中国人类福祉地区差距演变及其影响因素——基于人类发展指数(HDI)的分析

doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2018.08.014

地理科学进展 ›› 2018, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (8): 1150-1158.doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2018.08.014

• 研究论文 • 上一篇

中国人类福祉地区差距演变及其影响因素——基于人类发展指数(HDI)的分析

王圣云^1,²(), 罗玉婷², 韩亚杰³, 李晶^1,^2,^*()

1. 南昌大学中国中部经济社会发展研究中心,南昌 330047
2. 南昌大学经济管理学院,南昌330031
3. 南昌大学旅游学院,南昌 330031

收稿日期:2017-09-29 修回日期:2018-02-12 出版日期:2018-09-04 发布日期:2018-09-04
通讯作者: 李晶 E-mail:wangshengyun@163.com;sdu_lijing@163.com
作者简介:
作者简介：王圣云(1977-),男,山西河曲人,博士,副研,硕导,主要从事福祉地理学研究,E-mail: wangshengyun@163.com。
基金资助:
教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(18YJA790082);南昌大学研究生课程建设项目(cx2015084)

Regional difference and determinants of human well-being in China: Based on the analysis of human development index

Shengyun WANG^1,²(), Yuting LUO², Yajie HAN³, Jing LI^1,^2,^*()

1. Research Center of Central China Economic and Social Development, Nanchang 330047, China
2. School of Economics and Management, Nanchang University, Nanchang 330031, China
3. School of Tourism, Nanchang University, Nanchang 330031, China

Received:2017-09-29 Revised:2018-02-12 Online:2018-09-04 Published:2018-09-04
Contact: Jing LI E-mail:wangshengyun@163.com;sdu_lijing@163.com
Supported by:
Projects of Humanities and Social Sciences of the Ministry of Education of China, No.18YJA790082;Graduate Course Construction Project of Nanchang University, No.cx2015084

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

应用空间基尼系数、泰尔系数分解及面板模型等方法,对1995-2013年中国人类福祉地区差距及其影响因素进行分析,结果显示：①1995-2013年中国人类福祉省际差距整体趋于缩小。其中,“九五”时期不断缩小,“十五”时期波动变化,“十一五”时期快速缩小,“十二五”时期趋同发展;②四大区域之间的人类福祉差距是最主要的差距,但其贡献率总体呈递减趋势,而区域内人类福祉省际差距的贡献率呈递增趋势。西部地区人类福祉的省际差距最大但降幅明显,东部地区人类福祉的省际差距先扩大后降低,中部、东北地区人类福祉省际差距相对较小且不断缩小;③中国人类福祉地区差距和城乡收入差距同向扩大。加快经济发展、增加教育经费投入均可提高中国各省的人类福祉水平,但也可能扩大地区差距。提高卫生经费占比的增长率可降低中国人类福祉水平,但却能有效缩小中国地区之间的福祉差距。提高人均社会保障支出和人均转移支付,既能提高中国各省区的人类福祉水平,又可起到促进地区之间福祉均衡作用。

关键词: 人类福祉, 地区差距, 影响因素, 基尼系数, 泰尔系数, 中国

Abstract:

The problem of regional unbalanced development emerges while human well-being is improving. Using the Gini coefficient, Theil index, and regression analysis method, this study analyzed the regional difference in change and determinants of human well-being in China from 1995 to 2013. It revealed that: (1) The inter-provincial difference of human well-being shows a converging trend and is getting smaller in China from 1995 to 2013. In the 9th Five Year Plan period it kept narrowing and in the 10th Five Year Plan period it showed some fluctuations. In the 11th Five Year Plan period it decreased rapidly and in the 12th Five Year Plan period it had a development trend of convergence; (2) From 1995 to 2013, the difference between the four regions is the main difference of human well-being in China, but its contribution rate shows a decreasing trend as a whole. The contribution rate of inter-provincial difference of human well-being is increasing in the four regions. The west region had the biggest inter-provincial difference of human well-being but has decreased significantly. The inter-provincial difference of human well-being enlarged at first and then narrowed in the east region. The central and the Northeast region showed smaller inter-provincial differences of human well-being and had a narrowing trend; (3) Increasing economic development and educational expenditure can improve the provincial human well-being but also will expand the difference of human well-being. The growth of the ratio of health care expenditure in finance will decrease the human well-being, but can narrow the difference of human well-being. Social security expenditure and transfers per capita are effective ways to improve provincial human well-being, but also narrow the difference of human well-being.

