地理科学进展 ›› 2014, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (12): 1614-1623.doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2014.12.004

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外商直接投资技术溢出空间效应及其变化——基于中国地级市的实证研究

季颖颖1(), 郭琪1, 贺灿飞1,2()   

  1. 1. 北京大学城市与环境学院,北京 100871
    2. 北京大学—林肯研究院城市发展与土地政策研究中心,北京 100871
  • 出版日期:2014-12-19 发布日期:2014-12-19
  • 作者简介:

    作者简介:季颖颖(1989-),新疆阿勒泰人,硕士研究生,研究方向为经济地理,E-mail: yingyji@163.com。

  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目(41271130);国家自然科学基金杰出青年基金项目(41425001)

Spatial effects of foreign direct investment technology spillover and its changes: empirical study based on panel data of Chinese prefecture-level cities

Yingying JI1(), Qi GUO1, Canfei HE1,2()   

  1. 1. School of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
    2. Peking University-Lincoln Institute Center for Urban Development and Land Policy, Beijing 100871, China
  • Online:2014-12-19 Published:2014-12-19

摘要:

FDI(外商直接投资)对内资企业的技术溢出效应是国内外研究的重要话题,但相关文献多为静态研究。本文认为FDI的技术溢出存在时间效应,即FDI对内资企业的技术溢出或挤出效应,随着FDI进入东道国的时间推移而变化。利用2003-2007年中国工业企业数据库,以通信设备、计算机和其他电子设备制造业为例,对城市面板数据建立门槛回归模型,研究FDI技术溢出效应随时间变化的动态过程。结果表明,随着FDI进入东道国的时间推移,技术溢出效应的变化呈扁S曲线:初始,FDI对内资企业表现为明显的挤出效应;3~4年后,逐渐由挤出效应向溢出效应转变;随着时间的进一步推移,溢出效应减缓下降,最终表现为不明显的溢出或挤出效应。此外,对不同所有制的内资企业,FDI技术溢出效应随时间变化的动态过程不同。

关键词: FDI技术溢出效应, 时间效应, 门槛回归模型, 地级市城市面板, 中国

Abstract:

Foreign direct investment (FDI) technology spillover is an important topic in China and abroad, but most research do not address the temporal change of such effects. This paper argues that there is a temporal dimension of the effect of FDI technology spillover. FDI effects on domestic enterprises change between spillover and crowding out over time. Using a prefecture level city panel dataset of the communication equipment, computer, and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry from 2003 to 2007, we made an empirical study on the dynamic process of FDI technology spillover and found that the process is a lying S curve: at the initial stage of FDI entering the host country, there was a significant crowding out effect. In 3 to 4 years after the initial stage, the effect gradual shifted to spillover. With time, spillover slowed and declined, eventually reached a point where there was no significant spillover or crowding out. In addition, the process of FDI technology spillover varied for domestic enterprises of different ownership types.

Key words: FDI technology spillover, temporal change of effect, threshold regression model, prefecture-level city panel data, China

中图分类号: 

  • F125.7