区域经济发展水平高度契合。出口产品地区专业化具有显著的产品分异,技术含量高的产品具有更高的地区专业化水平。实证模拟结果显示,更高的技术关联密度、地方经济复杂度与产品复杂度有利于提升出口产品地区专业化程度,而地方政府对出口产品的干预趋于违逆市场的方向,不利于产品地区专业化的提升。
李振发, 贺灿飞, 黎斌. 中国出口产品地区专业化[J]. 地理科学进展, 2018, 37(7): 963-975.
Zhenfa LI, Canfei HE, Bin LI. Regional specialization of China's export products[J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 37(7): 963-975.
表2
模型回归结果"
自变量 | 模型1 | 模型2 | 模型3 | 模型4 | 模型5 | 模型6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Density | 5.324*** | 4.896*** | 54.17*** | 49.46*** | ||
Complexity FD | -0.114*** | -0.083*** | -0.076 | -0.496*** | 0.260*** -0.078*** | 0.172*** -0.074*** |
Protect | -0.034 | -1.326*** | -17.48*** | -12.12*** | -3.981*** | -0.763*** |
Sophis | 0.005*** | 0.001* | 0.024*** | 0.015*** | ||
Density FD | -0.177*** 0.001 | -0.161*** 0.001*** | ||||
Protect | 0.064*** | 0.039*** | ||||
PerGDP | 0.001*** | 0.001*** | 0.001*** | |||
Open | 1.316*** | 1.087*** | 1.471*** | |||
Number | -0.001*** | -0.001*** | -0.001*** | |||
Constant | -3.195*** | -2.002*** | -8.336*** | -6.071*** | -1.646*** | -1.764*** |
Observations | 2403984 | 2402100 | 2403984 | 2402100 | 2403984 | 2402100 |
Number of id | 218544 | 218544 | 218544 | 218544 | 218544 | 218544 |
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