Key words: human well-being, regional difference, determinants, Gini coefficient, Theil coefficient, China

王圣云, 罗玉婷, 韩亚杰, 李晶. 中国人类福祉地区差距演变及其影响因素——基于人类发展指数(HDI)的分析[J]. 地理科学进展, 2018, 37(8): 1150-1158.

Shengyun WANG, Yuting LUO, Yajie HAN, Jing LI. Regional difference and determinants of human well-being in China: Based on the analysis of human development index[J]. PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 37(8): 1150-1158.

图/表 9

图1

图2

图3

图4

图5

图6

表1

表2

表3

参考文献 23

[1]	Des Gasper, 陆丽娜. 2005. 人类福利: 概念和概念化[J]. 世界经济文汇, (3): 65-91.
	[Des Gasper, Lu L N.2005. Human welfare: Conception and conceptualization[J]. World Economic Papers, (3): 65-91.]
[2]	封志明, 吴映梅, 杨艳昭. 2009. 基于不同尺度的中国人文发展水平研究: 由分县、分省到全国[J]. 资源科学, 31(2): 178-184.
	[Feng Z M, Wu Y M, Yang Y Z.2009. Analysis on human development of China at multi-levels[J]. Resource Science, 31(2): 178-184.]
[3]	胡鞍钢. 2006. 中国人类发展趋势与长远目标[M]//曾毅,等. 21世纪中国人口与经济发展. 北京: 社会科学文献出版社.
	[Hu A G.2006. China's human development trends and long-term goals[M]//Zeng Y et al. China's population and economic development in the 21st century. Beijing, China: Social Sciences Academic Press.]
[4]	胡鞍钢, 王洪川, 魏星. 2013. 中国各地区人类发展: 大进步与大趋同(1980-2010)[J]. 清华大学学报: 哲学社会科学版, 28(5): 55-68.
	[Hu A G, Wang H C, Wei X.2013. Human development in all regions of China: Great progress and great convergence (1980-2010)[J]. Tsinghua University Press: Philosophical Social Science edition, 28(5): 55-68.]
[5]	胡鞍钢, 张宁. 2006. 中国人类发展的地区格局与历史变迁[J]. 河北学刊, (4): 70-73. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-7071.2006.04.014
	[Hu A G, Zhang N.2006. The regional pattern of the Chinese people' development and historical transition[J]. Hebei Academic Journal, (4): 70-73.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-7071.2006.04.014
[6]	李晶, 郭立文. 2013. 中国人类发展的区域差距和空间格局分析[J]. 统计与决策, (23): 68-70.
	[Li J, Guo L W.2013. Regional disparity and spatial pattern analysis of human development in China[J]. Statistics and Decision Making, (23): 68-70.]
[7]	牛媛媛, 任志远. 2011. 关中-天水经济区人类发展水平空间差异分析[J]. 人口与发展, 17(1): 16-21.
	[Niu Y Y, Ren Z Y.2011. Spatial analysis of HDI disparities in Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Zone[J]. Population and development, 17(1): 16-21.]
[8]	覃成林, 罗庆. 2004. 中国区域人类发展差异研究[J]. 经济经纬,(6): 49-51, 86.
	[Qin C L, Luo Q.2004. Study on the difference of human development in China[J]. Economic Fabric,(6): 49-51, 86.]
[9]	任媛, 谢学仁. 2011. 人类发展指数的解析及应用: 基于山西省各地市的测算与比较[J]. 西北人口, 32(4): 63-66. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-0672.2011.04.013
	[Ren Y, Xie X R.2011. Analysis and application of the human development index: Based on the measurement and comparison of the measurement of the city in Shanxi[J]. Northwest Population, 32(4): 63-66.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-0672.2011.04.013
[10]	宋冬林, 姜扬, 郑国强. 2016. 民生财政支出的幸福评价: 基于CGSS(2012)调查数据的实证研究[J]. 吉林大学社会科学学报, 56(6): 96-104, 189-190.
	[Song D L, Jiang Y, Zheng G Q.2016. The sense of happiness evaluation of livelihood finance expenditure: Based on empirical research of the survey data of CGSS (2012)[J]. Jilin University Journal Social Sciences Edition, 56(6): 96-104, 189-190.]
[11]	宋洪远, 马永良. 2004. 使用人类发展指数对中国城乡差距的一种估计[J]. 经济研究, (11): 4-15.
