[1] WHO. Water Sanitation and Health. http://www.who.int/water_sanitation_health/hygiene/en/. 2003.
[2] Falkenmark M, Lundquist J, Widsttand C. Macro-scale water scarcity requires micro-scale approaches: aspects of vulnerability in semi-arid development. Natural Resources Forum, 1989, 13(4): 258-267.
[3] Ohlsson L, Appelgren B. Water and Social Resource Scarcity. Rome, Italy: FAO Issue Paper, 1998.
[4] Cosgrove WJ, Rijsberman F R. World Water Vision: Making Water Everybody's Business. London, UK: Earth- scan Publications, 2000.
[5] Sullivan C. Calculating a water poverty index. World De- velopment, 2002, 30(7): 1195-1211.
[6] Hashimoto T, Stedinger J R, Loucks D P. Reliability, re- siliency, and vulnerability criteria for water resource sys- tem performance evaluation. Water Resources Research, 1982, 18(1): 14-20.
[7] Jinno K,Xu Z X, Kawamura A, et al. Risk assessment of a water supply system during drought. Water Resources Development, 1995, 11(2): 185-204.
[8] Xu Z X, Jinno K, Kawamura A, et al. Performance risk analysis for Fukuoka water supply system. Water Re- sources Management, 1998, 12(1):13-30.
[9] Kawamura A, Merabtene T, Jinno K. Development of In- tegrated Decision Support System for the Water Supply System in Fukuoka, Japan//Water 99 Joint Congress. 25th Hydrology & Water Resources Symposium, 2nd Interna- tional Conference on Water Resources & Environment Research; Burton, ACT: Institution of Engineers, Australia, 1999: 341-347.
[10] Merabtene T, Kawamura A, Jinno K, et al. Risk assess- ment for optimal drought management of an integrated wa- tee resources system using a genetic algorithm. Hydrologi- cal Processes, 2002, 16(11): 2189-2208.
[11] Jones R N, Page C M, Hereon N, et al. Climate change and the risk to long-term water supply in the Murray- Darling Basin//Australian Water Association. Proceeding of 2001 A Water Odyssey, 2001.
[12] Jones R N, Page C M. Assessing the risk of Climate Change on the Water Resources of the Macquarie River Catchment//Ghassemi F, Whetton P, Little R, et al. Inte- grating Models for Natural Resources Management across Disciplines, issues and scales(Part 2). Modsim 2001 Inter- national Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, Canberra, 2001: 673-678.
[13] Jones R N, Pittock A B. Climate change and water re- sources in an arid continent: Managing uncertainty and risk in Austtalial/ Beniston M. Climatic Change -Implica- dons for the Hydrological Cycle and for Water Manage- ment. Amsterdam, Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Pub- lishers, 2002: 465-501.
[14] Fowler H J, Kilsby C G, 0'Connell P E. Modeling the im- pacts of climatic change and variability on the reliability, resilience, and vulnerability of a water resource system. Water Resources Research, 2003, 39(8): 1222-1232.
[15] Jones R, Preston B, Brooke C, et al. Climate change and Australian water resources: First risk assessment and gap analysis. Canberra, Australian: Austtalian Greenhouse Of- fice and the National Water Commission, 2007.
[16] Iglesias A, Moneo M, Garrote L, et al. Drought and water scarcity: current and future vulnerability and risk//Garrido A,Llamas M R. Water policy in Spain, resources for the future. Washington D C, 2006.
[17] Iglesias A, Garrote L, Flores F, et al. Challenges to man- age the risk of water scarcity and climate change in the Mediterranean. Water Resources Management, 2007, 21 (5):775-788.
[18] 阮本清,韩宇平,王浩,等.水资源短缺风险的模糊综合 评价.水利学报,2005, 36(8): 906-912.
[19] 韩宇平,阮本清.水资源短缺风险经济损失评估研究. 水利学报,2007, 38(10): 1253-1257.
[20] 韩宇平,许拯民.区域水资源短缺风险调控研究.河北工业大学学报,2007, 24(4): 81-84.
[21] 韩宇平,李志杰,赵庆民.区域水资源短缺风险决策研究.华北水利水电学院学报,2008, 29(1): 1-3.
[22] 韩宇平,阮本清,汪党献.区域水资源短缺的多口标风险决策模型研究.水利学报,2008, 39(6): 667-673.
[23] 马黎,汪党献.我国缺水风险分布状况及其对策.中国水利水电科学研究院学报,2008, 6(2): 131-135.
[24] 刘登伟.京津冀大都市]I水资源短缺风险评价.水利发展研究,2010, 10(1): 20-24.
[25] Draper A J, Jenkins MW,Kirby KW,et al. Economic- engineering optimization for California water management. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 2003, 129(3): 155一164
[26] Newlin B D, Jenkins MW,Lund J R, et al. Southern Cal- ifornia water markets: Potential and limitations. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 2002, 128(1): 21-32.
[27] Jenkins MW,Lund J R, Howitt R E, et al. Optimization of California's water system: Results and insights. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 2004, 130(4): 127一136.
[28] Null S, Lund J R. Re-Assembling hetch hetchy: Water supply implications of removing 0'Shaughnessy Dam. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 2006, 42(4): 395-408.
[29] Harou J J, Pulido-Velazquez M, Rosenberg D E, et al. Hydro -economic models: Concepts, design, applications, and future prospects. Journal of Hydrology, 2009, 375 (3): 627-643.
[30] Medellin-Azuara J, Mendoza-Espinosa L G, Lund J R, et al. Virtues of simple hydro -economic optimization: Baja California, Mexico. Environmental Management, 2009, 90 (11): 3470-3478.
[31] Gleick P H. Global Freshwater resources: Soft-path solu- dons for the 21st century. Science, 2003, 302: 1524- 1528.
[32] Martin-Carrasco F J, Garrote L. Drought-induced Water Scarcity in Water Resources Systems. Nato Science Series: IV: Earth and Environmental Sciences, 2007, 78(4): 301- 311.
[33] Alcamo J, Henrichs T, Rosch T. World water in 2025: global modeling and scenario analysis//Rijsberman F R. World Water Scenarios Analyses. London, UK: Earthscan Publications, 2000.
[34] 张士锋,贾绍凤.海河流域水量平衡与水资源安全问题研究.自然资源学报,2003, 18(6): 684-691. [3s] 任宪韶,户作亮,曹寅自,等.海河流域水资源评价.北京:中国水利水电出版社,2007.
[36] 金凤君.华北平原城市用水问题研究.地理科学进展, 2000, 19(1): 17-24.
[37] 刘昌明,陈志恺.中国水资源现状评价和供需发展趋势分析.北京:中国水利水电出版社,2001.
[38] 河北省水利厅.河北省水资源评价,2004.
[39] 北京市南水北调工程建设委员会办公室.北京市南水北调配套工程总体规划.北京:中国水利水电出版社, 2008.
[40] 李九一.中国水资源短缺及其风险评价与管理对策研究.北京:中国科学院研究生院,2009.
|