地理科学进展

地理科学进展 ›› 2005, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (2): 49-58.doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2005.02.006

• 生态与环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

气候变暖对甘肃农业的影响

刘德祥1,2, 董安祥2, 薛万孝3, 张平兰1, 费晓玲1   

  1. 1. 兰州中心气象台,甘肃 730020;
    2. 甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所,甘肃 730020;
    3. 甘肃省气象信息网络中心,甘肃 730020
  • 收稿日期:2004-12-01 修回日期:2005-01-01 出版日期:2005-03-25 发布日期:2005-03-25
  • 作者简介:刘德祥(1948-),男,甘肃甘谷人,高级工程师,长期从事干旱气候变化和影响评估研究。 E-mail:ldxlzh@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    甘肃省科技攻关计划“甘肃干旱生态环境对全球气候变暖的响应及减灾技术的研究”(2GS042-A44-017)资助。

Impact of Climate Warming on Agriculture in Gansu Province

LIU Dexiang1,2, DONG Anxiang2, ZHANG Pinglan3, FEI Xiaoling1   

  1. 1. Lanzhou Center Meteorological Observatory, Gansu 730020,China;
    2. Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Variation and Disaster Reduction, Lanzhou Arid Meteorological Institute, Chinese Meteorological Administration, Gansu 730020,China;
    3. Gansu Meteorological Network Information Center, Gansu 730020,China
  • Received:2004-12-01 Revised:2005-01-01 Online:2005-03-25 Published:2005-03-25

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被引次数

104 | 23

摘要：

应用甘肃省63个地面测站1961～2003年气温资料，对年平均气温、最高气温、最低气温、≥0℃、≥10℃活动积温和＜0℃负积温进行分析。结果表明， 1987～2003年比1961～1986年的平均值明显增高，尤以最低气温增幅最大，甘肃省气候变暖主要来自最低气温升高的贡献。冬季升温幅度大于夏季，＜0℃负积温绝对值明显减少。甘肃省20世纪80年代后期气候明显变暖，热量资源增加，喜温作物面积扩大，越冬作物种植区北界向北扩展，对牧区牲畜越冬度春有利。但由于水资源不足，气候变暖对甘肃农业的负面影响大于正面影响。

关键词: 对农业的影响, 活动积温, 气候变暖, 气温

Abstract:

Based on temperatures of 171 observations from 1961 to 2003 in Gansu province, the year mean temperature, highest temperature, lowest temperature, accumulated temperature above 0℃,10℃, and negative accumulated temperature beneath 0℃ were collected to analyze. The results showed that year mean temperature of 1987~2003 was significantly higher than that of 1961~1986; especially the lowest temperature increment appeared markedly. The lowest temperature rising played a main effect on climate warming in Gansu province. Climate warming was more clearly in winter than in summer. The accumulated negative temperature reduced obviously. As the trends of climate changing has shown warming since late 1980s in Gansu province，thermal resource is increased, planting areas of heliophilous plants are expanded, the northern planting boundary of crop spreads further to north and it is beneficial to winter and spring animal. However, because of lack of water resources, Impacts of climate warming on agriculture is more negative then positive.

Key words: accumulated temperature, climate warming, impact on agriculture, temperature