地理科学进展 ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (10): 1609-1618.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2020.10.001
• 研究论文 • 下一篇
收稿日期:
2020-02-21
修回日期:
2020-06-04
出版日期:
2020-10-28
发布日期:
2020-12-28
通讯作者:
郝志新
作者简介:
张学珍(1981— ),男,山东济宁人,研究员,主要从事气候变化研究。E-mail: 基金资助:
ZHANG Xuezhen1,2(), ZHENG Jingyun1,2, HAO Zhixin1,2,*(
)
Received:
2020-02-21
Revised:
2020-06-04
Online:
2020-10-28
Published:
2020-12-28
Contact:
HAO Zhixin
Supported by:
摘要:
论文在中国《第三次气候变化国家评估报告》基础上,根据2012年以来的最新研究成果和中国气候公报,综合评估了环渤海经济区、长江经济带、华南经济圈和东北经济区的近期气候变化特征。主要结论有:① 1961—2018年,环渤海经济区、长江经济带、华南经济圈和东北经济区的平均气温上升趋势分别达0.35 ℃/10 a、0.20 ℃/10 a、0.20 ℃/10 a和0.33 ℃/10 a;尽管在1998—2014年间这些区域均出现了增暖趋缓特征,但除东北经济区外,环渤海经济区、长江经济带和华南经济圈均在2014年之后突破了其前最暖年的年均气温记录。② 1961—2018年各经济区(圈、带)的降水趋势变化虽均低于1 mm/10 a,但其间年际和年代际波动显著;2012—2018年降水虽总体偏多,但时空差异较大,其中东北经济区2013年和长江经济带2016年降水为1961年以来最多,而辽宁2014年降水却为1961年以来最少。③ 2014—2018年,各经济区(圈、带)最高气温超历史极值或极端阈值(发生概率≤10%的分位值)的极端高温事件频发,同时环渤海和东北经济区的区域性跨季连旱和极端特大暴雨等事件的发生频率增多,长江经济带暴雨日数偏多,华南经济区受台风影响呈加重态势;长江经济带和东北经济区在增暖同时也出现了多次大范围的极端低温事件。
张学珍, 郑景云, 郝志新. 中国主要经济区的近期气候变化特征评估[J]. 地理科学进展, 2020, 39(10): 1609-1618.
ZHANG Xuezhen, ZHENG Jingyun, HAO Zhixin. Climate change assessments for the main economic zones of China during recent decades[J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2020, 39(10): 1609-1618.
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