全面二孩政策对中国人口结构及区域人口空间格局的影响
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王开泳, 丁俊, 王甫园
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Influence of the implementation of the universal two-child policy on demographic structure and population spatial distribution in China
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Kaiyong WANG, Jun DING, Fuyuan WANG
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表3 全面放开二孩后的2000、2025、2030年中国人口结构预测结果 |
Tab.3 Demographic structures after a transition to a universal two-child policy in 2020, 2025 and 2030 |
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年龄段/岁 | 2020年 | 2025年 | 2030年 | 人数/万 | 比例/% | 人数/万 | 比例/% | 人数/万 | 比例/% | 0~4 | 13765.64 | 9.414 | 9660.62 | 6.438 | 9660.62 | 6.318 | 5~9 | 8195.40 | 5.605 | 13728.95 | 9.150 | 9632.22 | 6.300 | 10~14 | 7520.65 | 5.143 | 8183.45 | 5.454 | 13708.98 | 8.966 | 15~19 | 7066.46 | 4.832 | 7508.55 | 5.004 | 8170.32 | 5.343 | 20~24 | 7462.54 | 5.103 | 7051.19 | 4.699 | 7492.26 | 4.900 | 25~29 | 9939.84 | 6.798 | 7442.09 | 4.960 | 7031.93 | 4.599 | 30~34 | 12663.87 | 8.660 | 9906.14 | 6.602 | 7416.91 | 4.851 | 35~39 | 10020.03 | 6.852 | 12604.89 | 8.401 | 9859.42 | 6.448 | 40~44 | 9601.92 | 6.566 | 9951.32 | 6.632 | 12519.25 | 8.188 | 45~49 | 11597.88 | 7.931 | 9501.36 | 6.332 | 9847.21 | 6.440 | 50~54 | 12146.92 | 8.307 | 11408.42 | 7.603 | 9347.00 | 6.113 | 55~59 | 10146.32 | 6.939 | 11854.88 | 7.901 | 11130.52 | 7.279 | 60~64 | 7384.40 | 5.050 | 9769.01 | 6.511 | 11405.11 | 7.459 | 65~69 | 7338.35 | 5.018 | 6915.43 | 4.609 | 9173.44 | 6.000 | 70~74 | 4929.23 | 3.371 | 6568.52 | 4.378 | 6169.42 | 4.035 | 75~79 | 3040.78 | 2.079 | 4082.54 | 2.721 | 5436.40 | 3.555 | 80~84 | 1963.15 | 1.343 | 2194.18 | 1.462 | 2955.39 | 1.933 | 85~89 | 1013.50 | 0.693 | 1149.45 | 0.766 | 1287.01 | 0.842 | 90~94 | 344.18 | 0.235 | 440.50 | 0.294 | 496.65 | 0.325 | 95+ | 88.43 | 0.061 | 125.10 | 0.083 | 161.73 | 0.106 |
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