全面二孩政策对中国人口结构及区域人口空间格局的影响
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王开泳, 丁俊, 王甫园
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Influence of the implementation of the universal two-child policy on demographic structure and population spatial distribution in China
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Kaiyong WANG, Jun DING, Fuyuan WANG
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| 表2 全面放开二孩后15年(2016-2030年)中国总人口预测结果 |
| Tab.2 Estimation of total population in China after a transition to a universal two-child policy, 2016-2030 |
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| 年份 | 总人口/亿 | | 下限 | 上限 | 均值 | | 2016 | 13.906 | 13.933 | 13.919 | | 2017 | 14.135 | 14.207 | 14.171 | | 2018 | 14.316 | 14.420 | 14.368 | | 2019 | 14.471 | 14.601 | 14.536 | | 2020 | 14.558 | 14.688 | 14.623 | | 2021 | 14.641 | 14.772 | 14.707 | | 2022 | 14.722 | 14.852 | 14.787 | | 2023 | 14.798 | 14.928 | 14.863 | | 2024 | 14.871 | 15.001 | 14.936 | | 2025 | 14.940 | 15.070 | 15.005 | | 2026 | 15.005 | 15.135 | 15.070 | | 2027 | 15.066 | 15.196 | 15.131 | | 2028 | 15.123 | 15.253 | 15.188 | | 2029 | 15.176 | 15.306 | 15.241 | | 2030 | 15.225 | 15.355 | 15.290 |
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