	[Song H Y, Ma Y L.2004. Measuring rural-urban disparity in China by human development index method[J]. Economic Research Journal, (11): 4-15.]
[12]	汤凤林, 雷鹏飞. 2014. 收入差距、居民幸福感与公共支出政策: 来自中国社会综合调查的经验分析[J]. 经济学动态, (4): 41-55.
	[Tang F L, Lei P F.2014. Income Gap, Human happiness and public expenditure policy: Based on empirical research of the survey data of CGSS[J]. Economic Perspectives, (4): 41-55.]
[13]	托米·本特森, 康文林, 李中清, 等. 2007. 压力下的生活: 1700-1900年欧洲与亚洲的死亡率和生活水平[M]. 北京: 社会科学文献出版社.
	[Bengtsson T, Kang W L, Li Z Q, et al.2007. Life under pressure: Mortality and living standards in Europe and Asia, 1700-1900[M]. Beijing, China: Social Sciences Academic Press.]
[14]	王圣云. 2016a. 中国区域人类福祉的产出绩效与模式演进: 1990-2010[J]. 经济问题探索, (4): 106-113.
	[Wang S Y.2016. The output performance and mode evolution of human welfare in China: 1990-2010[J]. Inquiry into Economic Issues, (4): 106-113.]
[15]	王圣云. 2016b. 中国人类福祉变化的驱动效应及时空分异[J]. 地理科学进展, 35(5): 632-643. doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2016.05.010
	[Wang S Y.2016. Driving factors and spatiotemporal differentiation of human well-being change in China[J]. Progress in Geography, 35(5): 632-643.]. DOI: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2016.05.010. doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2016.05.010
[16]	王圣云, 沈玉芳. 2010. 福祉地理学研究新进展[J]. 地理科学进展, 29(8): 899-905. doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2010.08.001
	[Wang S Y, Shen Y F.2010. Advances in the researches on well-being[J]. Progress in Geography, 29(8): 899-905.] doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2010.08.001
[17]	王圣云, 张新芝. 2016. 民生福祉导向的中部地区社会发展进程评估[J]. 南昌大学学报: 人文社会科学版, 47(2):70-78.
	[Wang S Y, Zhang X Z.2016. The evolution on the central China's social development process oriented to people's livelihood and well-being[J]. Journal of Nanchang University: Humanities and Social Sciences, 47(2): 70-78. ]
[18]	吴映梅, 普荣, 白海霞. 2008. 中国省级人类发展指数空间差异分析[J]. 昆明理工大学学报: 社会科学版, 8(8): 53-58. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-1254.2008.08.012
	[Wu Y M, Pu R, Bai H X.2008. Analysis on the spatial differences of provincial human development index in China[J]. Journal of Kunming University of Science and Technology: Social Science Edition, 8(8): 53-58.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-1254.2008.08.012
[19]	杨永恒, 胡鞍钢, 张宁. 2006. 中国人类发展的地区差距和不协调: 历史视角下的“一个中国, 四个世界”[J]. 经济学(季刊), (2): 803-816.
	[Yang Y H, Hu A G, Zhang N.2006. The regional disparities and imbalance of china's human development: A historical perspective of "One China, Four World"[J], Economic(Quarterly), (2): 803-816.]
[20]	周恭伟. 2011. 中国人类发展指标体系构建及各地人类发展水平比较研究[J]. 人口研究, 35(6): 78-89.
	[Zhou G W.2011. Chinese human development index and comparative study across its regions[J]. Population Research, 35(6): 78-89.]
[21]	Appleton S, Song L.2008. Life satisfaction in urban China: Components and determinants[J]. World Development, 36(11): 2325-2340. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2008.04.009
[22]	Frey R S, Song F.1997. Human well-being in Chinese cities[J]. Social Indicators Research, 42(1): 77-101. doi: 10.1023/A:1006890513754
[23]	Mazumdar K.2003. Determinants of human well-being[M]. New York: Nova Science Publisher.

