PM<sub>2.5</sub>污染对中国人口死亡率的影响——基于346个城市面板数据的实证分析

PM_2.5污染对中国人口死亡率的影响——基于346个城市面板数据的实证分析

陈镘, 黄柏石, 刘晔

Effects of PM_2.5 concentration on mortality in China: A study based on city-level panel data

CHEN Man, HUANG Baishi, LIU Ye

表3 社会经济因素的调节效应分析

Tab.3 Analysis on the moderation effects of socioeconomic factors

变量	模型2： SLM模型估计系数(标准差)	模型3： SLM模型估计系数(标准差)	模型4： SLM模型估计系数(标准差)	模型5： SLM模型估计系数(标准差)
pm	1.512^*** (0.477)	2.091^*** (0.714)	2.383 (1.681)	1.425^* (0.864)
older	0.061^*** (0.014)	0.061^*** (0.014)	0.061^*** (0.014)	0.061^***(0.014)
child	0.007 (0.005)	0.006 (0.005)	0.006 (0.005)	0.006 (0.005)
edu	-0.021 (0.014)	-0.040^***(0.010)	-0.042^***(0.009)	-0.043^*** (0.009)
urban	-0.004 (0.004)	0.002 (0.005)	-0.004 (0.004)	-0.004 (0.004)
ln pop	-0.092 (0.060)	-0.095 (0.060)	-0.091 (0.060)	-0.089 (0.060)
ln pgdp	-0.158^** (0.070)	-0.148^** (0.069)	-0.111 (0.074)	-0.143^** (0.069)
secindust	-0.004 (0.005)	-0.004 (0.005)	-0.003 (0.005)	-0.003 (0.005)
terindust	-0.012^**(0.006)	-0.012^** (0.006)	-0.012^** (0.006)	-0.009 (0.007)
doctor	0.004 (0.003)	0.004 (0.003)	0.003 (0.003)	0.003 (0.003)
rh	-0.009 (0.010)	-0.010 (0.010)	-0.011 (0.010)	-0.011 (0.010)
temp	-0.414^*** (0.075)	-0.410^*** (0.074)	-0.408^*** (0.075)	-0.396^***(0.074)
ndvi	-0.384 (1.135)	-0.373 (1.136)	-0.337 (1.154)	-0.508 (1.135)
pm×edu	-0.061^** (0.029)
pm×urban		-0.022^* (0.011)
pm×ln pgdp			-0.140 (0.155)
pm×terindust				-0.013 (0.019)
$ρ$	0.287^*** (0.036)	0.287^*** (0.036)	0.290^*** (0.036)	0.291^*** (0.036)
$ε$	0.434^*** (0.017)	0.434^*** (0.017)	0.435^*** (0.017)	0.435^***(0.017)
Log likelihood	-1398.1478	-1398.4257	-1399.9333	-1400.1161
N	1384	1384	1384	1384