地理科学进展 ›› 2013, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (10): 1545-1554.doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2013.10.012
黄媛1, 李蓓蓓1,2, 李忠明1
收稿日期:
2013-05-01
修回日期:
2013-08-01
出版日期:
2013-10-25
发布日期:
2013-10-24
作者简介:
黄媛(1989- ),女,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为气象科技史。E-mail: angelyuan1989@163.com
基金资助:
HUANG Yuan1, LI Beibei1,2, LI Zhongming1
Received:
2013-05-01
Revised:
2013-08-01
Online:
2013-10-25
Published:
2013-10-24
Contact:
李蓓蓓(1984- ),女,讲师,主要从事环境演变、气象科技史等研究。E-mail: libeibei@nuist.edu.cn
E-mail:libeibei@nuist.edu.cn
摘要: 重建历史时期的气候变化可为分析当前气候变化规律和模拟未来气候变化趋势提供历史参考情景。古代私人日记中保存的气候信息,因其直观性强、分辨率高等特点而受到研究者的重视,成为重建历史气候时使用较多的一类代用数据。近年来,国内外学者利用日记资料,已经重建了多个地区历史上的温度、降水及物候变化,并已逐步由定性描述发展到定量研究。本文从代用指标、研究方法、研究成果3 个方面,对基于日记的历史气候重建研究成果进行综述,得到以下结论:① 重建指标选取上,国内外均较常使用天气情况日数和感应记录两类指标;此外,国内常用自然生长植物的物候期,而国外还使用风向、云量等指标;重建指标类型可分为定量、半定量、定性3 类,定量与定性指标使用较多,半定量指标使用相对较少。② 重建方法上,中外研究者多采用定性分析法和定量转换法等;资料校对方法上,西方学者多采用器测资料进行检验,国内则常选用方志与官私文件进行校订。③ 国外研究的重建内容主要涉及区域温度和降水;而国内除了温度和降水重建外,还研究了沙尘和梅雨等中国特有的天气气候现象。利用日记重建历史气候的优势在于,日记中保存的历史气候信息细节丰富、时间分辨率高,因而能够很好地保证重建结果的准确性。未来这一领域的研究还应继续改进代用指标的定量转换和重建结果的校验方法,并加强对不同区域、不同时段的同类研究结果的集成研究。
黄媛, 李蓓蓓, 李忠明. 基于日记的历史气候变化研究综述[J]. 地理科学进展, 2013, 32(10): 1545-1554.
HUANG Yuan, LI Beibei, LI Zhongming. Review of climate reconstruction based on ancient diary[J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2013, 32(10): 1545-1554.
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