地理科学进展 ›› 1999, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (1): 60-67.doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.1999.01.009

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

气候变化综合评估模型

张雪芹, 葛全胜   

  1. 中国科学院地理研究所,北京100101
  • 收稿日期:1998-09-01 出版日期:1999-01-24 发布日期:1999-01-24
  • 作者简介:张雪芹,女,1971年9月生。1993年毕业于山东师范大学地理系,1996年获该校理学硕士学位,现为中国科学院地理研究所博士研究生。主要研究方向为气候变化和环境变迁,已发表论文3篇。
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金,中国科学院重大项目

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELS ON CLIMATIC CHANGES

Zhang Xueqin, Ge Quansheng   

  1. Institute of Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101
  • Received:1998-09-01 Online:1999-01-24 Published:1999-01-24

摘要: 本文概述了气候变化综合评估模型(IAM)的定义、组成、特点及应用。IAM可视为一种促进人类更好地理解气候变化问题的工具,它为研究者和决策者提供了一种十分有益的关注环境问题的框架或方法论。

关键词: 气候变化, 温室效应的综合评估模型(IMAGE2.0), 综合评估模型

Abstract: This paper presents a brief introduction of integrated assessment models (IAM) of climatic change. Then the Integrated Model to Assess Greenhouse Effect 2.0 (IMAGE2.0), a multi disciplinary, integrated model designed to simulate the dynamic of the global society-biosphere-climate system and to evaluate consequences of climate policies is introduced. This suggests that IAMs are useful tools so far to quantify as much as possible the cause effect relationships of the climate change problem and the cross-linkages and interactions between diverse issues concerned. Chinese research community should pay more attention to the development of IAMs so as to broaden our understanding of climatic change and to aid the decision making process about influences of human activities on environmental and climatic change.

Key words: climatic change, integrated assessment models (IAM), Integrated Model to Assess Greenhouse Effect 2.0(IMAGE2.0);

中图分类号: 

  • P467