指标	P值	检验结论
HDI	0.000	平稳
Med	0.084	不平稳
Dmed	0.000	平稳
Edu	0.098	不平稳
Dedu	0.000	平稳
lnsec	0.000	平稳
lntrs	0.050	平稳
Civ	0.080	平稳

	HDI(FEM)	T-value
Dmed(卫生经费占财政支出比重)	-0.1583	(-2.91)^***
Dedu(教育经费占财政支出比重)	0.0167	(0.43)
lnsec(人均社会保障支出)	0.0185	(11.25)^***
lntrs(人均财政转移支付)	0.0352	(18.68)^***
Civ(城镇化率)	0.0253	(3.75)^***
c(截距项)	0.3778	(52.96)^***
R²(within)	0.9543
R²(between)	0.1058
R²(overall)	0.3419
rho	0.9625
Hausman检验	V²(5)=-19.54 (P=0.0000)

模型		非标准化系数		标准系数	t	Sig.
模型		B	标准误差	标准系数	t	Sig.
	lnGDP	0.017	0.007	1.495	2.296	0.040
	Edu	0.062	0.055	0.080	1.124	0.283
	Med	-0.253	0.131	-0.334	-1.933	0.077
	lnsec	-0.005	0.002	-0.872	-2.252	0.044
	lntrs	-0.012	0.006	-1.657	-2.026	0.066
	Inc	0.006	0.004	0.239	1.487	0.163
	c	-0.037	0.043		-0.854	0.410

中国人类福祉地区差距演变及其影响因素——基于人类发展指数(HDI)的分析

Regional difference and determinants of human well-being in China: Based on the analysis of human development index

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

赞

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

图/表 9

参考文献 23

相关文章 15

Metrics

本文评价

推荐阅读 10

[1]	陈秧分, 刘玉, 王国刚. 大都市乡村发展比较及其对乡村振兴战略的启示[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(9): 1403-1411.
[2]	杨忍,罗秀丽,陈燕纯. 中国县域乡村地域多功能格局及影响因素识别[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(9): 1316-1328.
[3]	杨奎,张宇,赵小风,文琦,钟太洋. 乡村土地利用结构效率时空特征及影响因素[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(9): 1393-1402.
[4]	施利锋,黄贤金. 中国大运河沿线城市扩张时空差异研究[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(8): 1206-1216.
[5]	朱鹤, 刘家明, 龙江智, 余玲, 李涛. “空间-主题”框架下中美城市旅游研究对比——以2008—2017年城市旅游博士论文为例[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(7): 1056-1068.
[6]	高卿, 骆华松, 王振波, 宋金平. 美丽中国的研究进展及展望[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(7): 1021-1033.
[7]	陈沛然, 王成金, 刘卫东. 中国海外港口投资格局的空间演化及其机理[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(7): 973-987.
[8]	戴旭俊, 刘爱利. 地方认同的内涵维度及影响因素研究进展[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(5): 662-674.
[9]	贺灿飞, 胡绪千, 罗芊. 全球-地方出口溢出效应对新企业进入出口市场的影响[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(5): 731-744.
[10]	钱超峰, 杜德斌, 胡璇, 段德忠. 地区间基因差异会影响技术转移吗?——基于中国2001—2005年省际专利转让数据[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(5): 745-755.
[11]	胡伟, 胡志丁, 葛岳静. 中国地缘环境研究进展与思考[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(4): 477-488.
[12]	刘丽敏, 钟林生, 虞虎. 冰川旅游研究进展与启示[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(4): 533-545.
[13]	刘丽, 李宁, 张正涛, 冯介玲, 陈曦, 白扣, 黄承芳. 中国省域尺度17部门资本存量的时空特征分析[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(4): 546-555.
[14]	李鲁奇, 马学广, 鹿宇. 飞地经济的空间生产与治理结构——基于国家空间重构视角[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(3): 346-356.
[15]	张翼鸥, 谷人旭, 马双. 中国城市间技术转移的空间特征与邻近性机理[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019, 38(3): 370-382.